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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Warriors37%107115
11Suns63%111123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.9
46.2
37.5
38
60%
9
8
3
2
1
2
2
7
2-4
50%
9-19
6-13
47%
48%
6-11
55%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.4
45.2
39.5
23
44%
8
4
2
2
0
2
5
3
7-9
78%
8-21
9-16
38%
52%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
38.8
32.7
16
54%
8
0
2
1
1
0
3
5
3-4
75%
5-11
3-6
45%
50%
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.9
29.9
39.5
13
44%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
1-5
20%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.1
26.9
20.5
11
46%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
20.8
15.9
10
78%
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.9
20.2
24.3
4
50%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-6
50%
60%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
6.9
5.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.0
5.0
12.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
0.0
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.9
7.1
0
1-1
45%
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.1
2.9
0
0-1
51%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.0
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.3
39.7
31.9
36
68%
11
4
0
1
4
1
3
8
10-12
83%
13-19
9-15
68%
58%
0-2
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
37.9
34.8
18
75%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.1
36.8
30.6
21
73%
4
13
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
3-7
4-6
43%
55%
4-6
67%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.4
36.1
25.8
3
22%
11
3
0
1
2
1
2
9
1-2
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
53%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.0
14.2
24.9
9
67%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-5
4-7
60%
59%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
32.4
25.3
16
57%
7
5
0
1
1
4
3
4
4-7
57%
6-11
4-7
55%
53%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.3
29.3
27.4
14
64%
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
2-6
33%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.7
13.6
17.5
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
2-3
67%
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.7
7.0
0
1-2
49%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
6.3
0
1-1
50%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.7
6.0
0
1-1
50%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.6
3.8
0
1-1
49%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.5
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.