Final Win Prob. pScore
1227%87
89
273%95
98
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
103.58692.8
SAS logo Spurs
114.08680.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS89
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0NOHMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASDuncan 1' Dunk (25 PTS) (Ginobili 12 AST)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot89
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)89
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 1:02SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.PN)88
96
Q4 - 1:02NOHChandler 1' Layup (7 PTS)88
96
Q4 - 1:02NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02NOHMISS Paul 3' Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:08SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:31NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS)86
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 1:36SASParker P.FOUL (P3.T2)84
96
Q4 - 1:43SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)84
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:43SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)84
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 1:43NOHWest S.FOUL (P5.PN)84
94
Q4 - 1:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 1:47NOHMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot84
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 2:08SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)84
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 2:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 2:15NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 2:36SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)84
3.2%
91
96.8%
Q4 - 2:54NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
8.0%
88
92.0%
Q4 - 2:54NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 2:54NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)82
88
Q4 - 2:54SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T1)82
88
Q4 - 3:04SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 3:04SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
6.5%
87
93.5%
Q4 - 3:04NOHSUB: Wells FOR James82
86
Q4 - 3:04SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto82
86
Q4 - 3:04NOHWest S.FOUL (P4.PN)82
86
Q4 - 3:07SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
7.9%
86
92.1%
Q4 - 3:08NOHMISS James 19' Jump Shot82
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 3:28SASDuncan 3' Layup (23 PTS) (Ginobili 11 AST)82
13.7%
86
86.3%
Q4 - 3:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
20.2%
84
79.8%
Q4 - 3:47NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
22.3%
84
77.7%
Q4 - 4:09NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
27.5%
84
72.5%
Q4 - 4:10SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot82
25.0%
84
75.0%
Q4 - 4:35NOHPaul 6' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)82
19.8%
84
80.2%
Q4 - 4:50SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)80
14.7%
84
85.3%
Q4 - 5:05NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)80
21.7%
82
78.3%
Q4 - 5:23SASOberto Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)78
16.6%
82
83.4%
Q4 - 5:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
12.3%
82
87.7%
Q4 - 5:32NOHMISS West 5' Jump Shot78
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 5:51SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)78
16.5%
82
83.5%
Q4 - 5:51SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)78
17.2%
81
82.8%
Q4 - 5:51NOHSUB: Paul FOR Pargo78
80
Q4 - 5:51SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)78
80
Q4 - 5:51NOHJames P.FOUL (P1.PN)78
80
Q4 - 5:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
21.5%
80
78.5%
Q4 - 5:59NOHMISS Stojakovic 11' Jump Shot78
23.4%
80
76.6%
Q4 - 6:19SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)78
28.2%
80
71.8%
Q4 - 6:19SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)78
30.0%
79
70.0%
Q4 - 6:19NOHChandler P.FOUL (P5.PN)78
78
Q4 - 6:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
34.4%
78
65.6%
Q4 - 6:28NOHMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
36.7%
78
63.3%
Q4 - 6:42NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
42.0%
78
58.0%
Q4 - 6:43SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot78
39.6%
78
60.4%
Q4 - 7:05NOHJames 3' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (West 4 AST)78
33.3%
78
66.7%
Q4 - 7:24SASBowen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)76
27.9%
78
72.1%
Q4 - 7:43NOHPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q4 - 7:53SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T9)73
14.3%
78
85.7%
Q4 - 7:53SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P2)73
78
Q4 - 8:09NOHPargo 6' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)73
12.1%
78
87.9%
Q4 - 8:21NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q4 - 8:22SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot71
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q4 - 8:37SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley71
78
Q4 - 8:37NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Wells71
78
Q4 - 8:37NOHChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)71
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q4 - 8:37NOHChandler OFF.Foul (P4)71
78
Q4 - 8:45SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)71
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q4 - 8:45SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q4 - 8:45NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Armstrong71
76
Q4 - 8:45SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn71
76
Q4 - 8:45SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka71
76
Q4 - 8:4571
76
Q4 - 8:45NOHArmstrong S.FOUL (P6.T4)71
76
Q4 - 9:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
11.9%
76
88.1%
Q4 - 9:01SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot71
14.9%
76
85.1%
Q4 - 9:15NOHArmstrong 1' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)71
13.0%
76
87.0%
Q4 - 9:17NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
10.4%
76
89.6%
Q4 - 9:18NOHMISS Wells 3' Jump Shot69
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q4 - 9:29NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q4 - 9:30SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot69
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q4 - 9:38SASSUB: Oberto FOR Horry69
76
Q4 - 9:38NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P5.T3)69
76
Q4 - 9:46SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q4 - 9:47SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot69
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q4 - 10:00NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P4.T2)69
76
Q4 - 10:20NOHWest 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)69
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q4 - 10:31SASVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)67
7.2%
76
92.8%
Q4 - 10:45SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Stoudamire67
76
Q4 - 10:45NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P3.T1)67
76
Q4 - 10:54SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q4 - 10:55NOHMISS Wells 16' Jump Shot67
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q4 - 11:07NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Stoudamire 18' Jump Shot67
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q4 - 11:25NOHPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)67
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q4 - 11:42NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q4 - 11:43SASMISS Stoudamire 16' Jump Shot67
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q4 - 12:0067
76
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS67
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH67
76
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)67
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)64
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto64
76
Q3 - 0:07.0SASSPURS Rebound64
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASMISS Stoudamire 2' Layup64
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOHPaul 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)64
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0SASHorry S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
76
Q3 - 0:58.0NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot60
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 1:16NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 1:16NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Chandler59
76
Q3 - 1:16NOHHornets Rebound59
76
Q3 - 1:16NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 259
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 1:16SASUdoka P.FOUL (P3.PN)59
76
Q3 - 1:26SASGinobili 2' Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)59
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 1:38SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 1:39NOHMISS Paul 9' Running Jump Shot59
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:54SASHorry 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Ginobili 10 AST)59
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 2:06SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 2:07NOHMISS Paul 22' Jump Shot59
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 2:17NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 2:18SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 2:34NOHWells Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)59
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 2:47SASUdoka Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 2:47SASUdoka Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 2:47SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan59
70
Q3 - 2:47NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)59
70
Q3 - 2:47NOHWest S.FOUL (P3.PN)59
70
Q3 - 3:03NOHDuncan STEAL (1 STL)59
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 3:16SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)59
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 3:22NOHChandler P.FOUL (P3.T4)59
67
Q3 - 3:39NOHWest 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 3:57SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)57
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 4:19SASSPURS Rebound57
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q3 - 4:19NOHMISS Wells 2' Alley Oop Dunk57
11.7%
64
88.3%
Q3 - 4:33NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q3 - 4:34SASMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q3 - 4:54SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q3 - 4:55NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 257
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 4:55SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto57
64
Q3 - 4:55NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 4:55SASOberto S.FOUL (P2.PN)56
64
Q3 - 5:00SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)56
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 5:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 5:10NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 5:20NOHHornets Rebound56
11.5%
64
88.5%
Q3 - 5:20SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup56
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 5:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 5:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 5:28SASSUB: Stoudamire FOR Parker56
64
Q3 - 5:28SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)56
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 5:28NOHWells T.FOUL (P1.T3)56
63
Q3 - 5:28NOHWells P.FOUL (P1.T3)56
63
Q3 - 5:39NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 5:39NOHSUB: Wells FOR Peterson55
63
Q3 - 5:39NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
11.2%
63
88.8%
Q3 - 5:39SASUdoka P.FOUL (P2.PN)54
63
Q3 - 5:48NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 5:49SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot54
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 6:05SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)54
63
Q3 - 6:09NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)54
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 6:15SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T4)51
63
Q3 - 6:29SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)51
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 6:41NOHWest P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
60
Q3 - 6:50NOHStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)51
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 7:09SASOberto 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)49
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 7:16NOHWest 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 7:32SASUdoka 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)47
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q3 - 7:47NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)47
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 7:47SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bowen46
56
Q3 - 7:47NOHHornets Rebound46
56
Q3 - 7:47NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 246
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q3 - 7:47SASBowen S.FOUL (P3.T3)46
56
Q3 - 8:04SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)46
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q3 - 8:21NOHStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q3 - 8:44SASGinobili L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)44
54
Q3 - 8:44NOHHornets Rebound44
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q3 - 8:44SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot44
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q3 - 9:04NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
8.1%
54
91.9%
Q3 - 9:17SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T1)42
54
Q3 - 9:31SASGinobili 17' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)42
7.1%
54
92.9%
Q3 - 9:52NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 3 AST)42
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q3 - 10:03SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)39
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q3 - 10:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)39
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q3 - 10:16NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot39
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan 8' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)39
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q3 - 10:47NOHPeterson P.FOUL (P2.T1)39
50
Q3 - 10:58NOHWest 3' Layup (8 PTS)39
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q3 - 11:15NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q3 - 11:16SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot37
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q3 - 11:34NOHPaul 8' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q3 - 12:0035
50
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH35
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound35
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)35
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASStoudamire 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)35
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
7.5%
47
92.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot35
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASDuncan 3' Dunk (13 PTS)35
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMISS Ginobili 3' Running Jump Shot35
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASSUB: Stoudamire FOR Parker35
45
Q2 - 0:58.0NOHChandler L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)35
45
Q2 - 0:58.0SASSPURS Rebound35
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q2 - 1:12NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q2 - 1:14SASMISS Parker 3' Jump Shot35
9.7%
45
90.3%
Q2 - 1:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
9.1%
45
90.9%
Q2 - 1:31SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot35
9.7%
45
90.3%
Q2 - 1:52NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
9.1%
45
90.9%
Q2 - 2:00NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot33
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q2 - 2:19NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 2:19NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q2 - 2:19SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T4)31
45
Q2 - 2:28SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T3)31
45
Q2 - 2:38SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)31
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q2 - 2:38NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)31
44
Q2 - 2:38NOHStojakovic S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
44
Q2 - 2:38SASDuncan 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)31
44
Q2 - 2:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
8.1%
42
91.9%
Q2 - 2:43NOHMISS Chandler 7' Jump Shot31
8.4%
42
91.6%
Q2 - 3:06SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)31
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 3:25NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 3:34NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot29
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 3:56NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 3:56NOHHornets Rebound28
40
Q2 - 3:56NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 228
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 3:56SASHorry S.FOUL (P1.T2)28
40
Q2 - 4:09SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)28
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 4:11NOHGinobili STEAL (1 STL)28
7.4%
40
92.6%
Q2 - 4:30SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)28
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 4:44SASSUB: Horry FOR Bonner28
38
Q2 - 4:44NOHChandler L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)28
38
Q2 - 4:44SASSPURS Rebound28
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 4:44NOHMISS Paul 4' Jump Shot28
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 4:49SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)28
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 4:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 4:57NOHDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)28
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 5:03NOHSUB: Peterson FOR James28
36
Q2 - 5:12NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 5:13SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot28
12.7%
36
87.3%
Q2 - 5:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
11.8%
36
88.2%
Q2 - 5:23NOHMISS Chandler 4' Jump Shot28
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 5:43NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 5:44SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot28
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 5:57SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka28
36
Q2 - 5:57SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto28
36
Q2 - 5:57SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley28
36
Q2 - 5:57NOHSUB: West FOR Wells28
36
Q2 - 5:57SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
36
Q2 - 6:03SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 6:04NOHMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot28
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 6:12NOHJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
13.4%
36
86.6%
Q2 - 6:13SASMISS Udoka 18' Jump Shot28
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 6:27SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)28
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 6:29NOHMISS Wells 3' Layup28
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 6:42NOHSUB: Paul FOR Pargo28
36
Q2 - 6:42SASSUB: Parker FOR Stoudamire28
36
Q2 - 6:42NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Bowen28
36
Q2 - 6:42SASUdoka P.FOUL (P1.T1)28
36
Q2 - 6:52SASFinley 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
13.4%
36
86.6%
Q2 - 7:18NOHJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)28
14.6%
34
85.4%
Q2 - 7:33SASFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)25
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 7:53SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)25
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q2 - 7:55NOHMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot25
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q2 - 8:17SASOberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q2 - 8:17SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 8:17SASSUB: Bonner FOR Horry25
32
Q2 - 8:17NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Armstrong25
32
Q2 - 8:1725
32
Q2 - 8:17NOHArmstrong S.FOUL (P2.T1)25
32
Q2 - 8:31SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 8:33NOHMISS Armstrong 3' Jump Shot25
13.8%
32
86.2%
Q2 - 8:59SASHorry 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)25
14.7%
32
85.3%
Q2 - 9:22NOHWells 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)25
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q2 - 9:43SASStoudamire 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q2 - 10:01NOHPargo 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
16.3%
28
83.7%
Q2 - 10:11NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
15.0%
28
85.0%
Q2 - 10:12SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q2 - 10:27SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 10:28NOHMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot21
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q2 - 10:45SASStoudamire 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
15.0%
28
85.0%
Q2 - 11:09SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q2 - 11:11NOHMISS Wells 3' Layup21
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q2 - 11:24NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q2 - 11:42NOHWells Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q2 - 12:0021
26
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASFinley P.FOUL (P1.T2)21
26
Q1 - 0:13.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q1 - 0:14.0SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P1.T4)21
26
Q1 - 0:39.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.7%
26
83.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0NOHMISS Pargo 2' Layup21
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q1 - 1:05NOHStoudamire STEAL (1 STL)21
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 1:06NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q1 - 1:07NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 1:19SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan21
26
Q1 - 1:19SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili21
26
Q1 - 1:19NOHSUB: Wells FOR Stojakovic21
26
Q1 - 1:19NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
26
Q1 - 1:26SASGinobili Layup (7 PTS)21
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q1 - 1:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q1 - 1:38NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot21
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q1 - 1:48NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q1 - 1:49SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q1 - 2:04NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q1 - 2:16SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)19
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q1 - 2:34NOHPargo 1' Layup (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)19
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 2:54SASGinobili 2' Layup (5 PTS)17
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 3:05NOHPargo P.FOUL (P1.T3)17
19
Q1 - 3:12NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Chandler17
19
Q1 - 3:12NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Peterson17
19
Q1 - 3:12SASSUB: Stoudamire FOR Parker17
19
Q1 - 3:12SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto17
19
Q1 - 3:12SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)17
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 3:12NOHPaul T.FOUL (P0.T2)17
18
Q1 - 3:13NOHPaul 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
22.6%
18
77.4%
Q1 - 3:32SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 3:42SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 3:43SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 3:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 3:53NOHMISS Peterson 2' Layup15
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 4:00NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 4:03SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot15
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 4:11NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
23.0%
16
77.0%
Q1 - 4:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 4:21NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
24.1%
16
75.9%
Q1 - 4:22NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot15
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 4:46SASSPURS Violation: Delay of game Violation15
16
Q1 - 4:47SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)15
24.2%
16
75.8%
Q1 - 4:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 4:56NOHBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)15
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 5:20SASOberto 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 5:41NOHChandler 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)15
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 5:47SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
27.3%
12
72.7%
Q1 - 5:59SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
12
Q1 - 5:59NOHWest P.FOUL (P1.T2)13
12
Q1 - 6:18NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)13
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 6:39NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 6:40SASMISS Parker 3' Layup10
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 6:47SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 6:48NOHDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)10
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 7:01SASDuncan 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)10
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 7:18NOHPaul 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 7:25SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 7:40NOHPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)8
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 7:44NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
20.0%
10
80.0%
Q1 - 7:46NOHMISS Stojakovic 15' Jump Shot5
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 7:49NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 7:50NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot5
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 7:52NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 7:53NOHMISS Peterson 4' Jump Shot5
19.5%
10
80.5%
Q1 - 8:07SASParker 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 8:33NOHChandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)5
21.4%
8
78.6%
Q1 - 8:40NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
20.7%
8
79.3%
Q1 - 8:42SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot3
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 8:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
20.2%
8
79.8%
Q1 - 8:58NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 23
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 8:58NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 8:58SASOberto S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
8
Q1 - 9:15SASOberto 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
20.8%
8
79.2%
Q1 - 9:31NOHWest 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
21.8%
6
78.2%
Q1 - 9:50SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 9:56SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 9:57NOHDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 10:15SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 10:25SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:26NOHMISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot0
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:56SASGinobili 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:06NOHPeterson P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:14SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:15NOHMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot0
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 11:33NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:35SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:43SASSPURS Rebound0
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 11:45SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Chandler: Tip to Parker0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.6%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
11
26
42%
SAS
18
25
72%
Midrange
NOH
16
35
46%
SAS
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
SAS
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
NOH
14
19
74%
SAS
17
17
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2754%13.5 / 25
D. West1647%8.0 / 17
P. Stojakovic1146%5.5 / 12
M. Peterson964%4.5 / 7
J. Pargo956%4.5 / 8
T. Chandler867%4.0 / 6
M. James583%2.5 / 3
B. Wells214%1.0 / 7
H. Armstrong250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili3075%15.0 / 20
T. Duncan2569%12.5 / 18
T. Parker1036%5.0 / 14
F. Oberto8100%4.0 / 4
R. Horry744%3.5 / 8
D. Stoudamire744%3.5 / 8
B. Bowen583%2.5 / 3
I. Udoka450%2.0 / 4
M. Finley220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
79
+8
-7
87
SAS
76
+10
-10
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.6%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
106.5
NOH 103.5
SAS 114.0 +10.5
Pace
90.5
89.5
NOH 92.8 +12.6
SAS 80.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.5
NOH 15.5 −2.4
SAS 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.4%
NOH 48.1%
SAS 52.6% +4.5%
TO %
12.4%
13.4%
NOH 7.5% −4.0%
SAS 11.5%
ORB %
27.1%
23.4%
NOH 16.7%
SAS 22.2% +5.5%
FTrt
25.1
27.6
NOH 24.4 +2.3
SAS 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.5%
NOH 38.2%
SAS 70.3% +32.1%
STL %
8.6%
7.1%
NOH 5.8% +2.3%
SAS 3.5%
BLK %
6.4%
6.5%
NOH 5.5%
SAS 8.2% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
52.8%
NOH 50.6%
SAS 55.7% +5.1%
Rim FG%
58.2%
60.6%
NOH 42.3%
SAS 72.0% +29.7%
Mid FG%
43.1%
40.4%
NOH 45.7% +5.7%
SAS 40.0%
3P %
38.9%
36.9%
NOH 41.2% +9.4%
SAS 31.8%
FT %
76.9%
76.1%
NOH 73.7%
SAS 100.0% +26.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
30.8%
NOH 33.3% +0.9%
SAS 32.5%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
44.1%
NOH 44.9%
SAS 39.0% −5.9%
3P Att. %
23.9%
25.1%
NOH 21.8%
SAS 28.6% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes22.325.8
Points8998
Rebounds3543
Assists1326
Steals53
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)35 (3)
Field Goals34-7837-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2618-25
Midrange FG16-3512-30
2-Point FG27-6130-55
3-Point FG7-177-22
Free Throws14-1917-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
42.0
16
47%
6
4
1
0
1
5
2
4
4-6
67%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 31
38.0
11
46%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 240 · 25
36.6
8
67%
10
1
1
1
1
5
2
8
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
36.5
27
54%
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
10-17
59%
1-6
17%
G · 6'7" 220 · 30
20.2
9
64%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
3-3
100%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31
19.5
2
14%
3
1
2
1
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
15.9
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 185 · 28
14.7
9
56%
4
2
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
11.4
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
6
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 32
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 29
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30
#32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
51%
35
13
5
3
7
0
7
28
14-19
74%
27-61
44%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.