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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hornets27%8789
2Spurs73%9598
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
42.0
33.8
16
48%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-6
67%
6-14
7-14
43%
47%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.7
38.0
32.7
11
47%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
4-6
67%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.4
36.6
32.1
8
63%
10
1
1
1
1
1
2
8
2-3
67%
3-5
4-7
60%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.8
36.5
34.0
27
55%
4
4
1
2
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
10-17
6-12
59%
47%
1-6
17%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
20.2
17.3
9
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
45%
3-3
100%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
19.5
18.8
2
14%
3
1
2
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
2-6
14%
43%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.7
15.9
3.0
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.3
14.7
15.6
9
56%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
1-3
33%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.2
11.4
15.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.3
5.3
15.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.8
16.4
0
1-3
40%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.8
9.9
0
1-3
44%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
38.0
34.8
25
69%
11
6
1
1
4
1
3
8
5-5
100%
10-16
8-15
63%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.6
37.4
35.0
30
73%
6
12
1
2
0
3
1
5
6-6
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
50%
4-8
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
32.5
20.3
8
103%
9
1
0
0
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.7
30.8
24.1
5
83%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.8
29.8
18.4
10
36%
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-13
4-7
31%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.5
22.0
16.6
7
44%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
43%
1-6
17%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
17.1
23.0
4
52%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.5
16.2
21.1
7
44%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
10.8
27.3
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
3.5
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.0
2.0
14.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
9.1
0
1-2
48%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.