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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Magic72%103103
28Heat28%9694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.3
41.7
35.5
18
45%
16
2
1
1
1
4
8
8
6-16
38%
6-13
7-12
46%
60%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
39.7
36.5
15
54%
8
2
0
1
1
4
3
5
1-2
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
2-6
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.0
37.5
34.5
20
56%
5
6
2
1
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
4-9
5-9
44%
49%
3-7
43%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.1
33.2
24.4
21
109%
4
7
1
1
0
0
1
3
6-6
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
49%
3-4
75%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
18.1
26.6
8
57%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
51%
0-2
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.8
19.8
23.4
5
43%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.8
19.8
8.7
10
87%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
13.9
16.9
4
34%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.6
10.0
20.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.0
6.3
6.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.7
4.3
0
0-1
49%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.6
3.2
0
0-0
44%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.0
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
46.2
26.7
34
64%
6
7
0
1
0
3
2
4
1-1
100%
9-14
2-4
64%
46%
5-12
42%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
44.1
38.1
11
41%
7
5
3
1
0
5
1
6
1-1
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-4
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
35.9
31.4
15
60%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
2-6
33%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
21.3
16.4
6
60%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
19.3
27.5
9
40%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
38.8
3.4
10
71%
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-7
0-1
71%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
20.1
17.8
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
14.4
14.3
9
150%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
3-3
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
39.2
2
6-11
55%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
12.2
0
2-3
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
11.7
0
1-2
48%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
8.3
0
1-2
45%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.