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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bucks39%97106
22Nets61%101120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.2
43.1
39.6
24
49%
4
7
2
1
1
2
0
4
6-10
60%
9-18
6-12
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
42.2
37.9
33
62%
3
3
0
1
1
3
2
1
9-13
69%
9-16
6-13
56%
49%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.2
36.4
36.0
22
69%
15
4
1
1
2
3
3
12
0-0
-
11-16
7-13
69%
53%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.4
33.4
31.2
10
57%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.5
27.9
27.6
9
50%
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
50%
1-2
50%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
20.9
16.6
5
63%
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.1
16.2
3.7
3
52%
9
0
0
0
0
0
6
3
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.3
9.9
15.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.2
6.9
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
2.1
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
1.2
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.7
8.4
0
1-2
47%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.7
39.0
37.6
19
57%
4
4
1
1
1
0
1
3
5-6
83%
4-10
7-13
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.1
35.1
39.9
19
66%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
7-9
7-14
78%
50%
1-4
25%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.2
29.8
30.6
11
43%
5
8
2
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
1-7
3-6
14%
45%
2-4
50%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
25.4
28.4
14
67%
7
1
1
1
1
1
5
2
0-1
0%
7-10
4-7
70%
57%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
16.6
15.4
8
59%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
20.9
15.0
21
69%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
3-6
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.1
19.9
9.0
9
52%
6
0
2
0
1
1
5
1
1-6
17%
4-6
1-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.3
19.0
3.2
4
29%
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
1-1
29%
50%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.7
17.4
28.3
13
111%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
3-4
75%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.0
14.8
15.2
2
33%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
2.1
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.7
15.4
1
1-1
48%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.1
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.