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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 7, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30SuperSonics25%9183
1676ers75%99117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.5
34.2
30.4
12
36%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
5-14
4-8
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
31.3
31.0
20
70%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
9-13
6-11
69%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.4
28.6
35.8
14
59%
3
2
0
1
1
6
2
1
2-2
100%
6-11
7-15
55%
44%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.1
24.3
23.0
6
43%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.7
22.1
31.9
6
38%
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
20.7
24.6
8
62%
5
4
1
1
3
2
2
3
0-1
0%
4-6
3-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
18.6
15.8
0
0%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.2
18.5
19.5
6
51%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
14.7
12.0
2
33%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.0
12.4
5.8
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.8
7.3
6.6
3
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-2
50%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.8
7.3
3.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.3
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.8
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
38.5
28.4
22
93%
13
1
0
1
1
2
4
9
2-2
100%
10-11
4-7
91%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.0
29.6
33.9
10
100%
1
4
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-5
7-13
100%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
29.3
38.4
18
57%
2
7
1
2
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
7-14
7-14
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.8
28.7
22.8
10
46%
7
2
4
1
0
4
2
5
2-4
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
21.3
27.3
10
38%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-12
5-10
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.7
26.6
28.2
18
92%
9
3
1
1
0
0
4
5
3-4
75%
6-7
5-8
86%
55%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.0
23.3
4.6
10
48%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-8
1-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.9
18.8
17.5
6
50%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
18.4
24.9
8
40%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-6
4-8
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.2
5.5
2.3
5
47%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-3
33%
2-4
0-0
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.2
6.4
0
1-1
44%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.8
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.