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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bucks35%101106
23Pacers65%106128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.2
34.7
32.4
15
69%
9
4
1
1
0
7
0
9
2-2
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
1-2
50%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
33.4
38.6
28
58%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
8-9
89%
7-15
7-14
47%
48%
2-5
40%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.4
28.0
27.7
15
55%
5
1
1
1
1
1
3
2
5-8
63%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
27.6
37.1
13
56%
9
4
0
1
1
1
2
7
3-6
50%
5-9
7-14
56%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.5
17.3
25.7
2
17%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
4-9
17%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.7
22.3
16.3
7
25%
8
0
0
1
0
0
5
3
0-0
-
2-10
2-3
20%
45%
1-4
25%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.2
19.9
11.5
7
44%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
16.9
25.3
6
43%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.3
14.3
10.5
4
41%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
11.9
8.0
6
31%
7
0
0
0
0
0
7
0
2-4
50%
2-8
1-2
25%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.1
8.4
6.8
3
32%
8
0
0
0
0
1
5
3
1-4
25%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
5.3
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24.0
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.9
38.0
23.7
27
55%
9
3
1
1
1
2
3
6
8-8
100%
8-16
3-6
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.5
34.4
36.4
36
81%
5
3
2
1
1
0
1
4
10-12
83%
7-11
5-9
64%
54%
4-6
67%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.0
31.7
36.1
15
66%
0
6
4
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
2-3
67%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.1
25.7
24.4
3
31%
16
3
0
1
2
1
5
11
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.8
24.3
30.3
13
46%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-5
80%
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
1-5
20%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
25.5
30.6
13
59%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
3-4
75%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.1
19.3
28.3
4
50%
5
5
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
51%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.5
18.8
7.1
7
74%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
7.9
3.9
4
58%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
1-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
6.0
2.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
5.3
9.8
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.3
3.1
3.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.0
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.0
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.