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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30SuperSonics32%96106
25Bucks68%102118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.4
38.4
35.7
23
56%
3
2
3
1
0
1
2
1
5-6
83%
9-17
7-15
53%
46%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.7
34.6
31.6
17
68%
3
8
1
1
0
4
1
2
6-8
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.5
31.3
30.8
10
56%
2
3
3
1
3
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.1
30.6
19.7
11
38%
15
0
0
0
0
2
0
15
1-1
100%
5-14
3-7
36%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
26.6
34.2
7
36%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-6
50%
2-7
7-12
29%
54%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
23.2
25.7
10
57%
9
2
0
1
0
1
2
7
4-4
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.1
22.1
18.4
17
58%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
6-11
2-5
55%
45%
1-2
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
13.4
16.9
5
63%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
9.6
13.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.0
5.5
6.0
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.8
4.7
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.8
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.3
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.8
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
41.0
33.2
21
57%
13
7
2
1
4
3
4
9
3-8
38%
9-15
7-12
60%
55%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.5
40.9
22.5
32
57%
11
3
1
1
2
3
1
10
5-5
100%
9-20
4-8
45%
52%
3-6
50%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.4
35.8
27.4
16
91%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
8-11
73%
4-4
4-8
100%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
28.6
36.2
15
54%
3
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
7-13
38%
50%
3-6
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.2
26.9
14.3
9
51%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
29.6
22.0
17
57%
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.8
15.5
18.3
2
17%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
9.7
3.3
4
37%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-5
0-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.1
7.8
7.6
0
0%
6
3
0
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
4.3
9.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
12.4
0
1-3
46%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.2
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.