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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Hawks20%9494
8Jazz80%105100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
39.4
35.0
14
50%
10
9
3
1
0
4
1
9
0-0
-
4-11
5-12
36%
46%
2-3
67%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
38.5
26.1
4
29%
9
1
0
1
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.7
38.1
31.7
16
63%
5
1
1
1
0
4
1
4
4-4
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.2
36.8
33.8
30
68%
12
2
2
1
2
3
5
7
3-5
60%
12-18
6-12
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.8
33.5
24.0
18
60%
1
9
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
42%
4-7
57%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.7
22.0
31.4
4
106%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
4-8
100%
55%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.0
14.1
13.8
4
69%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
10.0
12.6
4
34%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.0
5.5
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
2.2
3.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.1
13.6
0
1-3
42%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
1.8
0
0-0
44%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.3
39.4
32.5
21
54%
12
4
3
1
0
3
2
10
1-1
100%
10-19
8-14
53%
55%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
33.0
37.5
12
38%
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-14
6-11
43%
53%
0-2
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.7
31.9
34.5
8
49%
6
4
0
1
0
2
1
5
4-5
80%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
31.0
27.2
11
62%
4
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.9
24.0
22.3
12
51%
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.7
21.6
20.4
10
56%
1
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.0
20.9
22.4
3
39%
8
2
1
1
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
1-3
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.9
19.4
18.6
13
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6-6
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
15.0
10.2
10
85%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.2
3.9
5.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
5.0
0
1-1
49%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.8
4.4
0
0-1
42%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.