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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Kings49%95109
26Clippers51%96116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.2
52.6
23.2
13
40%
6
3
2
1
0
2
0
6
5-5
100%
4-12
3-6
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
46.6
35.0
25
60%
4
4
0
1
0
4
1
3
3-4
75%
11-19
5-10
58%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
42.4
14.4
12
42%
5
5
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-3
0%
6-11
1-3
55%
47%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.3
40.5
27.0
20
80%
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
6-8
75%
7-9
3-5
78%
55%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.9
33.6
34.4
7
39%
6
5
0
1
1
3
1
5
1-2
50%
3-6
5-9
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
23.6
3.5
14
53%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-6
0-1
17%
43%
3-6
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
21.7
4.2
6
51%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.9
19.8
12.2
10
63%
8
1
0
0
2
2
3
5
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.4
9.3
10.2
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.3
37.1
2
7-14
47%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
3.1
0
0-0
43%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.6
2.7
0
0-0
49%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.1
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
51.0
21.6
10
43%
11
3
0
0
1
1
5
6
2-4
50%
4-10
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.3
47.1
37.0
25
47%
5
8
0
1
0
2
1
4
12-13
92%
5-15
6-12
33%
50%
1-6
17%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.5
40.9
31.1
3
23%
9
4
0
1
0
0
1
8
1-1
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
35.4
23.0
17
66%
11
0
1
0
4
4
3
8
7-9
78%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.3
23.0
27.1
10
56%
1
7
2
2
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
44%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.2
36.7
34.3
27
53%
5
0
0
1
4
2
2
3
5-10
50%
8-18
6-12
44%
49%
2-3
67%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.5
35.0
15.5
20
77%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
4-8
50%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 36.4
14.3
7.8
4
52%
3
2
2
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 26.8
6.4
20.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.0
17.7
0
2-5
50%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 26.0
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.0
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.