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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies16%98111
8Suns84%111132
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
34.2
36.3
20
67%
8
1
1
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
7-12
5-11
58%
47%
2-3
67%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.7
28.2
20.0
5
25%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
2-3
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.7
24.4
29.3
12
40%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-15
4-9
40%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
23.0
20.5
10
38%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-12
3-6
42%
45%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
21.9
23.8
12
67%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
9-9
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
52%
1-4
25%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.0
25.0
26.6
11
48%
3
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
6-8
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.2
19.8
17.6
6
34%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
15.9
31.0
7
44%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
6-11
43%
51%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.0
14.4
9.8
8
68%
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
12.0
13.9
7
88%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
12.0
5.2
8
57%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
0-0
80%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
9.2
10.6
5
91%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.3
30.5
33.3
29
76%
13
4
1
1
0
2
1
12
5-5
100%
12-17
9-15
71%
59%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
30.0
38.8
20
69%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
3-7
43%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.1
25.0
34.9
8
57%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
56%
0-2
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.4
21.6
29.2
17
75%
7
4
0
1
1
0
2
5
3-3
100%
7-9
5-9
78%
54%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.0
16.6
30.9
2
100%
8
6
1
0
3
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-1
5-9
100%
59%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.7
30.7
9.1
18
64%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
9-13
1-2
69%
47%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
25.5
25.2
8
50%
3
4
0
1
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.3
25.3
28.9
18
65%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
6-10
4-7
60%
53%
1-2
50%
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.7
12.0
2.6
4
42%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.7
8.9
3.4
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
8.9
3.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.6
5.0
2.0
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.