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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers23%97122
8Raptors77%106111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.0
42.0
33.7
10
36%
2
10
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
41.2
24.4
23
60%
9
4
0
1
1
0
0
9
3-3
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
42%
4-10
40%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.5
38.7
36.2
36
76%
6
4
0
1
0
4
0
6
8-11
73%
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
6-9
67%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.8
32.6
29.7
18
84%
8
2
1
1
0
3
1
7
3-4
75%
6-7
3-7
86%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.1
17.8
29.0
5
51%
6
3
1
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.1
37.1
23.2
12
41%
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
21.1
1.4
16
79%
6
2
1
0
0
1
1
5
7-7
100%
3-5
0-0
60%
47%
1-2
50%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.5
5.6
7.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.3
3.9
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.9
35.5
1
4-9
47%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.0
10.8
0
1-3
49%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.7
42.4
31.7
25
82%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
10-12
3-6
83%
50%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
40.8
27.4
13
69%
6
11
0
1
0
5
0
6
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
57%
2-3
67%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.3
40.1
23.6
27
54%
9
1
0
0
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
9-15
3-6
60%
46%
3-10
30%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.7
22.0
29.1
8
50%
5
1
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.9
9.6
36.4
7
48%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
2-6
8-15
33%
52%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.9
27.6
20.7
15
39%
4
9
1
1
0
1
2
2
5-5
100%
5-16
4-8
31%
48%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
27.5
22.6
6
39%
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
20.1
15.9
6
60%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
3.7
3.4
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.8
3.7
13.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
2.5
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.4
6.9
0
1-1
50%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 37.0
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.8
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.