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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 8, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hornets30%8996
4Rockets70%96106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.7
43.1
35.4
13
46%
10
1
0
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
45%
3-5
60%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.4
40.7
35.2
15
43%
16
2
0
1
2
2
4
12
1-6
17%
7-15
5-8
47%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.8
38.3
37.5
37
67%
3
11
2
2
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
12-21
6-13
57%
48%
3-5
60%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
31.1
22.4
12
60%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
2-3
67%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.3
20.7
20.9
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
28.3
18.0
9
56%
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.4
25.5
23.1
7
27%
4
2
3
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
41%
1-4
25%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
7.3
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
2-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.7
4.9
9.7
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
5.2
0
0-1
48%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.8
4.3
0
0-1
39%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.7
4.2
0
0-1
47%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.8
48.0
36.4
41
71%
6
9
0
1
2
3
0
6
4-4
100%
14-19
6-13
74%
48%
3-8
38%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.5
39.9
36.0
10
56%
7
3
0
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
2-6
33%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
30.8
32.4
20
72%
3
2
2
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
4-8
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.9
24.9
27.5
6
38%
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
54%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.7
18.5
15.0
4
50%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.7
29.5
16.8
6
100%
9
3
3
1
0
0
0
9
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.3
22.0
17.9
9
50%
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
3-7
43%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.0
17.2
17.0
2
14%
2
5
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
9.3
4.5
8
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 24.7
10.0
0
1-2
47%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.8
9.5
0
1-2
52%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.1
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.5
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.0
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.