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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bobcats20%8780
6Rockets80%9889
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
45.0
36.2
28
54%
8
5
1
1
1
2
1
7
3-4
75%
8-15
4-10
53%
45%
3-9
33%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.7
40.2
35.3
4
14%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-12
4-10
17%
42%
0-2
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.5
40.0
36.7
3
26%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
37.5
29.8
23
55%
9
1
2
1
1
2
4
5
3-4
75%
10-19
5-9
53%
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
18.6
21.2
0
0%
9
0
0
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
31.7
17.7
16
82%
7
2
2
1
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.7
13.8
30.2
6
75%
2
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.8
7.8
16.6
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
5.4
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
6.0
0
1-2
42%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
4.7
0
0-1
41%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
3.1
0
0-1
46%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.8
48.0
36.7
30
53%
7
4
1
1
0
3
0
7
5-8
63%
11-20
7-14
55%
50%
1-5
20%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.5
43.7
37.7
12
40%
9
4
1
1
0
0
4
5
0-2
0%
3-7
2-3
43%
53%
2-7
29%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
39.5
32.0
17
41%
7
4
1
1
1
1
0
7
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
2-10
20%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.7
31.2
16.0
1
57%
7
0
0
0
4
2
1
6
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.9
27.2
26.6
13
57%
6
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
1-1
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 24.7
15.4
10.5
12
64%
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
2-3
67%
5-8
1-3
63%
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.3
11.2
17.9
2
13%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-6
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.8
11.1
24.9
2
100%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.0
8.5
13.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.8
4.2
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-1
0%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.8
3.4
0
0-1
54%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.2
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.5
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.1
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.