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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs73%10096
24Bucks27%9294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.8
35.5
29.6
26
64%
2
5
1
1
0
4
0
2
4-10
40%
11-16
6-12
69%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
33.3
36.8
9
38%
7
4
0
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
4-11
8-16
36%
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.6
33.1
36.2
30
69%
4
4
3
2
0
3
0
4
9-11
82%
9-12
4-9
75%
51%
1-5
20%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.7
31.2
32.4
6
50%
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
21.0
15.9
2
53%
8
1
0
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
60%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
27.6
25.4
11
56%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.6
18.6
18.6
8
68%
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
52%
2-3
67%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.5
16.9
13.2
2
25%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.5
13.6
14.6
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
9.0
7.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.1
0.1
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
2.6
0
0-0
52%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
40.9
35.3
17
49%
15
2
2
1
2
0
6
9
5-10
50%
6-13
6-12
46%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
39.4
38.8
25
51%
4
1
0
1
0
6
1
3
9-12
75%
8-17
6-13
47%
48%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.5
23.9
27.2
4
20%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-7
4-9
14%
49%
0-2
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.4
23.1
31.4
12
53%
8
2
0
1
1
0
2
6
2-3
67%
5-10
4-9
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.2
22.4
40.0
13
66%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
34.7
18.4
6
33%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.7
27.8
6.5
11
61%
4
3
3
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
45%
3-4
75%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.2
14.9
8.5
4
41%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
7.1
7.5
2
114%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.3
5.8
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.1
9.5
0
0-1
42%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24.0
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.