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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nets57%9993
29Grizzlies43%96100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.7
41.0
38.8
22
58%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
10-15
6-13
67%
50%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
38.9
29.3
20
47%
4
8
0
1
0
3
0
4
8-10
80%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
0-6
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.1
37.4
38.2
12
49%
4
2
4
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
3-8
7-14
38%
49%
1-3
33%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
34.7
20.1
16
62%
9
0
2
0
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
8-13
4-7
62%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
17.9
26.5
6
77%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
55%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.3
26.2
25.8
11
40%
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
2-6
33%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.0
17.2
16.2
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.1
13.3
13.2
0
0%
6
0
0
0
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
7.2
4.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.3
5.2
10.8
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.7
1.1
5.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.1
1.9
0
0-0
44%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.7
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
45.2
39.4
13
41%
10
5
1
2
0
2
2
8
2-2
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
49%
1-4
25%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
36.5
30.2
25
67%
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
7-8
88%
9-15
6-11
60%
53%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.7
34.1
27.9
16
67%
11
0
0
1
2
3
3
8
0-0
-
8-12
4-8
67%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.0
30.3
19.4
22
70%
6
1
2
0
0
2
1
5
3-6
50%
8-11
2-5
73%
54%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
13.2
20.8
1
17%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.9
34.8
27.0
15
53%
4
7
1
1
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
1-3
33%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.7
23.5
23.8
6
44%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-4
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
13.6
8.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.2
8.8
24.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
21.3
1
1-3
44%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.0
8.7
0
1-2
52%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
3.9
0
0-0
46%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.