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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Raptors35%9887
10Magic65%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.7
38.2
35.6
19
64%
9
2
0
1
0
2
4
5
2-2
100%
7-12
4-7
58%
49%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
33.6
30.5
14
50%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
55%
0-3
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.7
33.0
26.0
6
38%
6
2
2
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.4
26.8
24.9
6
25%
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
45%
0-2
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.8
18.6
16.7
2
14%
7
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
27.4
23.4
4
25%
9
3
0
1
0
0
2
7
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-4
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
18.6
17.2
4
41%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.9
16.4
22.0
20
68%
2
2
2
1
0
7
0
2
3-4
75%
7-11
4-9
64%
46%
1-2
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
16.3
8.7
10
54%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-3
0%
5-8
1-3
63%
46%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.4
8.5
4.9
2
26%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
1.4
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.8
1.4
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.9
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 37.0
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.0
40.1
38.5
24
64%
7
8
0
1
0
3
0
7
4-6
67%
7-13
5-10
54%
48%
2-3
67%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
37.2
35.7
22
82%
4
1
2
1
1
3
0
4
1-1
100%
6-6
3-6
100%
50%
3-7
43%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.2
29.7
37.6
19
70%
14
0
1
1
1
3
1
13
5-8
63%
7-10
7-12
70%
59%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.1
28.4
27.8
13
55%
6
4
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
25.9
20.6
2
14%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-4
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.8
25.1
23.7
6
100%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
2-3
67%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.6
20.1
22.0
7
47%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
19.4
15.3
6
43%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.0
13.4
7.8
3
52%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.0
0.6
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.7
6.7
0
1-1
47%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.5
3.0
0
0-0
44%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.0
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.