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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Magic49%101122
19Wizards51%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
32.1
23.0
17
87%
6
1
2
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
2-3
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.2
31.8
33.5
20
68%
11
1
2
1
0
2
2
9
6-6
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
58%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
30.4
35.6
17
61%
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
4-8
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.0
27.9
38.4
12
61%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.1
21.4
28.0
9
113%
1
10
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.6
26.6
21.1
11
62%
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
20.5
17.4
6
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.8
18.4
24.4
17
96%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
3-5
60%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.0
10.8
10.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.7
9.2
4.5
5
64%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.5
5.4
2.6
4
52%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.0
5.4
1.8
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
49%
0-0
-
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.0
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.8
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.9
31.5
28.6
17
68%
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
2-3
67%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
28.7
35.3
19
44%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
6-8
75%
5-13
7-14
38%
48%
1-5
20%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
24.9
26.2
8
44%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.3
18.9
30.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
54%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
17.5
32.0
2
20%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
28.5
21.4
14
56%
3
3
1
1
3
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
3-8
38%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.5
23.8
24.5
2
10%
6
5
2
1
2
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-10
4-8
10%
50%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.2
23.3
8.3
15
84%
5
0
0
0
0
6
2
3
2-2
100%
5-6
1-2
83%
51%
1-2
50%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
22.6
13.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
20.5
13.9
15
111%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
3-3
2-5
100%
47%
2-2
100%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
10.9
0
1-3
48%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
10.8
1
2-4
49%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.