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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Wizards41%9497
17Bulls59%9791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
38.6
33.5
17
40%
15
1
2
1
0
2
3
12
7-7
100%
5-15
6-13
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
36.6
27.2
16
56%
6
5
1
1
0
2
1
5
6-10
60%
5-10
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.3
33.4
32.4
10
49%
7
0
1
1
5
2
5
2
2-5
40%
4-8
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.0
31.8
16.4
14
80%
3
4
3
0
2
3
1
2
2-4
50%
6-7
2-5
86%
47%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.9
20.4
32.6
2
13%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
0-3
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
31.4
21.2
17
52%
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
4-5
80%
5-11
2-3
45%
47%
1-3
33%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.5
26.0
27.2
17
59%
10
2
1
1
2
3
6
4
3-3
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
9.8
18.3
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
7.7
14.1
2
33%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.2
4.3
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
10.8
1
1-3
47%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
10.8
1
2-4
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
44.4
29.1
18
60%
11
2
3
1
1
2
5
6
0-2
0%
9-14
6-12
64%
51%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.1
34.6
27.6
16
43%
4
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
4-13
3-8
31%
42%
1-3
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
34.5
21.0
16
63%
5
3
2
1
0
5
0
5
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
3-6
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.0
23.0
23.3
5
108%
4
4
1
1
2
2
3
1
3-3
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.5
9.2
23.9
2
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.2
30.4
22.5
19
68%
6
3
1
0
2
4
1
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
3-7
43%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
26.9
29.9
6
30%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.4
23.1
25.7
5
29%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-4
25%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.2
8.1
7.3
4
41%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.5
5.8
9.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
4.3
0
1-1
44%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
2.6
0
0-1
47%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.5
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.