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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Trail Blazers45%9785
18Kings55%9896
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.6
41.6
36.9
21
57%
9
6
2
1
1
5
3
6
6-8
75%
6-12
7-14
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.4
31.7
26.3
4
50%
10
0
0
0
3
2
3
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.7
29.0
35.0
20
60%
6
0
1
1
1
6
4
2
4-4
100%
8-15
8-16
53%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.0
26.6
31.5
6
25%
2
6
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.3
23.3
26.7
10
61%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.5
27.5
18.2
13
44%
5
0
1
1
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
5-13
4-8
38%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
19.2
21.7
2
17%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.8
18.3
15.7
4
41%
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.4
15.6
18.9
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-2
50%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.8
5.8
4.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.6
1.6
3.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.1
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
40.5
38.0
14
59%
8
7
0
1
0
6
1
7
2-2
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
48%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.3
37.1
26.8
22
80%
4
3
6
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
6-8
5-10
75%
48%
2-4
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.4
32.2
29.0
10
68%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-3
67%
4-6
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.9
30.8
26.2
14
48%
7
4
2
1
0
2
2
5
7-8
88%
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
1-4
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.1
24.8
35.7
6
25%
2
1
1
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
50%
0-4
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
23.3
22.2
5
43%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-3
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.3
20.9
24.6
11
70%
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.9
17.1
19.6
6
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
8.1
7.6
6
90%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-3
67%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
5.3
8.8
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.4
0.1
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
2.9
0
0-0
45%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.