Final Win Prob. pScore
972%103
103
2828%96
94
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
119.88697.1
MIA logo Heat
110.68576.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL103
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)103
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Quinn 12' Jump Shot103
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)103
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)102
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P1.PN)101
94
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending101
94
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWilliams Layup (34 PTS)101
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)100
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Cook99
92
Q4 - 0:31.0MIACook S.FOUL (P6.PN)99
92
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)99
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)99
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
97.6%
92
2.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Davis Driving Layup96
96.8%
92
3.2%
Q4 - 1:00MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)96
92
Q4 - 1:00ORLTurkoglu Dunk (17 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)96
94.3%
92
5.7%
Q4 - 1:11MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)94
89.1%
92
10.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
80.2%
92
19.8%
Q4 - 1:28ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 294
81.4%
92
18.6%
Q4 - 1:28ORLMagic Rebound94
92
Q4 - 1:28ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 294
85.3%
92
14.7%
Q4 - 1:28MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.PN)94
92
Q4 - 1:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)94
88.2%
92
11.8%
Q4 - 1:29ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot94
82.9%
92
17.1%
Q4 - 1:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)94
88.1%
92
11.9%
Q4 - 1:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot94
82.6%
92
17.4%
Q4 - 1:51MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
85.8%
92
14.2%
Q4 - 1:51MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
87.2%
91
12.8%
Q4 - 1:51ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)94
90
Q4 - 1:51ORLLewis S.FOUL (P3.T3)94
90
Q4 - 2:09ORLNelson 14' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)94
89.8%
90
10.2%
Q4 - 2:17ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
86.7%
90
13.3%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Davis 12' Jump Shot92
84.1%
90
15.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
76.1%
90
23.9%
Q4 - 2:38ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
80.0%
90
20.0%
Q4 - 2:44ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
86.9%
90
13.1%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
84.2%
90
15.8%
Q4 - 3:00ORLHoward P.FOUL (P3.T2)92
90
Q4 - 3:12ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)92
77.0%
90
23.0%
Q4 - 3:12ORLMagic Rebound91
90
Q4 - 3:12ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 291
74.2%
90
25.8%
Q4 - 3:12MIADavis S.FOUL (P4.PN)91
90
Q4 - 3:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)91
79.8%
90
20.2%
Q4 - 3:13ORLMISS Lewis 6' Jump Shot91
71.9%
90
28.1%
Q4 - 3:31ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Dooling91
90
Q4 - 3:31ORLMagic Rebound91
77.3%
90
22.7%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot91
75.1%
90
24.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
69.6%
90
30.4%
Q4 - 3:49ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 291
70.7%
90
29.3%
Q4 - 3:49ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)91
76.1%
90
23.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIACook S.FOUL (P5.PN)90
90
Q4 - 3:52ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
70.2%
90
29.8%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Blount 3PT Jump Shot90
67.5%
90
32.5%
Q4 - 4:12MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
60.8%
90
39.2%
Q4 - 4:13ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
63.8%
90
36.2%
Q4 - 4:40MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (32 PTS)90
70.3%
90
29.7%
Q4 - 4:52MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
77.3%
88
22.7%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
82.1%
88
17.9%
Q4 - 5:09MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
75.8%
88
24.2%
Q4 - 5:10ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
77.7%
88
22.3%
Q4 - 5:26MIACook Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)90
81.8%
88
18.2%
Q4 - 5:26ORLBogans S.FOUL (P1.T1)90
87
Q4 - 5:26MIACook Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)90
87
Q4 - 5:30ORLDavis STEAL (3 STL)90
89.7%
85
10.3%
Q4 - 5:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)90
92.6%
85
7.4%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot90
91.8%
85
8.2%
Q4 - 6:04ORLDooling Driving Layup (9 PTS)90
88.8%
85
11.2%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (30 PTS)88
85.5%
85
14.5%
Q4 - 6:44MIASUB: Blount FOR Jones88
83
Q4 - 6:44ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T12)88
88.8%
83
11.2%
Q4 - 6:44ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P2)88
83
Q4 - 6:53MIACook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)88
91.6%
83
8.4%
Q4 - 6:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)88
83
Q4 - 7:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)88
83
Q4 - 7:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
88.2%
83
11.8%
Q4 - 7:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
87.7%
83
12.3%
Q4 - 7:16MIADavis S.FOUL (P3.T4)86
83
Q4 - 7:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)86
85.2%
83
14.8%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot86
84.0%
83
16.0%
Q4 - 7:46ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)86
81.0%
83
19.0%
Q4 - 8:06MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS)83
71.7%
83
28.3%
Q4 - 8:19ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Arroyo83
81
Q4 - 8:19MIAHEAT Rebound83
76.8%
81
23.2%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
79.8%
81
20.2%
Q4 - 8:41ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
76.8%
81
23.2%
Q4 - 8:41ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
76.1%
81
23.9%
Q4 - 8:41MIASUB: Cook FOR Quinn81
81
Q4 - 8:41ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Cook81
81
Q4 - 8:4181
81
Q4 - 8:41MIADavis S.FOUL (P2.T3)81
81
Q4 - 8:45ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
71.7%
81
28.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
70.1%
81
29.9%
Q4 - 9:06MIAHEAT Rebound81
67.0%
81
33.0%
Q4 - 9:07ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
68.5%
81
31.5%
Q4 - 9:15MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)81
71.9%
81
28.1%
Q4 - 9:37ORLCook 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)81
67.0%
81
33.0%
Q4 - 9:53MIADavis 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
61.2%
81
38.8%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)79
67.5%
79
32.5%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMagic Rebound79
72.2%
79
27.8%
Q4 - 10:12ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
69.0%
79
31.0%
Q4 - 10:32ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
72.2%
79
27.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot79
70.8%
79
29.2%
Q4 - 10:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
67.5%
79
32.5%
Q4 - 10:42ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot79
68.9%
79
31.1%
Q4 - 10:52MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)79
72.1%
79
27.9%
Q4 - 11:07ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)79
80.1%
76
19.9%
Q4 - 11:23MIAWilliams 16' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)79
83.2%
76
16.8%
Q4 - 11:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
86.1%
74
13.9%
Q4 - 11:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
85.2%
74
14.8%
Q4 - 11:40MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T2)77
74
Q4 - 11:48MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T1)77
74
Q4 - 12:0077
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
83.2%
74
16.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
80.2%
74
19.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
81.1%
74
18.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
82.6%
74
17.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot77
81.8%
74
18.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
79.8%
74
20.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot77
80.7%
74
19.3%
Q3 - 1:02ORLMagic Rebound77
82.1%
74
17.9%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
81.3%
74
18.7%
Q3 - 1:08MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
79.3%
74
20.7%
Q3 - 1:09ORLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)77
80.2%
74
19.8%
Q3 - 1:21ORLCook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
82.1%
74
17.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot77
81.3%
74
18.7%
Q3 - 1:43ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)77
79.4%
74
20.6%
Q3 - 1:48ORLCook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
71.8%
74
28.2%
Q3 - 1:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Fadeaway Jumper74
69.2%
74
30.8%
Q3 - 2:09MIADavis 20' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)74
72.3%
74
27.7%
Q3 - 2:37ORLCook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
75.9%
72
24.1%
Q3 - 2:37ORLCook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
75.3%
72
24.7%
Q3 - 2:37ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)72
72
Q3 - 2:37MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.PN)72
72
Q3 - 2:48MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)72
72.2%
72
27.8%
Q3 - 3:14ORLNelson 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
79.6%
69
20.4%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)70
76.7%
69
23.3%
Q3 - 3:58ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
82.3%
66
17.7%
Q3 - 3:58ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Evans69
66
Q3 - 3:58MIASUB: Quinn FOR Cook69
66
Q3 - 3:58ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
81.9%
66
18.1%
Q3 - 3:58MIACook S.FOUL (P4.PN)68
66
Q3 - 4:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
79.7%
66
20.3%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
78.6%
66
21.4%
Q3 - 4:21ORLEvans 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)68
76.2%
66
23.8%
Q3 - 4:44ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending66
66
Q3 - 4:44MIAWilliams 4' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
73.5%
66
26.5%
Q3 - 4:59MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
76.2%
64
23.8%
Q3 - 5:01ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 266
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q3 - 5:01MIASUB: Jones FOR Blount66
64
Q3 - 5:01ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
78.0%
64
22.0%
Q3 - 5:01MIABlount P.FOUL (P4.PN)65
64
Q3 - 5:12MIAAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)65
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q3 - 5:24ORLHoward Putback Dunk (14 PTS)65
79.0%
62
21.0%
Q3 - 5:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)63
76.5%
62
23.5%
Q3 - 5:28ORLMISS Cook 9' Jump Bank Shot63
74.0%
62
26.0%
Q3 - 5:45MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)63
76.5%
62
23.5%
Q3 - 5:45ORLSUB: Cook FOR Lewis63
61
Q3 - 5:45ORLLewis S.FOUL (P2.T3)63
61
Q3 - 5:45MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
61
Q3 - 6:13ORLEvans Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)63
81.8%
59
18.2%
Q3 - 6:26MIAAnthony 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)61
79.5%
59
20.5%
Q3 - 6:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
81.8%
57
18.2%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot61
83.5%
57
16.5%
Q3 - 6:51ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P2.T2)61
57
Q3 - 6:51MIAHEAT Rebound61
81.8%
57
18.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Cook 8' Running Jump Shot61
83.5%
57
16.5%
Q3 - 7:06ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)61
81.5%
57
18.5%
Q3 - 7:22MIABlount 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)61
83.8%
57
16.2%
Q3 - 7:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
55
Q3 - 7:41ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)61
85.7%
55
14.3%
Q3 - 7:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
81.6%
55
18.4%
Q3 - 7:53MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
80.9%
55
19.1%
Q3 - 8:13MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
78.9%
55
21.1%
Q3 - 8:15ORLMISS Lewis 9' Running Hook Shot58
79.7%
55
20.3%
Q3 - 8:25MIASUB: Anthony FOR Al. Johnson58
55
Q3 - 8:25MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P4.T4)58
55
Q3 - 8:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
81.5%
55
18.5%
Q3 - 8:27ORLMISS Evans Reverse Layup58
79.7%
55
20.3%
Q3 - 8:41MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P5.T9)58
81.5%
55
18.5%
Q3 - 9:04ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)58
79.1%
55
20.9%
Q3 - 9:20MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)56
76.6%
55
23.4%
Q3 - 9:29ORLDavis STEAL (2 STL)56
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q3 - 9:38MIACook P.FOUL (P3.T3)56
55
Q3 - 9:56MIAAl. Johnson L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)56
55
Q3 - 9:56ORLMagic Rebound56
76.6%
55
23.4%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot56
75.8%
55
24.2%
Q3 - 10:05ORLLewis P.FOUL (P1.T1)56
55
Q3 - 10:23ORLEvans Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)56
74.1%
55
25.9%
Q3 - 10:29ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
71.3%
55
28.7%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS Blount 5' Jump Shot54
70.3%
55
29.7%
Q3 - 10:48ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)54
68.2%
55
31.8%
Q3 - 11:03MIAAl. Johnson Driving Dunk (6 PTS)52
66.1%
55
33.9%
Q3 - 11:22ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
68.9%
53
31.1%
Q3 - 11:29MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P2.T1)50
53
Q3 - 11:44MIAAl. Johnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)50
66.0%
53
34.0%
Q3 - 12:0050
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
68.9%
51
31.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
68.9%
51
31.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
63.2%
51
36.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
62.5%
51
37.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
60.7%
51
39.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Cook46
51
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
60.2%
51
39.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIACook S.FOUL (P2.PN)45
51
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
56.7%
51
43.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
55.9%
51
44.1%
Q2 - 1:12ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)45
55.2%
51
44.8%
Q2 - 1:20ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
47.7%
51
52.3%
Q2 - 1:21ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot42
46.1%
51
53.9%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)42
47.7%
51
52.3%
Q2 - 1:45ORLDavis STEAL (1 STL)42
55.1%
48
44.9%
Q2 - 1:56MIAAnthony L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)42
48
Q2 - 1:56ORLMagic Rebound42
57.5%
48
42.5%
Q2 - 1:58ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
55.8%
48
44.2%
Q2 - 2:10MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)42
58.9%
48
41.1%
Q2 - 2:22ORLDooling P.FOUL (P1.T2)42
45
Q2 - 2:28MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
64.8%
45
35.2%
Q2 - 2:29ORLMISS Howard Layup42
65.7%
45
34.3%
Q2 - 2:44MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)42
67.7%
45
32.3%
Q2 - 2:53MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)42
64.8%
45
35.2%
Q2 - 2:53ORLMagic T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Lewis )42
44
Q2 - 3:00MIASUB: Davis FOR Quinn42
44
Q2 - 3:00MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
44
Q2 - 3:08ORLHoward Dunk (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)42
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q2 - 3:11MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P1.T2)40
44
Q2 - 3:37MIAAnthony Tip Shot (6 PTS)40
65.8%
44
34.2%
Q2 - 3:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
68.1%
42
31.9%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
70.3%
42
29.7%
Q2 - 4:08ORLLewis Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)40
68.8%
42
31.2%
Q2 - 4:14ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
66.2%
42
33.8%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot38
65.3%
42
34.7%
Q2 - 4:41ORLDooling Running Dunk (2 PTS)38
63.2%
42
36.8%
Q2 - 4:44MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)36
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 4:52ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Turkoglu36
42
Q2 - 4:52ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P1.T1)36
42
Q2 - 5:02MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
58.7%
42
41.3%
Q2 - 5:03ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
59.6%
42
40.4%
Q2 - 5:12MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount36
42
Q2 - 5:12MIABlount P.FOUL (P3.T1)36
42
Q2 - 5:22MIABlount Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)36
61.4%
42
38.6%
Q2 - 5:27MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
64.3%
40
35.7%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
66.1%
40
33.9%
Q2 - 5:40MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Anthony36
40
Q2 - 5:40MIASUB: Blount FOR Davis36
40
Q2 - 5:40ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo36
40
Q2 - 5:40ORLSUB: Howard FOR Foyle36
40
Q2 - 5:4036
40
Q2 - 5:40ORLArroyo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)36
64.2%
40
35.8%
Q2 - 5:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
66.8%
40
33.2%
Q2 - 5:42ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
65.0%
40
35.0%
Q2 - 6:01MIACook 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)36
67.2%
40
32.8%
Q2 - 6:14ORLTurkoglu Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)36
69.2%
38
30.8%
Q2 - 6:18MIAAnthony Violation:Defensive Goaltending34
38
Q2 - 6:35ORLMagic Rebound34
67.2%
38
32.8%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Quinn 12' Jump Shot34
66.3%
38
33.7%
Q2 - 6:57MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
64.2%
38
35.8%
Q2 - 6:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot34
65.1%
38
34.9%
Q2 - 7:07ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
67.7%
38
32.3%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
66.9%
38
33.1%
Q2 - 7:20ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Bogans34
38
Q2 - 7:20MIAHEAT Rebound34
65.1%
38
34.9%
Q2 - 7:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
65.9%
38
34.1%
Q2 - 7:31MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)34
67.7%
38
32.3%
Q2 - 7:35MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
70.0%
36
30.0%
Q2 - 7:36ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
70.7%
36
29.3%
Q2 - 7:47MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)34
72.4%
36
27.6%
Q2 - 8:07ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
74.8%
34
25.2%
Q2 - 8:14ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
72.6%
34
27.4%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
71.9%
34
28.1%
Q2 - 8:35ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
70.4%
34
29.6%
Q2 - 8:43ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)32
34
Q2 - 8:50MIACook 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)32
72.6%
34
27.4%
Q2 - 9:10ORLFoyle Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)32
74.7%
32
25.3%
Q2 - 9:23MIACook 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
72.6%
32
27.4%
Q2 - 9:27MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
74.7%
30
25.3%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
76.1%
30
23.9%
Q2 - 9:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
74.7%
30
25.3%
Q2 - 9:36ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
75.3%
30
24.7%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)30
76.7%
30
23.3%
Q2 - 10:04ORLLewis 5' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)30
80.2%
27
19.8%
Q2 - 10:15ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
78.5%
27
21.5%
Q2 - 10:16ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot28
77.2%
27
22.8%
Q2 - 10:32MIAAnthony 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)28
78.5%
27
21.5%
Q2 - 10:54ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)28
80.2%
25
19.8%
Q2 - 11:16ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot25
75.9%
25
24.1%
Q2 - 11:33ORLFoyle Foul Turnover (P1.T4)25
74.6%
25
25.4%
Q2 - 11:33ORLFoyle OFF.Foul (P1)25
25
Q2 - 11:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot25
75.9%
25
24.1%
Q2 - 12:0025
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
74.6%
25
25.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL25
25
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)25
74.9%
25
25.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMagic Rebound25
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Bogans 20' Jump Shot25
75.3%
25
24.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)25
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
74.9%
25
25.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Jones24
25
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLMagic Rebound24
25
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 224
74.6%
25
25.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)24
25
Q1 - 0:57.0MIADavis 6' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)24
74.4%
25
25.6%
Q1 - 1:24ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)24
77.0%
23
23.0%
Q1 - 1:37MIAAnthony 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)24
78.1%
23
21.9%
Q1 - 1:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
80.2%
21
19.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot24
80.9%
21
19.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIADavis Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)24
80.2%
21
19.8%
Q1 - 1:57ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Evans24
20
Q1 - 1:57ORLMagic T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Howard )24
20
Q1 - 2:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
81.5%
20
18.5%
Q1 - 2:10ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q1 - 2:18MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
82.6%
20
17.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
81.5%
20
18.5%
Q1 - 2:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 224
81.6%
20
18.4%
Q1 - 2:34ORLMagic Rebound24
20
Q1 - 2:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 224
82.4%
20
17.6%
Q1 - 2:34MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams24
20
Q1 - 2:34ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Lewis24
20
Q1 - 2:34ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
20
Q1 - 2:34MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
20
Q1 - 2:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
82.6%
20
17.4%
Q1 - 2:36ORLMISS Howard 5' Turnaround Jump Shot24
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q1 - 2:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
82.6%
20
17.4%
Q1 - 2:41ORLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q1 - 2:55MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)24
82.6%
20
17.4%
Q1 - 3:12ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)24
85.4%
17
14.6%
Q1 - 3:23MIADavis 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)24
86.5%
17
13.5%
Q1 - 3:39ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
87.5%
15
12.5%
Q1 - 3:39MIASUB: Davis FOR Cook23
15
Q1 - 3:39ORLMagic Rebound23
15
Q1 - 3:39ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 223
87.4%
15
12.6%
Q1 - 3:39MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T4)23
15
Q1 - 3:48ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
87.5%
15
12.5%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup23
87.2%
15
12.8%
Q1 - 4:00ORLHoward P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
15
Q1 - 4:22ORLEvans Layup (2 PTS)23
85.2%
15
14.8%
Q1 - 4:24ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
84.2%
15
15.8%
Q1 - 4:25ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
83.4%
15
16.6%
Q1 - 4:37MIAAl. Johnson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
84.1%
15
15.9%
Q1 - 4:53ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
85.0%
13
15.0%
Q1 - 4:53MIASUB: Jones FOR Davis20
13
Q1 - 4:53ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
84.6%
13
15.4%
Q1 - 4:53ORLSUB: Cook FOR Turkoglu19
13
Q1 - 4:53MIADavis S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
13
Q1 - 5:04MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
83.5%
13
16.5%
Q1 - 5:21ORLTurkoglu Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)19
85.2%
10
14.8%
Q1 - 5:27ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
84.3%
10
15.7%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
84.0%
10
16.0%
Q1 - 5:51ORLLewis Layup (7 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)17
83.1%
10
16.9%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
82.1%
10
17.9%
Q1 - 6:11ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)15
83.0%
8
17.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
80.9%
8
19.1%
Q1 - 6:27MIAHEAT Rebound12
79.8%
8
20.2%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Cook 14' Jump Shot12
80.6%
8
19.4%
Q1 - 6:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
79.6%
8
20.4%
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 212
79.7%
8
20.3%
Q1 - 6:51ORLMagic Rebound12
8
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 212
80.3%
8
19.7%
Q1 - 6:51MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount12
8
Q1 - 6:51MIABlount S.FOUL (P2.T2)12
8
Q1 - 6:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
80.6%
8
19.4%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Blount 8' Running Hook Shot12
80.3%
8
19.7%
Q1 - 7:22ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)12
79.4%
8
20.6%
Q1 - 7:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
78.4%
8
21.6%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Al. Johnson Tip Shot10
78.1%
8
21.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
77.2%
8
22.8%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Al. Johnson 7' Hook Shot10
78.0%
8
22.0%
Q1 - 7:46MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
77.1%
8
22.9%
Q1 - 7:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 210
77.2%
8
22.8%
Q1 - 7:47ORLMagic Rebound10
8
Q1 - 7:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 210
77.8%
8
22.2%
Q1 - 7:47MIABlount S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
8
Q1 - 7:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
78.2%
8
21.8%
Q1 - 7:48ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot10
77.4%
8
22.6%
Q1 - 7:57ORLMagic Rebound10
78.1%
8
21.9%
Q1 - 7:58ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot10
77.3%
8
22.7%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
78.0%
8
22.0%
Q1 - 8:28ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
79.5%
5
20.5%
Q1 - 8:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
77.7%
5
22.3%
Q1 - 8:36ORLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot7
77.0%
5
23.0%
Q1 - 8:52MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
77.4%
5
22.6%
Q1 - 8:58MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
78.1%
3
21.9%
Q1 - 8:59ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
78.4%
3
21.6%
Q1 - 9:09ORLMagic Rebound7
78.7%
3
21.3%
Q1 - 9:10ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot7
78.3%
3
21.7%
Q1 - 9:23MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
78.4%
3
21.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
79.5%
0
20.5%
Q1 - 9:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
79.6%
0
20.4%
Q1 - 9:43ORLMagic Rebound7
79.5%
0
20.5%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
79.3%
0
20.7%
Q1 - 10:03MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)7
0
Q1 - 10:11ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)7
77.7%
0
22.3%
Q1 - 10:19ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
76.8%
0
23.2%
Q1 - 10:36ORLLewis Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
75.9%
0
24.1%
Q1 - 10:37ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
75.5%
0
24.5%
Q1 - 10:39ORLMISS Lewis Driving Finger Roll Layup3
75.2%
0
24.8%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 10:58ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)3
74.4%
0
25.6%
Q1 - 11:20MIAAl. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
73.2%
0
26.8%
Q1 - 11:40MIAHEAT Rebound0
72.4%
0
27.6%
Q1 - 11:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot0
72.4%
0
27.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
71.9%
0
28.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
19
26
73%
MIA
11
16
69%
Midrange
ORL
6
18
33%
MIA
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
MIA
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
23
36
64%
MIA
6
6
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson21105%10.5 / 10
H. Turkoglu2056%10.0 / 18
D. Howard1843%9.0 / 21
R. Lewis1554%7.5 / 14
K. Dooling1083%5.0 / 6
M. Evans857%4.0 / 7
K. Bogans542%2.5 / 6
B. Cook433%2.0 / 6
A. Foyle2100%1.0 / 1
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams3465%17.0 / 26
D. Cook1563%7.5 / 12
R. Davis1142%5.5 / 13
J. Anthony1071%5.0 / 7
M. Blount941%4.5 / 11
B. Jones9150%4.5 / 3
A. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+20
-11
95
MIA
73
+12
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
100.2
ORL 119.8 +9.2
MIA 110.6
Pace
93.5
90.5
ORL 97.1 +20.7
MIA 76.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
ORL 14.8 −4.0
MIA 18.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
48.2%
ORL 54.1% +0.4%
MIA 53.7%
TO %
14.7%
15.4%
ORL 12.6% −0.7%
MIA 13.3%
ORB %
23.4%
22.2%
ORL 40.5% +14.8%
MIA 25.7%
FTrt
35.5
30.0
ORL 48.6 +41.3
MIA 7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.5%
ORL 57.1% +16.1%
MIA 41.0%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
ORL 7.0% +2.3%
MIA 4.7%
BLK %
6.2%
7.1%
ORL 5.8% +3.5%
MIA 2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
50.6%
ORL 54.2% +0.2%
MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%
61.5%
59.2%
ORL 73.1% +4.3%
MIA 68.8%
Mid FG%
40.8%
38.8%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
3P %
38.6%
35.8%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
72.1%
72.7%
ORL 63.9%
MIA 100.0% +36.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
30.2%
ORL 35.1% +15.6%
MIA 19.5%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
48.1%
ORL 24.3% −19.6%
MIA 43.9%
3P Att. %
32.2%
21.7%
ORL 40.5% +4.0%
MIA 36.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points10394
Rebounds4131
Assists2016
Steals64
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)22 (3)
Field Goals35-7439-82
At-the-Rim FG19-2611-16
Midrange FG6-1818-36
2-Point FG25-4429-52
3-Point FG10-3010-30
Free Throws23-366-6
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
41.7
18
43%
16
2
1
1
4
3
8
8
6-16
38%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
39.7
15
54%
8
2
0
1
4
3
3
5
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
2-6
33%
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
37.5
20
56%
5
6
2
1
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
3-7
43%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
33.2
21
105%
4
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
6-6
100%
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
G · 6'5" 220 · 29
18.1
8
57%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28
19.8
5
42%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
19.8
10
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
13.9
4
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 29
10.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
6.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24
F · 6'9" 238 · 32
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
54%
41
20
6
3
11
0
15
26
23-36
64%
25-44
57%
10-30
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.