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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons47%9695
6Jazz53%97103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.0
40.8
33.7
22
54%
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
8-16
6-12
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.4
39.8
30.0
11
32%
10
2
0
1
3
1
2
8
7-10
70%
2-8
3-7
25%
48%
0-5
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.0
38.2
31.0
13
41%
6
4
2
0
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
47%
0-2
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.4
34.5
30.6
21
61%
4
4
1
1
0
3
2
2
4-5
80%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
3-5
60%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
34.4
28.8
8
46%
10
1
0
1
0
1
2
8
2-4
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.0
21.4
18.6
11
108%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
7-7
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
13.5
17.2
5
64%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.6
10.2
15.4
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
7.2
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.8
14.9
0
2-4
53%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
3.3
0
0-1
50%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.4
2.8
0
0-1
42%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.3
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
40.7
34.4
24
67%
7
4
0
1
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
6-10
3-7
60%
47%
4-8
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
38.6
34.9
14
51%
3
14
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
50%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.3
34.6
35.8
18
53%
15
3
0
1
1
6
4
11
0-0
-
9-17
8-15
53%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.9
33.8
23.3
13
66%
6
1
0
1
2
0
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
24.3
30.1
4
40%
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.7
23.7
21.6
7
54%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.0
20.7
21.1
19
83%
3
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
7-10
70%
6-7
3-6
86%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.9
14.2
18.2
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
9.4
12.2
2
20%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.2
3.4
0
0-0
43%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.8
2.5
0
0-1
40%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.2
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.