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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Cavaliers47%9499
15Wizards53%95101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.2
43
41
25
7
7
0
2
0
7
2
5
6-8
75%
8-15
9-17
53%
51%
1-7
14%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.5
33
16
8
8
0
0
1
3
2
2
6
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.6
32
27
10
5
7
2
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
30
33
4
12
0
0
1
0
3
3
9
0-0
-
2-9
4-8
22%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.3
29
12
24
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
42%
5-9
56%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
24
33
6
6
1
1
1
0
2
4
2
2-2
100%
2-2
3-7
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
23
25
7
9
0
0
1
1
2
3
6
5-8
63%
1-5
4-9
20%
46%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.5
14
22
9
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
3-5
60%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.0
13
28
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.9
6
0
0-1
38%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.8
5
0
0-0
51%
Lance Allred
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
3
0
0-1
48%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.8
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
41
11
19
6
1
1
1
0
4
1
5
3-5
60%
8-15
2-4
53%
50%
0-3
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.9
39
32
13
3
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
4-6
67%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
38
35
17
10
1
1
1
0
0
0
10
5-9
56%
3-7
7-14
43%
49%
2-7
29%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.3
32
25
14
7
2
0
0
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
31
27
10
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
6-7
86%
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
18
28
15
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
18
23
10
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
12
23
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
7
21
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
2
14
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
11
0
1-3
48%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
6
0
1-1
52%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.