Final Win Prob. pScore
1030%89
96
470%96
106
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
107.98991.3
HOU logo Rockets
117.89087.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU96
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHHornets Rebound96
106
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUHayes P.FOUL (P4.PN)96
106
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUMISS Head 21' Jump Shot96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0HOUMISS McGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (40 PTS)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07NOHChandler S.FOUL (P2.T2)94
104
Q4 - 1:26HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:27NOHMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot94
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 1:38HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (39 PTS)94
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 1:53NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)94
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 2:02HOUMcGrady Driving Reverse Layup (37 PTS)92
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 2:21NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)92
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 2:36HOUAlston P.FOUL (P5.T4)90
100
Q4 - 2:38NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)90
100
Q4 - 2:41NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)90
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 2:43HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot90
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 3:00HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 3:01NOHMISS Paul 31' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 3:17NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 3:18HOUMISS Alston 7' Jump Shot90
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 3:40HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 3:42NOHMISS Stojakovic 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot90
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 3:58NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)90
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 3:59HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 4:21NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (35 PTS)90
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 4:34HOUHayes Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 9 AST)88
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 4:52HOUROCKETS Rebound88
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 4:53NOHMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 5:07NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)88
2.8%
98
97.2%
Q4 - 5:10HOUMISS McGrady 20' Fadeaway Jumper88
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 5:31HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 5:32NOHMcGrady BLOCK (2 BLK)88
2.2%
98
97.8%
Q4 - 5:33NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
2.8%
98
97.2%
Q4 - 5:34NOHMISS Stojakovic 5' Jump Shot88
2.2%
98
97.8%
Q4 - 5:49HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)88
98
Q4 - 5:49NOHHornets Rebound88
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 5:49HOUMISS Alston 29' 3PT Jump Shot88
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 6:12NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)88
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 6:26HOUAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)86
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 6:52NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)86
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 7:04HOUAlston Driving Layup (17 PTS)83
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 7:11NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)83
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q4 - 7:11HOUHayes S.FOUL (P3.T3)82
93
Q4 - 7:11NOHPaul Driving Layup (29 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)82
93
Q4 - 7:14NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)80
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 7:15HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 7:30HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)80
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 7:31NOHMISS Pargo Layup80
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 7:33NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 7:34NOHMISS Chandler Layup80
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 7:50HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)80
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 8:10NOHStojakovic 7' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)80
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 8:22HOUSUB: Alston FOR Jackson78
91
Q4 - 8:2278
91
Q4 - 8:22HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)78
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 8:22HOUROCKETS Rebound78
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 8:23HOUMISS Head Layup78
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 8:52NOHPaul 17' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)78
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 9:04HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)76
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 9:19HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 9:20NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)76
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 9:20NOHMISS Chandler Tip Shot76
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 9:22NOHMISS Pargo Layup76
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 9:31NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 9:32HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 9:44NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)76
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 9:44NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)75
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 9:44HOUHayes S.FOUL (P2.T2)74
91
Q4 - 9:55HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)74
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 10:16NOHPaul Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)74
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 10:30HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)72
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 10:49HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 10:49NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 272
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 10:49NOHHornets Rebound72
85
Q4 - 10:49NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 272
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 10:49HOUHayes S.FOUL (P1.T1)72
85
Q4 - 11:01HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (35 PTS)72
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 11:09HOUSUB: Head FOR Scola72
83
Q4 - 11:09NOHPargo P.FOUL (P1.T1)72
83
Q4 - 11:15HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 11:16NOHMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot72
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 11:42HOUMcGrady 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)72
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q4 - 12:0072
81
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH72
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound72
8.6%
81
91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Paul 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUJackson P.FOUL (P2.T4)72
81
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUScola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)72
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
7.8%
81
92.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0NOHMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot72
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (31 PTS)72
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
11.3%
79
88.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0NOHMISS Wright 14' Jump Bank Shot72
11.9%
79
88.1%
Q3 - 1:03HOUScola Layup (6 PTS)72
13.6%
79
86.4%
Q3 - 1:09NOHPaul P.FOUL (P3.T4)72
77
Q3 - 1:10HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
16.3%
77
83.7%
Q3 - 1:12HOUMISS Jackson Layup72
18.1%
77
81.9%
Q3 - 1:33NOHWright Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)72
16.3%
77
83.7%
Q3 - 1:42NOHHornets Rebound70
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q3 - 1:43HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot70
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q3 - 1:53NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)70
77
Q3 - 1:53NOHWright Violation:Kicked Ball70
77
Q3 - 2:06NOHPaul 18' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)70
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q3 - 2:23HOUBattier Layup (7 PTS) (Hayes 3 AST)68
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q3 - 2:28HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
11.9%
75
88.1%
Q3 - 2:29HOUMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.4%
75
86.6%
Q3 - 2:54NOHPaul 6' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)68
11.9%
75
88.1%
Q3 - 3:01NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q3 - 3:03HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q3 - 3:10NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)66
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 3:10NOHChandler Putback Dunk (9 PTS)66
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 3:12NOHMISS Wright Layup64
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 3:13NOHWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)64
7.5%
75
92.5%
Q3 - 3:15NOHMISS Chandler 4' Jump Shot64
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 3:35HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Mutombo64
75
Q3 - 3:35HOUBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)64
7.5%
75
92.5%
Q3 - 3:51NOHPeterson Layup (12 PTS)64
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q3 - 3:52NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 3:53NOHMISS Peterson Layup62
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 3:55NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 3:56NOHMISS Paul 15' Fadeaway Jumper62
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 4:11HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)62
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 4:22NOHPaul 9' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q3 - 4:29NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 4:31NOHMISS Wright Layup60
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 4:40HOUSUB: Jackson FOR Alston60
72
Q3 - 4:40HOUAlston P.FOUL (P4.T3)60
72
Q3 - 4:45HOUBattier P.FOUL (P1.T2)60
72
Q3 - 4:59HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)60
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 4:59HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 4:59HOUMISS Scola Layup60
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 5:23NOHWright Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)60
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 5:32NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q3 - 5:33HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 5:49NOHSUB: Wright FOR Bowen60
72
Q3 - 5:49HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)60
72
Q3 - 5:49HOUROCKETS Rebound60
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 5:49NOHMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)60
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 6:16HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)60
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 6:35NOHBowen L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)60
69
Q3 - 6:39NOHAlston STEAL (2 STL)60
9.8%
69
90.2%
Q3 - 6:54HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS)60
11.4%
69
88.6%
Q3 - 7:10NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)60
13.3%
67
86.7%
Q3 - 7:13NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 7:15NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 7:18NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 7:20NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 7:20NOHMISS Bowen Tip Shot57
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 7:22NOHMISS Paul 11' Jump Shot57
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 7:28HOUAlston P.FOUL (P3.T1)57
67
Q3 - 7:43HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 7:43HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 7:43NOHBowen S.FOUL (P1.T2)57
65
Q3 - 7:55HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
11.6%
65
88.4%
Q3 - 7:57NOHMISS Paul 16' Running Jump Shot57
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 8:14HOUMutombo Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)57
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q3 - 8:16HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 8:18HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
16.8%
63
83.2%
Q3 - 8:38NOHPaul 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 8:46NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
13.6%
63
86.4%
Q3 - 8:49HOUMISS McGrady Driving Layup55
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q3 - 9:09NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)55
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q3 - 9:09HOUMutombo T.FOUL (P1.T0)54
63
Q3 - 9:09NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)54
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 9:15NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 9:18HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 9:30NOHChandler Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)52
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 9:39HOUMutombo Slam Dunk (2 PTS)50
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 9:41HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 9:42HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot50
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 9:52HOUROCKETS Rebound50
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 9:53HOUMISS Mutombo 8' Hook Shot50
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 10:09NOHPaul 10' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)50
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 10:29NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q3 - 10:30HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 10:34NOHPeterson P.FOUL (P2.T1)48
61
Q3 - 10:46HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q3 - 10:47NOHMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)48
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 11:01HOUMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)48
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q3 - 11:19NOHChandler 6' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)48
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q3 - 11:35NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q3 - 11:36HOUMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot46
7.3%
59
92.7%
Q3 - 11:49NOHScola STEAL (1 STL)46
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 12:0046
59
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU46
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound46
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady 40' 3PT Jump Shot46
7.3%
59
92.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHJackson STEAL (2 STL)46
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0HOUSUB: Jackson FOR Alston46
59
Q2 - 0:06.0HOUHead P.FOUL (P2.T2)46
59
Q2 - 0:24.0HOUAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
10.2%
56
89.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Head 4 AST)43
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0NOHMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot43
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (22 PTS)43
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q2 - 1:13NOHPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)43
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 1:29NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 1:33HOUMISS Alston 17' Fadeaway Jumper40
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q2 - 1:52NOHHayes STEAL (3 STL)40
9.3%
51
90.7%
Q2 - 2:10HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)40
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q2 - 2:21HOUROCKETS Rebound40
13.1%
48
86.9%
Q2 - 2:22NOHMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot40
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q2 - 2:43HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)40
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 2:43HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)40
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 2:43HOUSUB: Head FOR Novak40
46
Q2 - 2:4340
46
Q2 - 2:43NOHStojakovic S.FOUL (P1.T1)40
46
Q2 - 2:47HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q2 - 2:48NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
16.8%
46
83.2%
Q2 - 2:53HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)40
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 3:17NOHPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)40
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 3:38HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)37
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 3:52NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Bowen37
43
Q2 - 3:52HOUSUB: Battier FOR Head37
43
Q2 - 3:52NOHPeterson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)37
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 3:52NOHPeterson OFF.Foul (P1)37
43
Q2 - 4:09NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 4:10HOUMISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 4:28NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)37
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 4:47HOUNovak 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Head 3 AST)34
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 5:07NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 5:13NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 5:15HOUMISS Novak 20' Pullup Jump Shot31
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q2 - 5:35NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)31
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 5:48NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)28
40
Q2 - 5:55HOUMcGrady 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Head 2 AST)28
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 6:01HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 6:02NOHMISS Paul 11' Jump Shot28
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 6:16HOUNovak 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)28
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 6:38NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Ely28
35
Q2 - 6:38NOHStojakovic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)28
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 6:57HOUMcGrady Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)28
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q2 - 7:04HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
18.4%
33
81.6%
Q2 - 7:07NOHMISS Ely Free Throw 2 of 228
18.7%
33
81.3%
Q2 - 7:07NOHHornets Rebound28
33
Q2 - 7:07NOHMISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 228
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 7:07NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR James28
33
Q2 - 7:07NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Wright28
33
Q2 - 7:07HOUHead S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
33
Q2 - 7:28HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Head 1 AST)28
20.3%
33
79.7%
Q2 - 7:40HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 7:42NOHMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 7:53NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 7:54HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q2 - 8:03NOHHayes STEAL (2 STL)28
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q2 - 8:19HOUAlston Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)28
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q2 - 8:23NOHHayes STEAL (1 STL)28
28.4%
28
71.6%
Q2 - 8:40HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)28
30.6%
28
69.4%
Q2 - 8:50NOHSUB: Paul FOR Pargo28
26
Q2 - 8:50HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
26
Q2 - 8:59NOHWright 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)28
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 9:16NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
30.3%
26
69.7%
Q2 - 9:18HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
29.6%
26
70.4%
Q2 - 9:35HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q2 - 9:36NOHMISS Pargo 29' 3PT Jump Shot26
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q2 - 10:03HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)26
30.3%
26
69.7%
Q2 - 10:09HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
34.8%
23
65.2%
Q2 - 10:10NOHMISS James Layup26
35.5%
23
64.5%
Q2 - 10:30HOUSUB: Alston FOR Jackson26
23
Q2 - 10:30HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)26
37.3%
23
62.7%
Q2 - 10:42HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
34.8%
23
65.2%
Q2 - 10:43NOHMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot26
35.5%
23
64.5%
Q2 - 11:10HOUNovak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)26
37.1%
23
62.9%
Q2 - 11:31NOHJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)26
41.9%
20
58.1%
Q2 - 11:39HOUJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)23
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q2 - 11:42HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 11:44NOHHead BLOCK (1 BLK)23
35.4%
20
64.6%
Q2 - 12:0023
20
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH23
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound23
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Pargo 39' 3PT Jump Shot23
35.4%
20
64.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)23
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0NOHPargo Driving Layup (7 PTS)23
34.3%
20
65.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0HOUScola Layup (2 PTS)21
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
34.3%
18
65.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Scola 8' Turnaround Jump Shot21
35.5%
18
64.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0NOHWright 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)21
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0HOUJackson L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)18
18
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHHornets Rebound18
29.6%
18
70.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0HOUMISS Jackson Driving Layup18
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 1:05HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 1:07HOUMISS Jackson Driving Layup18
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 1:18HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 1:19NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 1:34NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
29.3%
18
70.7%
Q1 - 1:35HOUMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot18
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 1:44HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 1:45NOHMISS Stojakovic 22' Jump Shot18
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 1:56HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Mutombo18
18
Q1 - 1:56NOHSUB: Ely FOR Chandler18
18
Q1 - 1:56NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
18
Q1 - 2:07HOUMcGrady 19' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)18
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 2:14NOHPargo 14' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 2:29HOUMcGrady 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)16
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 2:45NOHPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)16
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 3:09HOUBattier Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)13
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 3:13HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 3:15NOHMISS Pargo 9' Running Jump Shot13
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 3:28HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 3:50NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 3:50NOHWright Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 3:52NOHMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot11
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 4:01NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 4:02HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
30.3%
10
69.7%
Q1 - 4:11HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 4:13NOHMISS Stojakovic 15' Fadeaway Jumper11
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 4:34HOUMutombo 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)11
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 4:57NOHPeterson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)11
29.1%
10
70.9%
Q1 - 5:00NOHHornets Rebound9
27.6%
10
72.4%
Q1 - 5:00NOHJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)9
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 5:04NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 5:06NOHMISS Chandler Slam Dunk9
26.5%
10
73.5%
Q1 - 5:11NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 5:12HOUMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 5:25HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
26.0%
10
74.0%
Q1 - 5:26NOHMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot9
26.5%
10
73.5%
Q1 - 5:38NOHSUB: Wright FOR Bowen9
10
Q1 - 5:38HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
10
Q1 - 5:38HOUJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)9
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 5:52NOHStojakovic 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)9
26.1%
10
73.9%
Q1 - 6:10HOUJackson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)7
24.7%
10
75.3%
Q1 - 6:30NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Paul7
8
Q1 - 6:30NOHPaul P.FOUL (P2.T3)7
8
Q1 - 6:35NOHJackson STEAL (1 STL)7
26.1%
8
73.9%
Q1 - 6:44HOUMcGrady 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 6:55HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.9%
6
71.1%
Q1 - 6:56NOHMISS Paul 13' Jump Shot7
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 7:12NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 7:14NOHMISS Stojakovic 15' Jump Shot7
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 7:20HOUSUB: Jackson FOR Alston7
6
Q1 - 7:20HOUAlston P.FOUL (P2.T3)7
6
Q1 - 7:20NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 7:21NOHMISS Chandler Layup7
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 7:34NOHHornets Rebound7
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 7:35NOHAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)7
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 7:38HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 7:44HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 7:46NOHMISS Chandler 5' Jump Hook Shot7
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 7:54NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 7:55HOUMISS Mutombo 10' Jump Shot7
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 8:09HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 8:11HOUMISS Scola Driving Layup7
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 8:25NOHPaul 11' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 8:34NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 8:35HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
27.3%
6
72.7%
Q1 - 8:48HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 8:48NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 25
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 8:48NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 8:48HOUMutombo S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
6
Q1 - 8:59HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 9:09NOHPaul P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:14NOHAlston STEAL (1 STL)4
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 9:30NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 9:31HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 9:34HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 9:35HOUMISS Scola 5' Jump Hook Shot4
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 9:52HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 9:54NOHMISS Paul 22' Jump Shot4
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 10:01NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 10:03HOUMISS Battier 14' Jump Shot4
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 10:14HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 10:15NOHMISS Chandler 5' Jump Shot4
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 10:28HOUAlston P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 10:29HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 10:35HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 10:36NOHMISS Chandler 7' Fadeaway Jumper4
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 10:55HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 10:55HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
29.7%
3
70.3%
Q1 - 10:55NOHChandler S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 11:06NOHPeterson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)4
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:19HOUAlston 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 11:33NOHPaul 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 11:46NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 11:48HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. Chandler: Tip to Scola0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHHOU
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.98 49.0%
HOU
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
10
29
34%
HOU
16
24
67%
Midrange
NOH
19
41
46%
HOU
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
HOU
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
NOH
5
12
42%
HOU
8
8
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul3769%18.5 / 27
T. Chandler1542%7.5 / 18
P. Stojakovic1346%6.5 / 14
M. Peterson1260%6.0 / 10
J. Wright956%4.5 / 8
J. Pargo727%3.5 / 13
M. James338%1.5 / 4
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
M. Ely0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady4171%20.5 / 29
R. Alston2071%10.0 / 14
S. Battier1056%5.0 / 9
L. Head950%4.5 / 9
S. Novak880%4.0 / 5
L. Scola638%3.0 / 8
C. Hayes6100%3.0 / 3
D. Mutombo450%2.0 / 4
B. Jackson214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
78
+19
-11
97
HOU
79
+13
-11
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.98 49.0%
HOU
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
106.4
NOH 107.9
HOU 117.8 +9.9
Pace
90.5
90.7
NOH 91.3 +3.5
HOU 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.5
NOH 15.8 −0.6
HOU 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
49.2%
NOH 50.0%
HOU 58.3% +8.3%
TO %
12.4%
14.4%
NOH 10.3% −2.6%
HOU 12.9%
ORB %
27.1%
29.1%
NOH 31.3% +3.5%
HOU 27.8%
FTrt
25.1
27.6
NOH 13.2 +3.7
HOU 9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.5%
NOH 50.0%
HOU 64.3% +14.3%
STL %
8.6%
8.0%
NOH 7.9%
HOU 8.9% +1.0%
BLK %
6.4%
7.8%
NOH 6.0%
HOU 8.6% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
51.2%
NOH 49.0%
HOU 57.6% +8.6%
Rim FG%
58.2%
57.9%
NOH 34.5%
HOU 66.7% +32.2%
Mid FG%
43.1%
40.6%
NOH 46.3% +0.1%
HOU 46.2%
3P %
38.9%
34.2%
NOH 52.4% +11.2%
HOU 41.2%
FT %
76.9%
72.6%
NOH 41.7%
HOU 100.0% +58.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
33.9%
NOH 31.9% +3.3%
HOU 28.6%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
40.6%
NOH 45.1%
HOU 31.0% −14.1%
3P Att. %
23.9%
25.5%
NOH 23.1%
HOU 40.5% +17.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHHOU
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points96106
Rebounds4143
Assists2027
Steals78
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)33 (3)
Field Goals40-9142-84
At-the-Rim FG10-2916-24
Midrange FG19-4112-26
2-Point FG29-7028-50
3-Point FG11-2114-34
Free Throws5-128-8
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 229 · 31
43.1
13
46%
10
1
0
0
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
2-9
22%
3-5
60%
C · 7'1" 240 · 25
40.7
15
42%
16
2
0
2
2
2
4
12
1-6
17%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
38.3
37
69%
3
11
2
0
4
3
1
2
4-4
100%
12-21
57%
3-5
60%
G · 6'7" 220 · 31
31.1
12
60%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 218 · 32
20.7
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 21
28.3
9
56%
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 185 · 28
25.5
7
27%
4
2
3
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-9
22%
1-4
25%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
4.9
3
38%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
F · 6'7" 215 · 29
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
#30 · F · 6'9" 250 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
49%
41
20
7
3
11
0
15
26
5-12
42%
29-70
41%
11-21
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.