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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 7, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Clippers12%9282
2Lakers88%106119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.3
37.2
37.1
22
53%
7
4
2
1
0
1
2
5
5-6
83%
7-15
6-12
47%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
27.3
25.7
14
55%
11
1
1
0
1
2
4
7
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.5
26.9
20.3
8
48%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-3
33%
2-5
1-4
40%
42%
1-2
50%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.2
23.2
32.1
2
11%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-7
5-12
14%
45%
0-2
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 26.9
20.3
14.8
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
34.6
28.8
12
76%
10
0
1
0
0
2
5
5
2-2
100%
5-7
3-8
71%
44%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.5
25.1
31.7
13
56%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-6
67%
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.3
21.1
23.6
4
40%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.0
14.8
13.9
0
0%
3
1
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 26.0
5.9
2.3
3
52%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
3.7
2.3
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 36.4
9.4
0
1-2
48%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.0
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.3
37.0
38.7
15
61%
8
4
4
1
2
2
2
6
2-5
40%
5-7
5-8
71%
55%
1-3
33%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.5
31.1
41.0
16
74%
6
3
2
2
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
3-6
8-16
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.7
31.1
36.8
10
59%
11
5
0
1
1
1
2
9
0-1
0%
5-8
7-13
63%
54%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.6
23.8
26.5
17
77%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
3-4
75%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
23.7
8.3
10
63%
2
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.9
21.8
27.5
7
35%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.1
21.5
12.4
13
61%
8
5
0
0
5
0
4
4
5-6
83%
4-8
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.0
19.4
23.6
9
70%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
18.4
20.6
10
63%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
56%
2-2
100%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
6.4
1.5
6
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
2-2
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.2
5.9
2.1
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.7
6.3
0
1-1
53%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.4
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.