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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Heat35%95109
15Kings65%100120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
40.5
35.7
19
69%
8
2
0
2
1
0
1
7
4-4
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
56%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.1
39.6
35.0
26
67%
2
7
0
2
0
4
0
2
9-10
90%
7-10
8-16
70%
50%
1-5
20%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
31.0
22.1
18
76%
5
8
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
4-5
80%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
27.4
22.3
6
60%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
18.7
25.0
7
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.4
29.4
26.7
14
64%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
18.7
18.6
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
17.0
23.2
8
68%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
13.5
11.7
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.2
4.2
18.7
3
104%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
5.1
0
1-1
55%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
4.3
0
0-1
45%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.8
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.9
40.4
33.6
14
51%
9
7
0
1
0
1
4
5
3-4
75%
4-10
5-9
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
39.2
34.4
23
86%
4
9
3
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
48%
2-2
100%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.3
38.9
36.0
32
67%
3
2
1
2
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
8-16
6-13
50%
49%
4-6
67%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.1
37.7
31.6
29
74%
4
0
1
1
0
4
1
3
14-17
82%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
3-4
75%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.3
32.8
26.1
4
40%
8
0
1
1
1
3
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
57%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.2
18.5
21.4
8
100%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
2-2
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
12.1
19.5
2
53%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.4
8.8
8.9
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.8
8.7
12.8
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
2.6
4.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
0.4
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
2.9
0
0-0
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.6
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.