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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 25, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Wizards28%9295
10Hornets72%10092
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.9
37.0
35.3
33
69%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
7-7
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
43%
4-10
40%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
36.7
36.0
10
27%
10
2
6
1
0
2
4
6
4-5
80%
3-13
6-14
23%
47%
0-3
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.2
34.0
32.3
12
52%
8
1
1
1
2
0
5
3
4-6
67%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.9
28.3
29.8
10
56%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.5
25.3
29.1
4
33%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
24.2
18.7
12
76%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.0
19.7
18.0
4
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
15.9
11.3
2
100%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
14.3
15.1
8
68%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.2
4.6
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
10.8
0
1-3
46%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
10.8
1
2-4
47%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.8
41.3
34.4
22
76%
5
8
2
2
0
4
1
4
0-1
0%
8-11
6-12
73%
51%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
39.7
36.4
13
48%
8
4
1
1
0
5
0
8
5-6
83%
4-11
8-15
36%
51%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.7
37.2
34.1
11
34%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
3-11
27%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.4
32.6
33.2
4
41%
11
2
0
1
1
1
4
7
0-2
0%
2-4
4-7
50%
60%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
27.5
18.3
18
98%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-5
60%
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
3-4
75%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.3
16.9
15.1
8
44%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
2-4
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
13.5
13.9
4
48%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-5
40%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
13.0
18.8
5
36%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.7
10.3
12.1
7
64%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.3
7.9
11.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.8
11.1
0
1-2
44%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.8
6.9
0
1-2
47%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.