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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Kings39%95117
19Hawks61%99123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.9
39.9
28.5
25
67%
13
6
2
1
1
2
4
9
4-6
67%
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
3-5
60%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
37.7
31.1
25
60%
4
8
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
11-16
3-7
69%
45%
0-3
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.3
37.5
33.3
23
61%
7
4
1
2
0
2
3
4
6-11
55%
7-12
5-11
58%
46%
1-2
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.3
32.7
23.5
10
65%
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
4-6
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.1
21.9
31.8
6
30%
1
2
2
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
26.7
18.9
14
47%
4
0
2
1
1
2
3
1
2-4
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
2-7
29%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.2
21.4
22.7
8
58%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.4
10.3
8.7
2
33%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.8
8.6
18.7
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
3.0
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
0.3
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
3.0
0
0-0
43%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.8
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.6
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
44.1
37.0
26
68%
2
6
1
1
0
5
0
2
5-5
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
49%
5-7
71%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
41.1
29.1
16
82%
14
4
1
1
0
2
5
9
4-4
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.8
37.1
29.6
24
71%
5
12
1
1
1
1
0
5
8-9
89%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.2
32.0
33.9
14
42%
10
2
2
2
2
2
1
9
4-6
67%
5-14
6-13
36%
49%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
16.1
1.4
7
47%
5
0
1
0
0
2
4
1
1-1
100%
3-7
0-0
43%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.7
30.1
28.5
25
84%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
10-11
91%
6-9
4-7
67%
58%
1-1
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.0
16.7
15.9
5
43%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
10.6
11.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
6.1
2.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.0
6.0
7.6
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.7
31.9
1
5-11
48%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.1
8.2
0
1-2
47%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.