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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 7, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Warriors59%103134
22Heat41%10099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
32.0
24.5
15
50%
9
1
2
1
0
2
3
6
1-2
50%
7-10
2-3
70%
52%
0-4
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.9
30.9
40.3
22
71%
7
5
1
1
0
2
2
5
1-1
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
5-8
63%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.4
30.3
41.8
16
54%
5
5
2
2
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
7-14
9-17
50%
54%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.9
27.8
37.6
15
70%
2
10
1
2
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
6-8
6-12
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.9
18.3
28.5
6
100%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
5-8
100%
62%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.9
25.4
2.7
9
51%
4
2
4
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
1-6
0-0
17%
47%
1-1
100%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
20.5
14.2
12
54%
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
2
3-5
60%
3-5
1-3
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.1
19.1
22.0
17
106%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
5-7
71%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
12.3
17.6
7
72%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.0
11.5
16.6
8
57%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
8.3
10.6
7
70%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
3.6
3.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.0
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
47.0
31.1
10
34%
12
4
2
1
2
4
0
12
3-4
75%
2-8
4-7
25%
48%
1-5
20%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
42.7
34.4
17
57%
10
2
1
2
2
3
2
8
1-2
50%
8-13
5-9
62%
56%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
40.8
24.2
20
55%
3
4
0
1
1
4
0
3
2-3
67%
9-13
2-4
69%
48%
0-4
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
34.3
16.4
17
52%
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
2
9-10
90%
4-12
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
23.4
22.1
10
63%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
2-6
33%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
34.4
8.4
20
71%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-1
67%
47%
4-8
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
17.5
19.7
5
51%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.1
34.3
2
7-15
51%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
25.0
1
4-8
47%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
19.0
1
2-5
52%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
9.3
0
1-3
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
4.4
0
1-1
56%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.