Final Win Prob. pScore
2135%95
109
1565%100
120
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
119.89192.0
SAC logo Kings
129.09392.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Q4 - 0:00.0SAC109
120
Q4 - 0:01.0MIADavis Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)109
120
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)107
120
Q4 - 0:05.0SACMISS Martin Driving Layup107
120
Q4 - 0:29.0SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)107
120
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
120
Q4 - 0:46.0SACWorld Peace 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)107
120
Q4 - 1:05SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)107
117
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot107
117
Q4 - 1:21SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)107
117
Q4 - 1:21SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)107
116
Q4 - 1:21MIADavis S.FOUL (P4.T3)107
115
Q4 - 1:34MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)107
115
Q4 - 1:42MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
115
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Blount 23' Jump Shot104
115
Q4 - 1:50MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)104
115
Q4 - 1:55SACMartin Dunk (27 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)104
115
Q4 - 1:58MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)104
113
Q4 - 2:02MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
113
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
113
Q4 - 2:24SACMiller 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)104
113
Q4 - 2:51MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)104
111
Q4 - 3:01MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
111
Q4 - 3:01SACMISS World Peace 14' Fadeaway Jumper102
111
Q4 - 3:23MIAMarion 8' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)102
111
Q4 - 3:32SACMiller P.FOUL (P3.T1)100
111
Q4 - 3:48SACSalmons 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 9 AST)100
111
Q4 - 4:11MIAMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)100
108
Q4 - 4:31SACSalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)97
108
Q4 - 4:46MIASUB: Wade FOR Al. Johnson97
105
Q4 - 4:46SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)97
105
Q4 - 4:52SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)97
105
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Williams 11' Running Jump Shot97
105
Q4 - 5:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)97
105
Q4 - 5:06SACMISS World Peace 15' Jump Shot97
105
Q4 - 5:26MIAWilliams Driving Layup (18 PTS)97
105
Q4 - 5:41SACKINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)95
105
Q4 - 5:56SACSUB: Martin FOR Garcia95
105
Q4 - 5:5695
105
Q4 - 5:56MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P4.T2)95
105
Q4 - 6:14MIAWilliams 8' Running Bank Shot (16 PTS)95
105
Q4 - 6:31SACUdrih 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)93
105
Q4 - 6:50MIAUdrih STEAL (3 STL)93
103
Q4 - 7:15SACMiller Driving Dunk (12 PTS)93
103
Q4 - 7:36MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)93
101
Q4 - 7:55SACGarcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)91
101
Q4 - 7:55SACGarcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)91
100
Q4 - 7:55MIASUB: Marion FOR Wade91
99
Q4 - 7:55MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P2.T1)91
99
Q4 - 8:08SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot91
99
Q4 - 8:18SACWorld Peace 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)91
99
Q4 - 8:36MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS)91
97
Q4 - 8:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)89
97
Q4 - 9:05SACUdrih Driving Reverse Layup (21 PTS)89
97
Q4 - 9:13SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
95
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot89
95
Q4 - 9:19MIASUB: Williams FOR Banks89
95
Q4 - 9:19MIASUB: Blount FOR Haslem89
95
Q4 - 9:19SACSUB: World Peace FOR Moore89
95
Q4 - 9:39SACMiller 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 8 AST)89
95
Q4 - 9:59SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
92
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot89
92
Q4 - 10:21MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
92
Q4 - 10:22SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot89
92
Q4 - 10:36MIABanks Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)89
92
Q4 - 10:55SACMoore Dunk (4 PTS) (Udrih 7 AST)89
92
Q4 - 11:14MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Marion89
90
Q4 - 11:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)89
90
Q4 - 11:39MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
90
Q4 - 11:40SACMISS Moore 5' Jump Hook Shot89
90
Q4 - 12:0089
90
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC89
90
Q3 - 0:00.0SACMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
90
Q3 - 0:01.0SACMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot89
90
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMarion Dunk (14 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)89
90
Q3 - 0:40.0SACUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)87
90
Q3 - 1:00SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
87
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot87
87
Q3 - 1:12SACSUB: Salmons FOR World Peace87
87
Q3 - 1:12MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)87
87
Q3 - 1:23SACMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)87
87
Q3 - 1:28SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
84
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
84
Q3 - 1:55SACWorld Peace Driving Layup (27 PTS)87
84
Q3 - 2:11MIABanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
82
Q3 - 2:11MIAHeat Rebound86
82
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Banks Free Throw 1 of 286
82
Q3 - 2:11SACUdrih P.FOUL (P2.PN)86
82
Q3 - 2:22SACWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)86
82
Q3 - 2:22SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)86
81
Q3 - 2:22MIABanks P.FOUL (P3.PN)86
80
Q3 - 2:31SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
80
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot86
80
Q3 - 2:53SACWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)86
80
Q3 - 3:00SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
77
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
77
Q3 - 3:19SACUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
77
Q3 - 3:19SACUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
76
Q3 - 3:19MIAMarion S.FOUL (P3.PN)86
75
Q3 - 3:36SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
75
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 286
75
Q3 - 3:37MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
75
Q3 - 3:37SACMartin P.FOUL (P4.PN)85
75
Q3 - 3:53SACMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)85
75
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
75
Q3 - 4:31SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
75
Q3 - 4:31SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
74
Q3 - 4:31MIABanks S.FOUL (P2.PN)83
73
Q3 - 4:34SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
73
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Hook Shot83
73
Q3 - 4:51SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
73
Q3 - 4:51SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
72
Q3 - 4:51MIADavis S.FOUL (P3.PN)83
71
Q3 - 4:54SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)83
71
Q3 - 4:56SACMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
71
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
71
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
71
Q3 - 5:10SACMiller P.FOUL (P2.PN)81
71
Q3 - 5:26SACUdrih P.FOUL (P1.T4)81
71
Q3 - 5:27SACMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)81
71
Q3 - 5:43MIASUB: Davis FOR Barron81
71
Q3 - 5:43MIASUB: Banks FOR Williams81
71
Q3 - 5:43SACKINGS Rebound81
71
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot81
71
Q3 - 5:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
71
Q3 - 5:50SACMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot81
71
Q3 - 5:53SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
71
Q3 - 5:54SACMISS World Peace Layup81
71
Q3 - 5:58SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
71
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot81
71
Q3 - 6:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)81
71
Q3 - 6:15SACMartin 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)81
71
Q3 - 6:22SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
68
Q3 - 6:22SACMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot81
68
Q3 - 6:25SACKINGS Rebound81
68
Q3 - 6:26SACMISS Udrih Driving Layup81
68
Q3 - 6:40MIABarron Foul Turnover (P5.T12)81
68
Q3 - 6:40MIABarron OFF.Foul (P2)81
68
Q3 - 6:51SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
68
Q3 - 6:51SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
67
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.PN)81
66
Q3 - 7:01SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
66
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
66
Q3 - 7:14SACUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)81
66
Q3 - 7:34MIABarron Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)81
63
Q3 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
63
Q3 - 7:46SACMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot81
63
Q3 - 8:01MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)81
63
Q3 - 8:20SACMartin 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)79
63
Q3 - 8:40MIAMarion Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)79
61
Q3 - 8:47MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)77
61
Q3 - 8:50SACUdrih Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)77
61
Q3 - 8:50MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P3.PN)77
60
Q3 - 8:50SACUdrih 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)77
60
Q3 - 8:55SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
58
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot77
58
Q3 - 9:17SACWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
58
Q3 - 9:17SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
57
Q3 - 9:17MIAMarion S.FOUL (P2.PN)77
56
Q3 - 9:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
56
Q3 - 9:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
56
Q3 - 9:35SACMartin S.FOUL (P3.T3)75
56
Q3 - 9:48SACWorld Peace 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)75
56
Q3 - 10:02MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount75
54
Q3 - 10:02MIABlount Foul Turnover (P1.T10)75
54
Q3 - 10:02MIABlount OFF.Foul (P4)75
54
Q3 - 10:10SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
54
Q3 - 10:10SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
53
Q3 - 10:10MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T4)75
52
Q3 - 10:13SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
52
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
52
Q3 - 10:20MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
52
Q3 - 10:21SACMISS Moore 10' Jump Shot75
52
Q3 - 10:32MIAMarion P.FOUL (P1.T3)75
52
Q3 - 10:40MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
52
Q3 - 10:40MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
52
Q3 - 10:40SACMoore S.FOUL (P3.T2)73
52
Q3 - 10:59MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
52
Q3 - 11:00SACMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 273
52
Q3 - 11:00SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
52
Q3 - 11:00MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)73
51
Q3 - 11:16MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)73
51
Q3 - 11:34MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
51
Q3 - 11:35SACMISS Martin Free Throw 3 of 371
51
Q3 - 11:35SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)71
51
Q3 - 11:35SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)71
50
Q3 - 11:35MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)71
49
Q3 - 11:46MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
49
Q3 - 11:46MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
49
Q3 - 11:46SACMiller S.FOUL (P1.T1)69
49
Q3 - 11:46MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
49
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Haslem Layup69
49
Q3 - 12:0069
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA69
49
Q2 - 0:00.0SACUdrih Driving Layup (8 PTS)69
49
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
47
Q2 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Davis68
47
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
47
Q2 - 0:12.0SACWorld Peace P.FOUL (P1.PN)67
47
Q2 - 0:25.0SACSUB: Garcia FOR Martin67
47
Q2 - 0:25.0SACSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Moore67
47
Q2 - 0:25.0MIASUB: Davis FOR Haslem67
47
Q2 - 0:25.0SACMoore Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)67
47
Q2 - 0:34.0MIASUB: Barron FOR Davis67
47
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T4)67
47
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)67
47
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
47
Q2 - 0:45.0SACMISS World Peace 24' Jump Shot67
47
Q2 - 1:07MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS)67
47
Q2 - 1:09MIAHeat Rebound65
47
Q2 - 1:10MIAMoore BLOCK (1 BLK)65
47
Q2 - 1:24SACWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)65
47
Q2 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)65
44
Q2 - 1:34SACMoore S.FOUL (P2.T4)64
44
Q2 - 1:34MIAWade Dunk (13 PTS)64
44
Q2 - 1:49SACWorld Peace Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)62
44
Q2 - 2:01SACKINGS Rebound62
44
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Haslem 5' Running Hook Shot62
44
Q2 - 2:16SACWorld Peace 4' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)62
44
Q2 - 2:34MIADavis Foul Turnover (P1.T8)62
42
Q2 - 2:34MIADavis OFF.Foul (P2)62
42
Q2 - 2:47MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
42
Q2 - 2:48SACMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 262
42
Q2 - 2:48MIASUB: Haslem FOR Blount62
42
Q2 - 2:48SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
42
Q2 - 2:48MIABlount S.FOUL (P3.T3)62
41
Q2 - 2:54SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
41
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot62
41
Q2 - 3:14SACUdrih 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)62
41
Q2 - 3:25MIASUB: Williams FOR Banks62
39
Q2 - 3:25SACSUB: Hawes FOR Miller62
39
Q2 - 3:25SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)62
39
Q2 - 3:32MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)62
39
Q2 - 3:43SACMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)59
39
Q2 - 3:57MIAMarion Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)59
39
Q2 - 4:12SACSUB: Moore FOR Douby57
39
Q2 - 4:12SACSUB: Udrih FOR Johnson57
39
Q2 - 4:12SACMartin Foul Turnover (P2.T7)57
39
Q2 - 4:12SACMartin OFF.Foul (P2)57
39
Q2 - 4:27SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
39
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot57
39
Q2 - 4:44SACWorld Peace 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)57
39
Q2 - 4:59MIAMarion Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
39
Q2 - 5:14MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
39
Q2 - 5:15SACMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 255
39
Q2 - 5:15SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
39
Q2 - 5:15SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)55
38
Q2 - 5:15MIADavis S.FOUL (P1.T2)55
38
Q2 - 5:33MIABanks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)55
38
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
38
Q2 - 5:46SACMISS World Peace 8' Jump Shot52
38
Q2 - 5:56MIABanks 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
38
Q2 - 6:27SACDouby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)50
38
Q2 - 6:46MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
36
Q2 - 6:46MIASUB: Wade FOR Al. Johnson49
36
Q2 - 6:46MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
36
Q2 - 6:46SACSUB: Douby FOR Hawes48
36
Q2 - 6:46SACSUB: World Peace FOR Garcia48
36
Q2 - 6:46MIASUB: Blount FOR Barron48
36
Q2 - 6:46SACGarcia S.FOUL (P2.T3)48
36
Q2 - 6:51MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
36
Q2 - 6:52SACMISS Garcia 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
36
Q2 - 7:08MIABanks 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
36
Q2 - 7:28SACMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garcia 1 AST)46
36
Q2 - 7:43SACHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
33
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
33
Q2 - 7:57MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
33
Q2 - 7:58SACMISS Hawes 5' Jump Hook Shot46
33
Q2 - 8:05SACJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
33
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Al. Johnson 19' Jump Shot46
33
Q2 - 8:17SACHawes P.FOUL (P1.T2)46
33
Q2 - 8:32SACSUB: Martin FOR Salmons46
33
Q2 - 8:3246
33
Q2 - 8:32SACJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)46
33
Q2 - 8:32SACJohnson OFF.Foul (P1)46
33
Q2 - 8:47MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)46
33
Q2 - 9:07SACHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
33
Q2 - 9:07SACHawes Tip Shot (4 PTS)43
33
Q2 - 9:09SACMISS Miller 3' Layup43
31
Q2 - 9:30MIADavis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)43
31
Q2 - 9:40MIASUB: Marion FOR Wright41
31
Q2 - 9:40SACSUB: Miller FOR Moore41
31
Q2 - 9:40MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)41
31
Q2 - 9:49SACHawes 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)41
31
Q2 - 10:00SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
29
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
29
Q2 - 10:18SACSalmons 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)41
29
Q2 - 10:23MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)41
27
Q2 - 10:29SACHawes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)41
27
Q2 - 10:47MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)41
27
Q2 - 10:59SACMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)39
27
Q2 - 11:06MIABanks P.FOUL (P1.T1)39
27
Q2 - 11:19MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
27
Q2 - 11:19SACGarcia S.FOUL (P1.T1)38
27
Q2 - 11:19MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)38
27
Q2 - 11:24MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
27
Q2 - 11:26SACMISS Salmons 16' Jump Shot36
27
Q2 - 11:42MIAAl. Johnson Slam Dunk (4 PTS)36
27
Q2 - 12:0034
27
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC34
27
Q1 - 0:00.0SACKINGS Rebound34
27
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot34
27
Q1 - 0:20.0SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
27
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 234
27
Q1 - 0:20.0SACSUB: Garcia FOR Martin34
27
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
27
Q1 - 0:20.0SACSalmons S.FOUL (P2.PN)33
27
Q1 - 0:28.0SACJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
27
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAAl. Johnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)33
25
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
25
Q1 - 0:47.0SACMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
25
Q1 - 0:58.0SACSUB: Johnson FOR Udrih33
25
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P1.T3)33
25
Q1 - 1:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
25
Q1 - 1:10SACSalmons S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
25
Q1 - 1:10MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
25
Q1 - 1:16MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
25
Q1 - 1:18SACMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
25
Q1 - 1:36MIAAl. Johnson Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)30
25
Q1 - 1:50MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Haslem28
25
Q1 - 1:50MIASUB: Wright FOR Marion28
25
Q1 - 1:50SACSUB: Salmons FOR Miller28
25
Q1 - 1:50MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)28
25
Q1 - 1:59SACMoore Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)28
25
Q1 - 2:15MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)28
23
Q1 - 2:27SACUdrih 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
23
Q1 - 2:42MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)26
21
Q1 - 2:49MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
21
Q1 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
21
Q1 - 2:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
21
Q1 - 2:58SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot23
21
Q1 - 3:08MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
21
Q1 - 3:22SACMiller 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)20
21
Q1 - 3:35SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
19
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot20
19
Q1 - 3:46SACMartin Violation:Kicked Ball20
19
Q1 - 3:54SACMoore P.FOUL (P1.T1)20
19
Q1 - 4:03SACUdrih Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
19
Q1 - 4:08MIAUdrih STEAL (2 STL)20
17
Q1 - 4:28SACWorld Peace 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)20
17
Q1 - 4:39MIABarron Foul Turnover (P3.T4)20
15
Q1 - 4:39MIABarron OFF.Foul (P1)20
15
Q1 - 4:58SACWorld Peace 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
15
Q1 - 5:24SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
13
Q1 - 5:24MIABarron Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)20
13
Q1 - 5:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
13
Q1 - 5:29SACMISS Udrih Layup20
13
Q1 - 5:34MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)20
13
Q1 - 5:52SACWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
13
Q1 - 6:04MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)20
10
Q1 - 6:20SACMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T2)18
10
Q1 - 6:20SACMartin OFF.Foul (P1)18
10
Q1 - 6:31MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
10
Q1 - 6:37SACMoore Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)15
10
Q1 - 6:39MIAMoore STEAL (1 STL)15
10
Q1 - 6:51MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10
Q1 - 6:52SACMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot15
10
Q1 - 7:05MIAMarion Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
10
Q1 - 7:29SACMiller 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)13
10
Q1 - 7:51MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
8
Q1 - 8:03SACWorld Peace 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
8
Q1 - 8:19MIABarron 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
6
Q1 - 8:32SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
6
Q1 - 8:32MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount9
5
Q1 - 8:32SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
5
Q1 - 8:32MIABlount S.FOUL (P2.T2)9
4
Q1 - 8:33SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)9
4
Q1 - 8:34SACMISS Miller Layup9
4
Q1 - 8:42SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
4
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot9
4
Q1 - 8:48MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
4
Q1 - 8:49SACMISS World Peace 6' Jump Shot9
4
Q1 - 9:05SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
4
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
4
Q1 - 9:14MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
4
Q1 - 9:15SACMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot9
4
Q1 - 9:30MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)9
4
Q1 - 9:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
4
Q1 - 9:43SACMISS Moore 5' Jump Hook Shot6
4
Q1 - 9:57SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 10:18SACWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)6
4
Q1 - 10:20SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
2
Q1 - 10:22SACMISS World Peace Driving Layup6
2
Q1 - 10:27SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
2
Q1 - 10:29SACMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 10:37MIABlount P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
2
Q1 - 10:51MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 11:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
2
Q1 - 11:11SACMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot3
2
Q1 - 11:30MIABlount 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
2
Q1 - 11:49SACMartin Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:58SACJump Ball Miller vs. Blount: Tip to Moore0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.5%
SAC
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
17
82%
SAC
17
27
63%
Midrange
MIA
15
30
50%
SAC
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
SAC
12
18.0
17
71%
106%
Free Throws
MIA
18
21
86%
SAC
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2668%13.0 / 19
S. Marion1968%9.5 / 14
J. Williams1875%9.0 / 12
R. Davis1464%7.0 / 11
M. Banks867%4.0 / 6
M. Blount750%3.5 / 7
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
E. Barron4100%2.0 / 2
A. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
D. Wright3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. World Peace3267%16.0 / 24
K. Martin2973%14.5 / 20
B. Udrih2388%11.5 / 13
B. Miller1450%7.0 / 14
J. Salmons8100%4.0 / 4
M. Moore440%2.0 / 5
S. Hawes467%2.0 / 3
F. Garcia250%1.0 / 2
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
Q. Douby2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+5
-15
81
SAC
81
+10
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.5%
SAC
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
107.2
MIA 119.8
SAC 129.0 +9.3
Pace
90.5
95.0
MIA 92.0
SAC 92.0 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.0
MIA 15.7
SAC 15.6 −0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
50.3%
MIA 64.1%
SAC 64.4% +0.3%
TO %
15.4%
16.0%
MIA 16.6%
SAC 13.1% −3.5%
ORB %
22.2%
25.1%
MIA 13.3%
SAC 23.5% +10.2%
FTrt
30.0
34.6
MIA 29.6
SAC 41.1 +11.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
51.5%
MIA 60.0% +6.3%
SAC 53.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
MIA 5.5%
SAC 7.5% +2.0%
BLK %
7.1%
6.5%
MIA 3.6% +1.5%
SAC 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
54.1%
MIA 66.5% +0.6%
SAC 65.9%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.2%
MIA 82.4% +19.4%
SAC 63.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.7%
MIA 50.0% +8.6%
SAC 41.4%
3P %
35.8%
37.3%
MIA 45.8%
SAC 70.6% +24.8%
FT %
72.7%
79.8%
MIA 85.7%
SAC 86.7% +1.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
36.7%
MIA 23.9%
SAC 37.0% +13.0%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
42.5%
MIA 42.3%
SAC 39.7% −2.5%
3P Att. %
21.7%
20.8%
MIA 33.8% +10.5%
SAC 23.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes23.824.3
Points109120
Rebounds3034
Assists2422
Steals57
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)26 (2)
Field Goals40-7141-73
At-the-Rim FG14-1717-27
Midrange FG15-3012-29
2-Point FG29-4729-56
3-Point FG11-2412-17
Free Throws18-2126-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 30
40.5
19
68%
8
2
0
1
0
3
1
7
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
39.6
26
68%
2
7
0
0
4
3
0
2
9-10
90%
7-10
70%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
31.0
18
75%
5
8
1
0
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
4-5
80%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
27.4
6
60%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
18.7
7
50%
3
0
1
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
29.4
14
64%
2
1
0
0
2
4
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 27
18.7
4
100%
1
0
0
0
5
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
17.0
8
67%
2
4
2
0
2
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
13.5
4
67%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
4.2
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'5" 210 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
67%
30
24
5
2
15
0
4
26
18-21
86%
29-47
62%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.