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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30SuperSonics17%9799
14Warriors83%109105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.5
42.1
30.9
21
49%
9
1
1
1
0
4
2
7
1-1
100%
10-21
4-9
48%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
41.6
27.9
20
75%
13
3
1
1
2
1
6
7
2-3
67%
9-12
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.0
40.4
20.0
8
37%
6
15
3
1
0
4
0
6
0-2
0%
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.4
39.8
31.4
21
52%
4
7
1
1
3
5
2
2
3-3
100%
9-17
6-14
53%
45%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.1
18.2
22.6
4
33%
8
0
0
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
28.1
18.5
12
61%
7
1
1
0
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
17.1
17.8
9
57%
3
3
0
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.0
9.9
10.9
4
40%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.8
1.6
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.6
1.1
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.1
16.0
1
2-4
45%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33.1
15.0
0
1-3
44%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.2
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.7
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.9
44.1
39.6
20
40%
2
10
7
2
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
50%
2-8
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.3
41.6
40.3
30
66%
6
4
1
2
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
14-22
9-16
64%
54%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.9
36.0
32.0
17
43%
7
3
1
1
0
4
3
4
4-4
100%
5-15
4-8
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.0
29.0
28.1
5
28%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
50%
1-4
25%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
9.3
14.1
2
25%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
25.5
24.4
11
51%
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
4-6
2-3
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
22.0
9.6
14
109%
5
1
0
0
0
0
5
0
1-1
100%
5-5
1-2
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.0
14.7
17.7
4
25%
8
1
0
1
1
0
4
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
54%
0-1
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.0
7.5
15.6
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.9
6.3
5.6
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
3.9
17.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.9
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.0
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.