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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Trail Blazers34%99104
14Warriors66%104110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.6
36.9
25.8
26
52%
6
3
2
1
0
1
1
5
4-5
80%
8-17
5-10
47%
49%
2-6
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
33.4
33.7
15
51%
7
4
3
1
1
4
2
5
3-4
75%
6-13
7-15
46%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.0
32.5
29.6
11
56%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
1-4
25%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.4
26.5
26.9
6
90%
10
1
0
0
2
3
5
5
2-3
67%
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.2
15.7
27.4
2
25%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.4
30.3
17.5
12
73%
6
2
0
0
2
3
1
5
5-5
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.5
29.9
31.5
17
54%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
8-14
7-14
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
27.5
29.0
9
54%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.8
7.2
9.9
6
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.6
9.6
0
1-2
45%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
6.2
0
1-1
48%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.7
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.1
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.9
44.6
35.5
29
61%
9
1
1
1
2
1
1
8
5-6
83%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
6-11
55%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.3
43.4
38.5
22
62%
10
6
1
1
0
2
4
6
4-4
100%
9-16
8-15
56%
54%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.9
37.5
37.8
18
45%
1
5
2
2
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
49%
1-6
17%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
18.3
15.6
13
69%
7
1
0
0
1
0
4
3
1-1
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.0
8.0
14.6
1
27%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.0
24.0
22.4
13
65%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
49%
1-3
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
20.7
23.2
8
45%
1
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
17.9
10.3
4
67%
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
15.1
14.2
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.0
10.5
19.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.9
4.7
0
0-1
48%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
2.5
0
0-0
47%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.9
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.0
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.