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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Magic65%103102
25Nets35%9892
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.2
41.3
35.6
17
51%
10
0
0
1
2
4
0
10
7-15
47%
5-10
7-11
50%
60%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.9
40.4
34.5
25
76%
5
3
2
1
0
3
1
4
7-8
88%
6-9
4-9
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
38.6
37.3
25
82%
6
4
1
1
0
0
0
6
8-12
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
3-4
75%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
24.6
23.7
14
58%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
7-9
3-5
78%
50%
0-3
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.0
21.7
27.9
4
40%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.8
26.3
19.4
14
81%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.8
24.0
25.5
3
22%
4
0
3
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
16.4
14.6
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-3
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.0
6.7
11.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.6
6.0
0
1-1
46%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.7
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.5
3.0
0
0-0
44%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.0
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.0
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.1
42.4
39.6
26
54%
8
5
2
1
2
2
3
5
1-2
50%
8-17
7-14
47%
48%
3-6
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.7
40.1
36.8
20
54%
4
6
0
1
0
3
0
4
6-6
100%
4-12
6-13
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.2
34.6
28.5
10
38%
3
8
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
2-7
29%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
30.7
27.2
12
87%
11
0
1
1
1
0
2
9
0-2
0%
6-6
4-7
100%
54%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
14.3
16.1
5
43%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.6
34.0
24.4
11
46%
6
5
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-8
3-5
13%
47%
3-4
75%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.7
15.1
16.7
8
57%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.0
14.3
16.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.1
9.0
8.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
5.4
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.3
4.3
0
1-1
49%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.0
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.3
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.