Final Win Prob. pScore
2745%92
99
2555%94
98
ORTG#PossPace
LAC logo Clippers
115.18689.5
MIA logo Heat
111.48884.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatClippersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatClippersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound99
96.3%
98
3.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot99
99.4%
98
0.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 2)99
98
Q4 - 0:02.0LACMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)99
90.9%
98
9.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0LACSUB: Ross FOR Dickau98
98
Q4 - 0:02.0LACMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)98
76.6%
98
23.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIABlount S.FOUL (P4.PN)97
98
Q4 - 0:04.0LACSUB: Dickau FOR Powell97
98
Q4 - 0:04.0LACClippers Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)97
98
Q4 - 0:04.0LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
15.7%
98
84.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 297
13.8%
98
86.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0LACSUB: Powell FOR Ross97
98
Q4 - 0:05.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)97
8.7%
98
91.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0LACThornton S.FOUL (P3.PN)97
97
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)97
97
Q4 - 0:26.0LACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)97
39.1%
97
60.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0LACSUB: Ross FOR Dickau96
97
Q4 - 0:26.0LACClippers Rebound96
97
Q4 - 0:26.0LACMISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 296
34.3%
97
65.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIABlount S.FOUL (P3.PN)96
97
Q4 - 0:27.0LACThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)96
42.0%
97
58.0%
Q4 - 0:28.0LACMISS Thornton 5' Jump Shot96
26.7%
97
73.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0LACSUB: Dickau FOR Ross96
97
Q4 - 0:33.0LACClippers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)96
97
Q4 - 0:33.0MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)96
41.9%
97
58.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)96
73.9%
94
26.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0LACSUB: Ross FOR Dickau95
94
Q4 - 0:53.0LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)95
72.0%
94
28.0%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIACook S.FOUL (P4.PN)94
94
Q4 - 1:13MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)94
59.6%
94
40.4%
Q4 - 1:30LACMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)94
80.5%
91
19.5%
Q4 - 1:30LACMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)93
79.3%
91
20.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIACook S.FOUL (P3.PN)92
91
Q4 - 1:30MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)92
72.0%
91
28.0%
Q4 - 1:50MIABlount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)92
56.1%
91
43.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup92
65.1%
91
34.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)92
91
Q4 - 2:09MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)92
55.3%
91
44.7%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot92
66.6%
91
33.4%
Q4 - 2:20LACDickau L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)92
91
Q4 - 2:21MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)92
55.2%
91
44.8%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot92
66.9%
91
33.1%
Q4 - 2:44LACThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)92
55.1%
91
44.9%
Q4 - 2:54LACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
68.9%
91
31.1%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 292
67.4%
91
32.6%
Q4 - 2:56MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)92
60.4%
91
39.6%
Q4 - 2:56LACMaggette S.FOUL (P2.T3)92
90
Q4 - 3:09LACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
66.2%
90
33.8%
Q4 - 3:09LACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
63.9%
90
36.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIADavis S.FOUL (P5.T4)90
90
Q4 - 3:17LACDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
59.3%
90
40.7%
Q4 - 3:19LACMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot90
48.4%
90
51.6%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMarion P.FOUL (P2.T3)90
90
Q4 - 3:45LACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
55.7%
90
44.3%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
52.6%
90
47.4%
Q4 - 4:00LACMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)90
45.4%
90
54.6%
Q4 - 4:00LACClippers Rebound89
90
Q4 - 4:00LACMISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 289
44.0%
90
56.0%
Q4 - 4:00MIADavis S.FOUL (P4.T2)89
90
Q4 - 4:02MIADavis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)89
46.1%
90
53.9%
Q4 - 4:23LACMobley 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Dickau 4 AST)89
35.9%
90
64.1%
Q4 - 4:33LACSUB: Thomas FOR Fazekas87
90
Q4 - 4:33LACClippers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)87
90
Q4 - 4:42MIADavis Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)87
28.0%
90
72.0%
Q4 - 4:55LACMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)87
35.8%
88
64.2%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMarion 5' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Blount 3 AST)87
46.0%
88
54.0%
Q4 - 5:20MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
54.1%
86
45.9%
Q4 - 5:21LACMISS Thornton 20' Jump Shot87
56.8%
86
43.2%
Q4 - 5:38LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
62.8%
86
37.2%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot87
60.2%
86
39.8%
Q4 - 5:56LACSUB: Fazekas FOR Thomas87
86
Q4 - 5:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)87
86
Q4 - 5:56LACThomas L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)87
86
Q4 - 5:56MIAHEAT Rebound87
54.2%
86
45.8%
Q4 - 5:58LACMISS Mobley 22' Jump Shot87
56.9%
86
43.1%
Q4 - 6:14LACDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
61.3%
86
38.7%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot87
59.0%
86
41.0%
Q4 - 6:32LACSUB: Thornton FOR Fazekas87
86
Q4 - 6:32LACSUB: Maggette FOR Ross87
86
Q4 - 6:32LACMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)87
53.5%
86
46.5%
Q4 - 6:50LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
61.3%
86
38.7%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Marion 6' Running Jump Shot87
59.0%
86
41.0%
Q4 - 7:09LACFazekas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
52.8%
86
47.2%
Q4 - 7:09LACFazekas Tip Shot (4 PTS)87
52.8%
86
47.2%
Q4 - 7:10LACMISS Thomas 13' Turnaround Jump Shot85
41.2%
86
58.8%
Q4 - 7:33MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)85
46.4%
86
53.6%
Q4 - 7:39MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
52.9%
84
47.1%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
58.1%
84
41.9%
Q4 - 7:55LACThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T15)85
52.9%
84
47.1%
Q4 - 7:55LACThomas OFF.Foul (P2)85
84
Q4 - 8:03LACDickau Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)85
59.1%
84
40.9%
Q4 - 8:03MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Blount )84
84
Q4 - 8:21LACDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
52.7%
84
47.3%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Marion 17' Jump Shot84
50.8%
84
49.2%
Q4 - 8:36MIASUB: Blount FOR Quinn84
84
Q4 - 8:36MIASUB: Davis FOR Al. Johnson84
84
Q4 - 8:36LACSUB: Fazekas FOR Powell84
84
Q4 - 8:3684
84
Q4 - 8:36LACPowell P.FOUL (P5.T1)84
84
Q4 - 8:54LACDickau 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
46.5%
84
53.5%
Q4 - 9:06MIACook 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)82
40.6%
84
59.4%
Q4 - 9:22LACMobley 18' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)82
46.7%
82
53.3%
Q4 - 9:41MIASUB: Cook FOR Davis80
82
Q4 - 9:41LACClippers Rebound80
40.5%
82
59.5%
Q4 - 9:42LACWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)80
36.7%
82
63.3%
Q4 - 9:43MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)80
40.5%
82
59.5%
Q4 - 10:02LACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
35.6%
82
64.4%
Q4 - 10:02LACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
34.5%
82
65.5%
Q4 - 10:02MIADavis S.FOUL (P3.T1)78
82
Q4 - 10:05MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)78
30.5%
82
69.5%
Q4 - 10:29LACDickau 14' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)78
26.0%
82
74.0%
Q4 - 10:49MIAAl. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)76
21.7%
82
78.3%
Q4 - 11:08LACMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
19.4%
82
80.6%
Q4 - 11:34MIADavis 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q4 - 11:41LACMarion STEAL (4 STL)73
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q4 - 12:0073
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
19.1%
80
80.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)73
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0LACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
18.1%
80
81.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
20.0%
80
80.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Marion 11' Jump Shot73
19.2%
80
80.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0LACMobley 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)73
17.3%
80
82.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)71
14.2%
80
85.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Cook71
79
Q3 - 0:54.0LACSUB: Ross FOR Maggette71
79
Q3 - 0:54.0LACThornton S.FOUL (P2.T3)71
79
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMarion 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)71
79
Q3 - 1:09MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)71
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q3 - 1:11LACMISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 171
21.3%
77
78.7%
Q3 - 1:11MIACook S.FOUL (P2.PN)71
77
Q3 - 1:11LACMobley Driving Layup (15 PTS)71
77
Q3 - 1:18LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
17.5%
77
82.5%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Marion Driving Finger Roll Layup69
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q3 - 1:39LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)69
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q3 - 1:39LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)68
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q3 - 1:39MIADavis S.FOUL (P2.T1)67
77
Q3 - 1:56MIAMarion 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)67
12.5%
77
87.5%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)67
15.1%
75
84.9%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Marion 8' Hook Shot67
17.7%
75
82.3%
Q3 - 2:12MIADavis Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)67
15.9%
75
84.1%
Q3 - 2:12LACClippers T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Thornton )67
74
Q3 - 2:31LACThomas 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)67
18.5%
74
81.5%
Q3 - 2:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)65
74
Q3 - 2:51LACClippers Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)65
74
Q3 - 2:52MIADavis 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 3:13MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q3 - 3:14LACMISS Thornton 22' Jump Shot65
20.2%
72
79.8%
Q3 - 3:36MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)65
22.4%
72
77.6%
Q3 - 3:53MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
29.0%
69
71.0%
Q3 - 3:55LACMISS Maggette 21' Jump Shot65
30.2%
69
69.8%
Q3 - 4:08LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
33.6%
69
66.4%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot65
32.2%
69
67.8%
Q3 - 4:22MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Blount65
69
Q3 - 4:22MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams65
69
Q3 - 4:22LACKnight P.FOUL (P1.T2)65
69
Q3 - 4:27MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)65
29.2%
69
70.8%
Q3 - 4:28LACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
30.5%
69
69.5%
Q3 - 4:43MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)65
33.6%
69
66.4%
Q3 - 4:57LACMobley 12' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)65
36.9%
67
63.1%
Q3 - 5:12LACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
33.6%
67
66.4%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot63
32.4%
67
67.6%
Q3 - 5:31MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
29.6%
67
70.4%
Q3 - 5:33LACMISS Knight Driving Layup63
30.8%
67
69.2%
Q3 - 5:43LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
33.6%
67
66.4%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Marion 14' Jump Shot63
32.4%
67
67.6%
Q3 - 5:52LACDavis STEAL (3 STL)63
29.6%
67
70.4%
Q3 - 6:15MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)63
33.9%
67
66.1%
Q3 - 6:34MIAHEAT Rebound63
41.2%
64
58.8%
Q3 - 6:35LACMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
42.5%
64
57.5%
Q3 - 6:56LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
45.5%
64
54.5%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 163
44.9%
64
55.1%
Q3 - 6:59LACSUB: Mobley FOR Ross63
64
Q3 - 6:59LACSUB: Thomas FOR Powell63
64
Q3 - 6:59LACPowell S.FOUL (P4.T1)63
64
Q3 - 6:59MIABlount 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)63
64
Q3 - 7:20LACMaggette Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)63
48.7%
62
51.3%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMarion 16' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)63
52.8%
62
47.2%
Q3 - 8:03MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
55.9%
60
44.1%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
58.7%
60
41.3%
Q3 - 8:25LACDavis STEAL (2 STL)63
55.9%
60
44.1%
Q3 - 8:42LACClippers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)63
60
Q3 - 8:42MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)63
59.9%
60
40.1%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)63
66.3%
57
33.7%
Q3 - 9:05LACMISS Ross 19' Jump Shot63
67.3%
57
32.7%
Q3 - 9:25MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)63
69.6%
57
30.4%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)63
75.4%
54
24.6%
Q3 - 9:42LACMISS Powell 18' Jump Shot63
76.2%
54
23.8%
Q3 - 9:56MIACook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)63
78.1%
54
21.9%
Q3 - 10:12LACThornton 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ross 3 AST)63
74.5%
54
25.5%
Q3 - 10:29MIABlount Layup (9 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)61
71.8%
54
28.2%
Q3 - 10:48LACMaggette 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)61
74.6%
52
25.4%
Q3 - 11:13MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)58
68.3%
52
31.7%
Q3 - 11:29MIAHEAT Rebound58
73.8%
49
26.2%
Q3 - 11:31LACMISS Ross 15' Jump Shot58
74.7%
49
25.3%
Q3 - 11:45MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)58
76.6%
49
23.4%
Q3 - 12:0058
47
Q2 - 0:00.0LAC58
78.8%
47
21.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
81.2%
47
18.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot58
79.6%
47
20.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
78.5%
47
21.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0LACMISS Dickau 7' Running Hook Shot58
79.0%
47
21.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
80.1%
47
19.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound58
46
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 258
80.7%
46
19.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0LACMaggette S.FOUL (P1.T4)58
46
Q2 - 0:44.0LACDavis STEAL (1 STL)58
80.7%
46
19.3%
Q2 - 1:03MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)58
81.6%
46
18.4%
Q2 - 1:17LACDickau Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)58
85.6%
43
14.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)58
86.8%
43
13.2%
Q2 - 1:34LACDickau Reverse Layup (5 PTS)58
85.7%
43
14.3%
Q2 - 1:42MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)56
83.5%
43
16.5%
Q2 - 2:02LACThomas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
86.2%
40
13.8%
Q2 - 2:26LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
84.7%
40
15.3%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot54
84.2%
40
15.8%
Q2 - 2:48LACMarion STEAL (3 STL)54
82.9%
40
17.1%
Q2 - 2:53LACClippers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)54
40
Q2 - 2:53MIAMarion P.FOUL (P1.T1)54
40
Q2 - 3:04LACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
84.3%
40
15.7%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
83.7%
40
16.3%
Q2 - 3:22LACThornton 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)54
82.3%
40
17.7%
Q2 - 3:35LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
80.7%
40
19.3%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot52
80.0%
40
20.0%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)52
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 3:47LACMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
79.1%
40
20.9%
Q2 - 4:12MIACook Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)52
79.8%
40
20.2%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
81.6%
38
18.4%
Q2 - 4:18LACMISS Mobley 9' Jump Shot52
82.2%
38
17.8%
Q2 - 4:33MIACook Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)52
83.5%
38
16.5%
Q2 - 4:51LACMobley 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dickau 3 AST)52
81.7%
38
18.3%
Q2 - 5:06MIABlount Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)50
79.2%
38
20.8%
Q2 - 5:14MIASUB: Williams FOR Quinn50
36
Q2 - 5:14LACSUB: Maggette FOR Powell50
36
Q2 - 5:14MIASUB: Marion FOR Al. Johnson50
36
Q2 - 5:14LACPowell P.FOUL (P3.T3)50
36
Q2 - 5:21LACThornton 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)50
81.1%
36
18.9%
Q2 - 5:39MIADavis 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
79.2%
36
20.8%
Q2 - 5:48MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
81.2%
34
18.8%
Q2 - 5:51LACMISS Mobley 14' Jump Shot48
81.7%
34
18.3%
Q2 - 5:58LACDickau Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)48
82.9%
34
17.1%
Q2 - 5:58MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Cook )47
34
Q2 - 6:09MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)47
80.5%
34
19.5%
Q2 - 6:27LACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)47
83.6%
31
16.4%
Q2 - 6:29LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
80.5%
31
19.5%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Quinn 9' Floating Jump Shot44
79.9%
31
20.1%
Q2 - 6:57LACSUB: Powell FOR Fazekas44
31
Q2 - 6:57MIASUB: Quinn FOR Marion44
31
Q2 - 6:57MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)44
31
Q2 - 7:02LACMobley Layup (9 PTS)44
77.9%
31
22.1%
Q2 - 7:06MIAAl. Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)42
76.0%
31
24.0%
Q2 - 7:29LACMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)42
73.8%
31
26.2%
Q2 - 7:48MIAAl. Johnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)39
69.3%
31
30.7%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
66.7%
31
33.3%
Q2 - 8:00LACMISS Fazekas 19' Jump Shot39
67.5%
31
32.5%
Q2 - 8:15MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 8:15MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
69.1%
30
30.9%
Q2 - 8:15MIASUB: Blount FOR Anthony39
29
Q2 - 8:15MIASUB: Cook FOR Quinn39
29
Q2 - 8:1539
29
Q2 - 8:15LACThomas P.FOUL (P1.T2)39
29
Q2 - 8:15MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
70.8%
29
29.2%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Al. Johnson 13' Jump Shot39
72.3%
29
27.7%
Q2 - 8:31LACThornton Putback Slam Dunk (10 PTS)39
70.8%
29
29.2%
Q2 - 8:33LACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
68.4%
29
31.6%
Q2 - 8:35LACMISS Mobley 17' Jump Shot37
66.8%
29
33.2%
Q2 - 8:53MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)37
68.5%
29
31.5%
Q2 - 9:07LACThomas 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)37
70.1%
27
29.9%
Q2 - 9:23MIAQuinn Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
67.8%
27
32.2%
Q2 - 9:37LACDickau 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
70.1%
25
29.9%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMarion Reverse Dunk (8 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)33
67.8%
25
32.2%
Q2 - 10:05MIASUB: Davis FOR Cook33
23
Q2 - 10:05LACFazekas P.FOUL (P2.T1)33
23
Q2 - 10:09MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
69.5%
23
30.5%
Q2 - 10:11LACMISS Fazekas 7' Hook Shot33
70.2%
23
29.8%
Q2 - 10:30LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
71.8%
23
28.2%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
71.1%
23
28.9%
Q2 - 10:46LACMobley 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
69.5%
23
30.5%
Q2 - 11:03LACFazekas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
66.7%
23
33.3%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot31
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q2 - 11:32LACMobley Reverse Layup (2 PTS)31
64.4%
23
35.6%
Q2 - 11:41LACFazekas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
62.1%
23
37.9%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Bank Shot29
61.3%
23
38.7%
Q2 - 12:0029
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
59.6%
23
40.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
59.6%
23
40.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0LACMISS Knight 12' Floating Jump Shot29
59.6%
23
40.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0LACFazekas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
60.9%
23
39.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 229
60.7%
23
39.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAHEAT Rebound29
23
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 229
59.2%
23
40.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0LACFazekas S.FOUL (P1.PN)29
23
Q1 - 0:34.0LACFazekas 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
59.1%
23
40.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0LACFazekas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0LACMISS Thomas Layup27
54.9%
23
45.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0LACFazekas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 227
55.9%
23
44.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0LACSUB: Fazekas FOR Powell27
23
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
54.4%
23
45.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0LACPowell S.FOUL (P2.T3)27
22
Q1 - 1:06LACCook STEAL (1 STL)27
56.4%
22
43.6%
Q1 - 1:28MIAQuinn 13' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
58.0%
22
42.0%
Q1 - 1:42LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)27
61.0%
20
39.0%
Q1 - 1:42MIASUB: Anthony FOR Davis26
20
Q1 - 1:42LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)26
60.7%
20
39.3%
Q1 - 1:42MIADavis S.FOUL (P1.PN)25
20
Q1 - 2:04MIACook Dunk (7 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)25
57.8%
20
42.2%
Q1 - 2:08LACMarion STEAL (2 STL)25
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMarion Layup (6 PTS)25
62.3%
18
37.7%
Q1 - 2:29LACMarion STEAL (1 STL)25
64.8%
16
35.2%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
66.5%
16
33.5%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
66.9%
15
33.1%
Q1 - 2:45LACSUB: Mobley FOR Ross25
14
Q1 - 2:45LACSUB: Thomas FOR Thornton25
14
Q1 - 2:45LACClippers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
14
Q1 - 2:45LACThornton S.FOUL (P1.T2)25
14
Q1 - 2:46MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
68.9%
14
31.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot25
70.0%
14
30.0%
Q1 - 3:05LACThornton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)25
68.6%
14
31.4%
Q1 - 3:15LACKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
70.5%
14
29.5%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Al. Johnson 14' Jump Shot25
69.9%
14
30.1%
Q1 - 3:31LACKnight 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)25
68.6%
14
31.4%
Q1 - 3:43MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
66.5%
14
33.5%
Q1 - 3:43MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
67.1%
13
32.9%
Q1 - 3:43LACPowell S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
12
Q1 - 3:57LACPowell Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
68.6%
12
31.4%
Q1 - 4:10MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams23
12
Q1 - 4:10LACClippers Rebound23
67.9%
12
32.1%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
67.3%
12
32.7%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
65.9%
12
34.1%
Q1 - 4:24LACMISS Thornton 14' Fadeaway Jumper23
66.5%
12
33.5%
Q1 - 4:38LACPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
67.6%
12
32.4%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot23
67.1%
12
32.9%
Q1 - 4:55LACThornton Illegal Assist Turnover (P1.T2)23
65.6%
12
34.4%
Q1 - 4:56LACClippers Rebound23
67.4%
12
32.6%
Q1 - 4:56LACMISS Powell 10' Jump Shot23
66.2%
12
33.8%
Q1 - 5:11LACClippers Rebound23
66.6%
12
33.4%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot23
66.0%
12
34.0%
Q1 - 5:19LACThornton 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
64.6%
12
35.4%
Q1 - 5:41MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)21
62.8%
12
37.2%
Q1 - 5:53MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)21
9
Q1 - 5:59LACMaggette 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)21
65.6%
9
34.4%
Q1 - 6:09MIACook 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)18
61.9%
9
38.1%
Q1 - 6:31LACMaggette 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ross 2 AST)18
63.1%
7
36.9%
Q1 - 6:38MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Blount16
7
Q1 - 6:38MIABlount P.FOUL (P2.T4)16
7
Q1 - 6:41LACPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
61.4%
7
38.6%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot16
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 6:56LACThornton Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
59.5%
7
40.5%
Q1 - 7:03LACPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
57.7%
7
42.3%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot14
57.1%
7
42.9%
Q1 - 7:17LACThornton 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
55.7%
7
44.3%
Q1 - 7:37MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)12
53.9%
7
46.1%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 7:46LACMISS Powell 20' Jump Shot12
57.3%
4
42.7%
Q1 - 7:57LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
58.1%
4
41.9%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Blount 10' Turnaround Jump Shot12
57.6%
4
42.4%
Q1 - 8:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
4
Q1 - 8:19LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)12
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 8:19MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T3)11
4
Q1 - 8:19LACMaggette Driving Layup (7 PTS)11
4
Q1 - 8:21MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
51.5%
4
48.5%
Q1 - 8:24LACRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 8:24LACMISS Ross Tip Shot9
52.0%
4
48.0%
Q1 - 8:27LACMISS Powell 8' Hook Shot9
51.9%
4
48.1%
Q1 - 8:49LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
52.0%
4
48.0%
Q1 - 9:10LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 9:10LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 9:10MIABlount S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
4
Q1 - 9:17LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot7
48.8%
4
51.2%
Q1 - 9:27LACThornton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)7
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMarion Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Marion Layup5
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 9:52MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 10:10LACKnight 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)5
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 10:17MIACook P.FOUL (P1.T1)3
2
Q1 - 10:24MIABlount 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 10:51LACKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 10:59LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Marion Layup3
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:08LACMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot3
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 11:21MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 11:37LACMaggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)3
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Powell: Tip to Thornton0
45.1%
0
54.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventLACMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC
1.29 64.3%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAC
9
14
64%
MIA
12
16
75%
Midrange
LAC
21
42
50%
MIA
13
39
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAC
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
MIA
12
18.0
21
57%
86%
Free Throws
LAC
21
24
88%
MIA
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Mobley2981%14.5 / 18
A. Thornton2269%11.0 / 16
C. Maggette22100%11.0 / 11
D. Dickau1083%5.0 / 6
T. Thomas844%4.0 / 9
B. Knight450%2.0 / 4
N. Fazekas450%2.0 / 4
Q. Ross0-0.0 / 4
J. Powell0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis2784%13.5 / 16
D. Cook2357%11.5 / 20
S. Marion1745%8.5 / 19
J. Williams1169%5.5 / 8
M. Blount1161%5.5 / 9
A. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
C. Quinn433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAC
68
+8
-18
76
MIA
76
+11
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC
1.29 64.3%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
100.2
LAC 115.1 +3.8
MIA 111.4
Pace
92.7
90.5
LAC 89.5 +4.9
MIA 84.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.3
LAC 16.1 −0.9
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
48.2%
LAC 59.1% +2.5%
MIA 56.6%
TO %
14.8%
15.4%
LAC 19.0%
MIA 12.5% −6.5%
ORB %
23.2%
22.2%
LAC 23.1%
MIA 24.4% +1.3%
FTrt
33.8
30.0
LAC 36.4 +11.4
MIA 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.4%
58.5%
LAC 47.2%
MIA 62.2% +15.0%
STL %
7.3%
7.9%
LAC 9.3% +0.2%
MIA 9.1%
BLK %
7.5%
7.1%
LAC 3.6% +1.8%
MIA 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
50.6%
LAC 64.3% +8.0%
MIA 56.3%
Rim FG%
58.0%
59.2%
LAC 64.3%
MIA 75.0% +10.7%
Mid FG%
39.5%
38.8%
LAC 50.0% +16.7%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
32.4%
35.8%
LAC 60.0% +2.9%
MIA 57.1%
FT %
78.1%
72.7%
LAC 87.5% +24.3%
MIA 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.4%
30.2%
LAC 21.2% +0.2%
MIA 21.1%
Mid Att. %
53.8%
48.1%
LAC 63.6%
MIA 51.3% −12.3%
3P Att. %
16.7%
21.7%
LAC 15.2%
MIA 27.6% +12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsLACMIA
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points9998
Rebounds3730
Assists1723
Steals88
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)20 (3)
Field Goals36-6637-76
At-the-Rim FG9-1412-16
Midrange FG21-4213-39
2-Point FG30-5625-55
3-Point FG6-1012-21
Free Throws21-2412-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
39.8
22
69%
10
3
1
1
4
3
2
8
3-4
75%
8-12
67%
1-2
50%
C · 6'6" 225 · 28
34.9
22
100%
1
0
1
0
3
2
0
1
9-9
100%
2-4
50%
3-3
100%
G · 5'10" 166 · 32
24.0
4
50%
1
3
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 193 · 27
21.4
0
0%
1
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
21.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
3
5
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 33
33.7
29
81%
6
2
3
0
2
0
0
6
5-7
71%
9-13
69%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 240 · 31
32.4
8
44%
6
2
0
0
1
3
0
6
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 180 · 29
23.2
10
83%
3
4
1
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 23
9.4
4
50%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
G · 5'10" 173 · 26
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 36
#42 · F · 6'9" 254 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'7" 192 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · C · 6'11" 270 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
64%
37
17
8
2
18
0
6
31
21-24
88%
30-56
54%
6-10
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.