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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 24, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls21%8797
7Rockets79%97110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.1
28.4
32.9
10
56%
4
10
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
4-10
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.2
27.4
25.5
12
55%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.5
26.1
27.4
18
71%
6
5
1
1
2
2
1
5
4-4
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
43%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.0
24.7
26.0
2
33%
2
2
4
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.8
23.8
25.5
11
56%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
5-9
3-7
56%
43%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
25.6
29.4
5
23%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-7
4-10
14%
44%
1-4
25%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.4
25.4
15.8
12
47%
8
0
0
0
1
3
3
5
4-4
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
23.7
23.9
10
57%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
3-7
5-11
43%
48%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.1
21.8
21.1
13
59%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-6
63%
38%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.2
10.8
9.1
2
33%
6
1
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
2.2
2.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.5
21.9
1
1-3
40%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.5
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.5
41.0
36.4
11
58%
10
3
1
1
1
0
5
5
0-1
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
52%
3-5
60%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.4
36.5
35.3
12
47%
6
2
0
0
1
4
0
6
2-2
100%
5-12
8-14
42%
53%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.8
35.4
38.1
24
66%
4
8
2
1
0
1
0
4
8-12
67%
5-10
7-14
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.8
33.6
26.6
17
62%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
3-6
50%
7-11
4-9
64%
52%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
29.9
37.9
13
65%
5
4
4
1
0
6
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
45%
3-8
38%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
20.9
13.4
11
74%
4
4
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
3-4
75%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.0
19.3
23.0
14
75%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
2-3
67%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.4
16.9
23.4
6
45%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
2-6
33%
2-4
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.1
2.2
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.7
2.2
6.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
2.2
5.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.7
2.0
0
0-0
50%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.1
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.