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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bobcats29%9495
16Wizards71%101110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
38.6
34.5
25
67%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
8-10
4-9
80%
47%
2-7
29%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.7
33.4
38.4
9
39%
1
9
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
44%
0-2
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.3
30.8
27.0
12
68%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
27.8
28.1
17
69%
13
0
0
1
1
2
5
8
1-3
33%
8-11
5-9
73%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.6
23.9
14.0
6
63%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
26.6
17.7
5
21%
8
0
0
0
1
2
3
5
3-6
50%
1-9
3-6
11%
50%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
17.8
5.7
4
69%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.7
14.6
11.6
5
50%
0
5
1
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.6
13.3
17.3
5
63%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.5
10.7
19.7
7
79%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
2.6
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
8.0
0
1-2
47%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.9
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.6
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.9
36.0
36.3
20
78%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
4-7
57%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
33.6
38.9
22
53%
9
5
2
1
0
1
4
5
2-2
100%
10-19
7-15
53%
49%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.9
32.8
28.7
10
54%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
4-5
80%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.5
31.2
28.5
13
60%
8
2
1
1
2
0
2
6
1-2
50%
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.2
28.1
36.3
15
56%
7
5
0
1
3
1
5
2
3-3
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
21.0
11.2
6
43%
5
0
2
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.0
17.7
18.6
8
57%
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.2
14.7
3.6
9
46%
6
1
1
0
0
0
4
2
0-2
0%
3-6
0-1
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
14.1
22.1
7
39%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
10.9
11.8
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.9
11.2
1
2-4
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
11.1
1
1-3
49%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.