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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Trail Blazers61%9787
30SuperSonics39%9499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.6
45.0
36.8
19
44%
6
5
3
1
0
3
2
4
6-6
100%
5-16
7-14
31%
49%
1-3
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
37.3
33.3
7
35%
5
7
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
1-6
17%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
33.3
34.0
23
74%
8
2
1
1
1
3
5
3
5-6
83%
9-13
7-15
69%
50%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.4
30.8
25.0
4
52%
10
1
0
0
1
2
1
9
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.0
28.3
32.3
2
10%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
0-4
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.4
27.1
26.4
26
74%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
8-8
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.2
20.7
28.1
3
26%
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.8
8.5
8.7
1
17%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
6.2
3.0
2
53%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.7
3.0
7.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.0
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.6
1.6
0
0-0
43%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.4
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
34.4
21.6
14
50%
6
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
6-13
4-7
46%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.5
29.1
31.0
8
51%
9
1
0
1
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.4
28.3
34.9
17
44%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
5-5
100%
6-17
7-14
35%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.7
26.5
32.2
11
49%
4
4
2
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
1-3
33%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.1
17.9
18.8
8
103%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.1
30.0
20.9
13
56%
8
2
0
1
0
1
2
6
4-6
67%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
1-1
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.0
21.5
17.0
11
80%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
21.3
29.5
2
33%
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
19.7
6.3
12
87%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.0
11.4
2.9
3
26%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1-4
25%
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.2
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.