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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Pistons76%96103
26Clippers24%8773
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.0
33.5
33.3
22
58%
3
10
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
10-17
5-10
59%
48%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.0
26.5
35.6
14
49%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
6-12
6-13
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.5
25.9
33.1
17
90%
6
2
0
1
4
0
0
6
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
2-2
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
25.1
15.8
9
48%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
1-3
33%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
22.4
30.4
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.8
22.9
10.5
4
50%
7
0
0
0
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.4
22.9
2.3
14
100%
2
6
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
0-1
100%
43%
2-3
67%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.0
20.1
19.6
6
43%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.6
20.1
13.5
8
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
16.0
10.5
5
87%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
4.7
2.6
4
45%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-3
0-1
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.4
31.6
1
3-7
48%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.4
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.3
38.4
37.0
22
52%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
11-14
79%
4-12
5-11
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
33.5
11.9
13
35%
14
0
0
0
1
1
6
8
3-4
75%
5-17
2-3
29%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
33.4
23.6
13
51%
6
3
1
0
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
4-9
3-6
44%
43%
0-1
0%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.5
28.3
35.1
4
29%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.3
27.5
27.6
8
69%
5
2
1
2
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.2
29.6
31.7
7
36%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-4
25%
3-7
5-12
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.5
15.9
15.3
4
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 26.8
13.6
15.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 36.4
10.6
7.0
2
35%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
4.7
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 26.0
4.7
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.0
33.6
1
4-8
47%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.0
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 22.5
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.