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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 8, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics79%100119
29Grizzlies21%8989
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.4
28.8
29.7
19
71%
4
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
4-8
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.6
27.2
31.0
23
88%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
5-8
63%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
26.6
29.7
17
66%
8
4
1
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
8-12
7-13
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.3
25.4
27.7
13
82%
11
0
0
1
3
1
4
7
1-2
50%
6-7
3-6
86%
58%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.0
19.6
32.0
3
31%
1
9
0
2
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
0-3
5-11
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.8
28.7
17.6
8
33%
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
0-5
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.2
20.9
16.6
9
67%
4
3
2
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.1
20.3
20.9
15
94%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
5-8
63%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.2
15.9
14.7
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
12.0
11.3
6
75%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
54%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 38.4
8.5
5.7
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
6.2
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.3
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 21.9
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
32.8
40.4
13
37%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
5-6
83%
4-10
5-12
40%
46%
0-5
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
30.9
31.9
15
58%
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
7-9
78%
4-9
6-11
44%
51%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.7
30.5
29.4
10
56%
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
23.6
18.0
11
69%
1
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.0
23.4
24.1
9
57%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.0
24.4
29.1
5
48%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
1-1
3-7
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.2
16.9
18.4
8
48%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
3-6
2-5
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.7
15.9
23.4
3
25%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-5
20%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
12.0
14.6
5
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.0
12.0
6.7
2
36%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
10.9
10.2
3
52%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
6.8
3.1
5
87%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-2
50%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.