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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Kings49%9786
17Heat51%98107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.3
32.8
34.3
14
40%
3
2
0
2
0
3
1
2
8-8
100%
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
0-5
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.1
31.1
32.7
14
55%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
4-6
5-9
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
29.1
33.3
4
29%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.3
26.3
21.9
8
82%
9
2
3
0
0
2
3
6
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.9
22.2
32.9
8
45%
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
5-9
43%
50%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.2
26.4
20.4
8
37%
4
1
0
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
51%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.8
25.7
14.2
16
68%
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2-4
50%
7-10
2-5
70%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
15.9
20.7
2
25%
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
12.5
7.8
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
9.3
6.7
7
72%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.4
8.7
8.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
2.9
0
0-0
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.6
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.8
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.1
37.2
38.5
15
51%
2
9
0
2
2
5
0
2
3-6
50%
6-11
9-17
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
35.1
36.6
24
78%
8
2
2
2
2
2
0
8
3-3
100%
9-13
5-9
69%
56%
1-1
100%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.2
30.8
28.0
14
56%
9
2
1
1
2
3
2
7
6-8
75%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
30.5
19.1
17
64%
7
1
3
0
0
1
2
5
5-5
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
27.7
26.5
10
63%
4
9
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.4
29.9
27.0
11
51%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
1-2
50%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
20.4
17.1
5
64%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
47%
1-3
33%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
17.9
9.3
11
63%
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2
3-4
75%
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.0
5.3
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
5.3
5.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.2
26.4
1
4-7
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.8
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.5
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.0
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.