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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls27%88109
6Pistons73%96116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
44.6
33.9
21
48%
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
9-11
82%
6-17
6-13
35%
48%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.1
39.6
30.9
13
47%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
6-12
4-9
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.0
33.2
28.0
15
73%
5
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
3-3
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
32.7
25.8
11
44%
8
0
1
1
2
0
3
5
7-8
88%
2-9
4-8
22%
45%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
17.8
28.7
6
55%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
1-1
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.3
28.9
22.1
10
68%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
28.9
30.6
27
98%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
7-8
4-9
88%
44%
3-4
75%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
7.9
3.9
4
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
40%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
3.8
11.1
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.3
2.4
10.5
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.5
13.2
0
1-2
40%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.5
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.1
39.5
26.4
23
54%
5
7
0
1
0
2
3
2
4-5
80%
8-16
5-10
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.0
38.7
34.7
21
63%
6
6
0
1
0
1
3
3
4-4
100%
7-13
5-11
54%
49%
1-2
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.5
34.8
31.5
34
94%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
13-14
93%
6-8
3-7
75%
48%
3-4
75%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
33.4
24.6
4
18%
10
0
1
1
0
0
2
8
2-2
100%
1-10
3-6
10%
51%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
25.8
19.3
10
73%
8
1
0
0
3
1
2
6
2-2
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.1
22.6
24.8
8
82%
8
1
1
0
1
2
5
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
13.2
16.0
4
53%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.9
12.8
18.0
4
100%
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.6
9.3
12.6
4
40%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.4
8.5
15.5
4
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
0.8
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
0.6
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.4
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.5
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.