Final Win Prob. pScore
1447%95
108
2053%96
83
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
117.49285.9
MIA logo Heat
91.29198.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR108
83
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)108
83
Q4 - 0:17.0TORBlount STEAL (1 STL)108
80
Q4 - 0:30.0MIABanks Driving Layup (21 PTS)108
80
Q4 - 0:38.0MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)108
78
Q4 - 0:39.0TORMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot108
78
Q4 - 0:45.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)108
78
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Banks 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
78
Q4 - 0:59.0TORHumphries Violation:Kicked Ball108
78
Q4 - 1:11TORGraham Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)108
78
Q4 - 1:25MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)108
78
Q4 - 1:38TORBaston Layup (5 PTS)108
76
Q4 - 1:45TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)106
76
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Banks Reverse Layup106
76
Q4 - 1:56MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
76
Q4 - 1:58TORMISS Humphries 18' Jump Shot106
76
Q4 - 2:11MIASUB: Blount FOR Al. Johnson106
76
Q4 - 2:11MIAAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P4.T20)106
76
Q4 - 2:11MIAAl. Johnson OFF.Foul (P6)106
76
Q4 - 2:21MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)106
76
Q4 - 2:22TORMISS Baston Free Throw 2 of 2106
76
Q4 - 2:22TORBaston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)106
76
Q4 - 2:22TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)105
76
Q4 - 2:22MIABarron S.FOUL (P4.PN)105
76
Q4 - 2:36MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)105
76
Q4 - 2:53TORHumphries Driving Dunk (3 PTS)105
74
Q4 - 3:14TORBaston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
74
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
74
Q4 - 3:27TORBaston 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)103
74
Q4 - 3:30TORBaston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)101
74
Q4 - 3:32TORMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot101
74
Q4 - 3:58MIABanks Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T19)101
74
Q4 - 4:04TORFord 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)101
74
Q4 - 4:11MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
74
Q4 - 4:11MIAHEAT Rebound99
73
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 299
73
Q4 - 4:11TORBaston P.FOUL (P2.PN)99
73
Q4 - 4:12TORDavis STEAL (2 STL)99
73
Q4 - 4:28MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)99
73
Q4 - 4:28MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)99
72
Q4 - 4:28TORBaston P.FOUL (P1.PN)99
71
Q4 - 4:35TORSUB: Baston FOR Brezec99
71
Q4 - 4:35TORSUB: Graham FOR Delfino99
71
Q4 - 4:35MIAHEAT Rebound99
71
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Barron Dunk99
71
Q4 - 4:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)99
71
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot99
71
Q4 - 4:54TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)99
71
Q4 - 5:06TORBrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
71
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
71
Q4 - 5:19MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
71
Q4 - 5:20TORMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot97
71
Q4 - 5:33MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
71
Q4 - 5:33MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
70
Q4 - 5:33TORDelfino P.FOUL (P2.PN)97
69
Q4 - 5:44TORFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
69
Q4 - 5:44TORFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
69
Q4 - 5:44MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)95
69
Q4 - 5:44MIADavis P.FOUL (P3.PN)95
69
Q4 - 5:51TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
69
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Davis 18' Fadeaway Jumper95
69
Q4 - 6:16TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)95
69
Q4 - 6:25TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
69
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
69
Q4 - 6:37TORDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)93
69
Q4 - 6:37TORRaptors Rebound92
69
Q4 - 6:37TORMISS Delfino Free Throw 1 of 292
69
Q4 - 6:37MIADavis P.FOUL (P2.PN)92
69
Q4 - 6:46MIABanks Driving Layup (19 PTS)92
69
Q4 - 6:57TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)92
67
Q4 - 6:57TORRaptors Rebound91
67
Q4 - 6:57TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 291
67
Q4 - 6:57MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P5.PN)91
67
Q4 - 7:15MIABanks 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)91
67
Q4 - 7:30TORBrezec Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)91
65
Q4 - 7:30TORBrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)90
65
Q4 - 7:30MIADavis S.FOUL (P1.T4)89
65
Q4 - 7:45MIABanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
65
Q4 - 7:45MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
64
Q4 - 7:45TORFord S.FOUL (P3.T4)89
63
Q4 - 7:57TORKapono P.FOUL (P3.T3)89
63
Q4 - 8:13MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
63
Q4 - 8:14TORMISS Brezec Free Throw 2 of 289
63
Q4 - 8:14TORBrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
63
Q4 - 8:14MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P4.T3)88
63
Q4 - 8:30MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)88
63
Q4 - 8:3988
63
Q4 - 8:39TORFord P.FOUL (P2.T2)88
63
Q4 - 8:40MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
63
Q4 - 8:41TORMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
63
Q4 - 8:57MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)88
63
Q4 - 9:15TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)88
60
Q4 - 9:23MIAAl. Johnson L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)86
60
Q4 - 9:23TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
60
Q4 - 9:24TORMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot86
60
Q4 - 9:36TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
60
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Barron 10' Running Jump Shot86
60
Q4 - 9:58TORDelfino Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)86
60
Q4 - 10:05MIABanks P.FOUL (P3.T1)84
60
Q4 - 10:26MIAQuinn Driving Layup (2 PTS)84
60
Q4 - 10:32TORBrezec P.FOUL (P2.T1)84
58
Q4 - 10:47TORFord 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
58
Q4 - 11:06MIADavis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T17)82
58
Q4 - 11:23TORKapono 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)82
58
Q4 - 11:45MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)80
58
Q4 - 12:0080
58
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
58
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound80
58
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot80
58
Q3 - 0:08.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
58
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 2 of 280
58
Q3 - 0:10.0TORSUB: Kapono FOR Nesterovic80
58
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
58
Q3 - 0:10.0TORDelfino S.FOUL (P1.PN)80
57
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)80
57
Q3 - 0:31.0TORMISS Nesterovic 3PT Jump Shot80
57
Q3 - 0:52.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
57
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
57
Q3 - 0:59.0MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
57
Q3 - 1:00TORMISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot80
57
Q3 - 1:13TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
57
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 280
57
Q3 - 1:15MIAHEAT Rebound80
57
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 280
57
Q3 - 1:15TORParker P.FOUL (P2.PN)80
57
Q3 - 1:28TORMoon 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)80
57
Q3 - 1:46MIABanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
57
Q3 - 1:46MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
56
Q3 - 1:46TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon78
55
Q3 - 1:46MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Wade78
55
Q3 - 1:46TORNesterovic P.FOUL (P3.T3)78
55
Q3 - 1:56MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)78
55
Q3 - 1:58TORMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot78
55
Q3 - 2:12TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)78
55
Q3 - 2:18TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
55
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot78
55
Q3 - 2:29MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)78
55
Q3 - 2:30TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
55
Q3 - 2:49MIABanks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)78
55
Q3 - 3:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
52
Q3 - 3:06TORMISS Moon Free Throw 1 of 178
52
Q3 - 3:06MIAMarion S.FOUL (P3.PN)78
52
Q3 - 3:06TORMoon Layup (12 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)78
52
Q3 - 3:15TORSUB: Delfino FOR Humphries76
52
Q3 - 3:15MIABanks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)76
52
Q3 - 3:26TORNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 13 AST)76
52
Q3 - 3:44MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)74
52
Q3 - 4:02TORMoon 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)74
50
Q3 - 4:21MIABarron 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)72
50
Q3 - 4:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
48
Q3 - 4:39TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 2 of 272
48
Q3 - 4:39TORRaptors Rebound72
48
Q3 - 4:39TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 272
48
Q3 - 4:39MIABarron S.FOUL (P3.PN)72
48
Q3 - 4:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)72
48
Q3 - 4:56TORHumphries S.FOUL (P1.T2)72
47
Q3 - 4:56MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)72
47
Q3 - 5:12TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)72
45
Q3 - 5:29TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
45
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
45
Q3 - 5:42TORNesterovic Tip Shot (14 PTS)69
45
Q3 - 5:43TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
45
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Humphries 8' Jump Shot67
45
Q3 - 6:02TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
45
Q3 - 6:04TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot67
45
Q3 - 6:14MIASUB: Banks FOR Williams67
45
Q3 - 6:14MIABarron P.FOUL (P2.T4)67
45
Q3 - 6:15TORRaptors Rebound67
45
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot67
45
Q3 - 6:33TORMoon Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)67
45
Q3 - 6:47TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
45
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot65
45
Q3 - 7:03MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
45
Q3 - 7:05TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot65
45
Q3 - 7:11MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3)65
45
Q3 - 7:22TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
45
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS Barron 9' Hook Shot65
45
Q3 - 7:32MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)65
45
Q3 - 7:38TORParker 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)65
45
Q3 - 7:43MIASUB: Barron FOR Al. Johnson63
45
Q3 - 7:43MIASUB: Davis FOR Blount63
45
Q3 - 7:43MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P2.T2)63
45
Q3 - 7:50TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
45
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
45
Q3 - 8:16TORParker 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)63
45
Q3 - 8:37MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)61
45
Q3 - 9:00TORNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)61
45
Q3 - 9:11MIAAl. Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)59
45
Q3 - 9:18TORNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)59
45
Q3 - 9:31TORRaptors Rebound57
45
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 257
45
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
45
Q3 - 9:32TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T1)57
44
Q3 - 9:43TORWilliams STEAL (1 STL)57
44
Q3 - 9:57TORSUB: Humphries FOR Bargnani57
44
Q3 - 9:57TORBargnani Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
44
Q3 - 9:57TORBargnani Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
44
Q3 - 9:57TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)55
44
Q3 - 9:57MIAAl. Johnson FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T1)55
44
Q3 - 10:09TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
44
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
44
Q3 - 10:22MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
44
Q3 - 10:24TORMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot55
44
Q3 - 10:55MIAMarion Layup (4 PTS) (Al. Johnson 1 AST)55
44
Q3 - 11:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
42
Q3 - 11:07TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot55
42
Q3 - 11:24MIAMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)55
42
Q3 - 11:42TORMoon 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)55
42
Q3 - 12:0053
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound53
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 68' 3PT Jump Shot53
42
Q2 - 0:01.0TORNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)53
42
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)51
42
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHEAT Rebound51
42
Q2 - 0:40.0TORMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
42
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMarion Dunk (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)51
42
Q2 - 1:04TORDavis STEAL (1 STL)51
40
Q2 - 1:09MIABlount P.FOUL (P2.T4)51
40
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade Reverse Layup (10 PTS)51
40
Q2 - 1:36MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
38
Q2 - 1:37TORMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
38
Q2 - 1:47TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
38
Q2 - 1:49TORMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot51
38
Q2 - 2:01TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
38
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot51
38
Q2 - 2:08MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
38
Q2 - 2:10TORMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot51
38
Q2 - 2:28MIAMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)51
38
Q2 - 2:36MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
38
Q2 - 2:38TORMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
38
Q2 - 2:54MIABlount 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)51
38
Q2 - 3:12TORCalderon 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
36
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
36
Q2 - 3:48MIASUB: Marion FOR Barron49
34
Q2 - 3:48MIASUB: Blount FOR Al. Johnson49
34
Q2 - 3:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)49
34
Q2 - 3:56TORCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)49
34
Q2 - 4:03TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
34
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
34
Q2 - 4:10MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
34
Q2 - 4:11TORMISS Bargnani 24' Jump Shot46
34
Q2 - 4:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)46
34
Q2 - 4:42TORNesterovic Layup (6 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)46
34
Q2 - 4:52MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)44
34
Q2 - 4:54MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
34
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot44
34
Q2 - 5:13TORDelfino Reverse Layup (4 PTS)44
34
Q2 - 5:24MIASUB: Williams FOR Banks42
34
Q2 - 5:24MIABanks P.FOUL (P2.T3)42
34
Q2 - 5:34TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
34
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Davis Layup42
34
Q2 - 5:45TORSUB: Parker FOR Brezec42
34
Q2 - 5:45TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Kapono42
34
Q2 - 5:45TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford42
34
Q2 - 5:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)42
34
Q2 - 5:45TORBrezec 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)42
34
Q2 - 6:05MIABanks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)42
34
Q2 - 6:24MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
31
Q2 - 6:26TORMISS Brezec Free Throw 1 of 142
31
Q2 - 6:26MIASUB: Wade FOR Marion42
31
Q2 - 6:26MIAMarion S.FOUL (P2.T2)42
31
Q2 - 6:26TORBrezec Layup (6 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)42
31
Q2 - 6:38MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
31
Q2 - 6:38MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
30
Q2 - 6:38TORKapono S.FOUL (P2.T4)40
29
Q2 - 6:42TORKapono P.FOUL (P1.T3)40
29
Q2 - 6:57TORBrezec Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
29
Q2 - 6:57TORBrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
29
Q2 - 6:57TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Moon38
29
Q2 - 6:57MIAMarion S.FOUL (P1.T1)38
29
Q2 - 7:01TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
29
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup38
29
Q2 - 7:21TORFord 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
29
Q2 - 7:45MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
29
Q2 - 7:55TORFord Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)36
27
Q2 - 7:55MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Wade35
27
Q2 - 7:5535
27
Q2 - 7:5535
27
Q2 - 8:05TORFord 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
27
Q2 - 8:25MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
27
Q2 - 8:32MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
24
Q2 - 8:34TORMISS Brezec 20' Jump Shot33
24
Q2 - 8:50MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)33
24
Q2 - 9:11TORFord Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
21
Q2 - 9:14MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)31
21
Q2 - 9:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
21
Q2 - 9:18TORMISS Ford Reverse Layup31
21
Q2 - 9:38MIABarron 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
21
Q2 - 9:47TORBrezec P.FOUL (P1.T2)31
19
Q2 - 9:55MIAHEAT Rebound31
19
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Marion Layup31
19
Q2 - 9:59MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
19
Q2 - 10:00TORMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot31
19
Q2 - 10:19MIABanks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)31
19
Q2 - 10:19TORFord P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
19
Q2 - 10:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
19
Q2 - 10:38TORMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot31
19
Q2 - 10:47TORRaptors Rebound31
19
Q2 - 10:48TORBarron BLOCK (1 BLK)31
19
Q2 - 10:52TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
19
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Banks 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
19
Q2 - 11:17TORBrezec 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
19
Q2 - 11:45MIABanks Layup (5 PTS)29
19
Q2 - 11:50TORBarron STEAL (1 STL)29
17
Q2 - 12:0029
17
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR29
17
Q1 - 0:00.0TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
17
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Ford Layup29
17
Q1 - 0:24.0TORSUB: Calderon FOR Nesterovic29
17
Q1 - 0:24.0TORSUB: Kapono FOR Parker29
17
Q1 - 0:24.0MIABarron Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)29
17
Q1 - 0:40.0MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
17
Q1 - 0:42.0TORMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)29
17
Q1 - 1:02MIABanks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)29
17
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
14
Q1 - 1:15TORMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
14
Q1 - 1:31TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
14
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot29
14
Q1 - 1:50TORDelfino Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)29
14
Q1 - 1:57TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon27
14
Q1 - 1:57MIABarron P.FOUL (P1.T3)27
14
Q1 - 2:09MIABarron Layup (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)27
14
Q1 - 2:26TORNesterovic Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)27
12
Q1 - 2:33TORSUB: Delfino FOR Moon25
12
Q1 - 2:33TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
12
Q1 - 2:33MIABanks P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
12
Q1 - 2:44MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)25
12
Q1 - 2:58TORCalderon Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
10
Q1 - 3:07TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
10
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Barron 14' Jump Shot23
10
Q1 - 3:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
10
Q1 - 3:21TORMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
10
Q1 - 3:36MIABarron Tip Shot (2 PTS)23
10
Q1 - 3:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
8
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot23
8
Q1 - 3:39MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
8
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot23
8
Q1 - 3:45MIAHEAT Rebound23
8
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Marion Layup23
8
Q1 - 3:48MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
8
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk23
8
Q1 - 3:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)23
8
Q1 - 4:03TORCalderon Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
8
Q1 - 4:24MIASUB: Banks FOR Williams21
8
Q1 - 4:24TORRaptors Rebound21
8
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot21
8
Q1 - 4:49TORMoon Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)21
8
Q1 - 4:53MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)19
8
Q1 - 4:57MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
8
Q1 - 4:58TORMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot19
8
Q1 - 5:12MIASUB: Davis FOR Blount19
8
Q1 - 5:12MIASUB: Barron FOR Al. Johnson19
8
Q1 - 5:12TORRaptors Rebound19
8
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
8
Q1 - 5:22TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)19
8
Q1 - 5:34TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
8
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot17
8
Q1 - 5:46MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
8
Q1 - 5:47TORMISS Calderon 19' Jump Shot17
8
Q1 - 5:59TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
8
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot17
8
Q1 - 6:18TORMoon Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)17
8
Q1 - 6:30TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
8
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Al. Johnson 7' Jump Shot15
8
Q1 - 6:47TORBargnani Driving Layup (8 PTS)15
8
Q1 - 6:57TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
8
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Al. Johnson 18' Jump Shot13
8
Q1 - 7:10MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
8
Q1 - 7:17TORParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)13
8
Q1 - 7:29TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
8
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Blount Layup10
8
Q1 - 7:44TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)10
8
Q1 - 7:56TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
8
Q1 - 7:57TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
8
Q1 - 8:10MIABlount P.FOUL (P1.T1)7
8
Q1 - 8:25MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
8
Q1 - 8:49MIAAl. Johnson Violation:Defensive Goaltending7
5
Q1 - 8:49TORNesterovic 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
5
Q1 - 8:50TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
5
Q1 - 8:51TORMISS Bargnani Reverse Layup5
5
Q1 - 9:04MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
5
Q1 - 9:08TORWade STEAL (1 STL)5
5
Q1 - 9:16TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
5
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot5
5
Q1 - 9:33TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)5
5
Q1 - 9:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
5
Q1 - 9:49TORParker P.FOUL (P1.T2)2
5
Q1 - 10:01TORParker 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
5
Q1 - 10:15MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
5
Q1 - 10:38TORNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
3
Q1 - 10:54MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
3
Q1 - 11:07MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
1
Q1 - 11:08TORMISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot0
1
Q1 - 11:20MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
1
Q1 - 11:24MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
1
Q1 - 11:25TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot0
1
Q1 - 11:43TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
1
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 20
1
Q1 - 11:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:44TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Al. Johnson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.17 58.7%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
17
22
77%
MIA
13
22
59%
Midrange
TOR
23
44
52%
MIA
9
25
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
MIA
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
TOR
13
21
62%
MIA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Nesterovic1667%8.0 / 12
J. Moon1464%7.0 / 11
T. Ford1365%6.5 / 10
A. Parker1260%6.0 / 10
A. Bargnani1260%6.0 / 10
J. Calderon975%4.5 / 6
P. Brezec964%4.5 / 7
J. Kapono880%4.0 / 5
C. Delfino739%3.5 / 9
M. Baston583%2.5 / 3
K. Humphries325%1.5 / 6
J. Graham0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Banks2181%10.5 / 13
D. Wade1653%8.0 / 15
R. Davis1657%8.0 / 14
E. Barron1050%5.0 / 10
C. Quinn867%4.0 / 6
S. Marion531%2.5 / 8
J. Williams536%2.5 / 7
M. Blount233%1.0 / 3
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
83
+9
-9
92
MIA
71
+9
-20
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.17 58.7%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.7
100.2
TOR 117.4 +26.2
MIA 91.2
Pace
90.7
90.5
TOR 85.9
MIA 98.7 +12.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
TOR 16.8
MIA 14.6 −2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
48.2%
TOR 57.9% +8.6%
MIA 49.3%
TO %
12.3%
15.4%
TOR 9.0% −11.4%
MIA 20.4%
ORB %
23.5%
22.2%
TOR 20.5% +6.2%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
24.7
30.0
TOR 25.6
MIA 30.4 +4.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
58.5%
TOR 60.0% +10.0%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
TOR 12.0% +5.4%
MIA 6.6%
BLK %
6.9%
7.1%
TOR 6.4% +3.4%
MIA 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
50.6%
TOR 58.7% +7.5%
MIA 51.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
59.2%
TOR 77.3% +18.2%
MIA 59.1%
Mid FG%
43.3%
38.8%
TOR 52.3% +16.3%
MIA 36.0%
3P %
39.2%
35.8%
TOR 31.3%
MIA 36.4% +5.1%
FT %
81.2%
72.7%
TOR 61.9%
MIA 71.4% +9.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
30.2%
TOR 26.8%
MIA 31.9% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
49.4%
48.1%
TOR 53.7%
MIA 36.2% −17.4%
3P Att. %
21.7%
21.7%
TOR 19.5%
MIA 31.9% +12.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.722.1
Points10883
Rebounds3836
Assists2715
Steals116
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)31 (2)
Field Goals45-8230-69
At-the-Rim FG17-2213-22
Midrange FG23-449-25
2-Point FG40-6622-47
3-Point FG5-168-22
Free Throws13-2115-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 210 · 33
29.4
12
60%
5
3
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
F · 7'0" 255 · 32
29.2
16
67%
10
2
0
0
2
3
2
8
0-0
-
8-11
73%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 205 · 28
26.5
14
64%
9
0
4
3
0
0
1
8
0-1
0%
7-9
78%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
26.4
9
75%
3
13
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 245 · 22
21.0
12
60%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 26
25.2
7
39%
1
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
G · 6'0" 165 · 25
22.0
13
65%
4
5
1
0
3
3
0
4
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
18.8
8
80%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
18.7
3
25%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 28
13.7
9
64%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 26
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 32
4.6
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#4 · F · 6'11" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'9" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 5'11" 170 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
59%
38
27
11
3
9
0
8
30
13-21
62%
40-66
61%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.