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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs60%9196
1976ers40%87103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.6
37.7
31.8
22
77%
7
6
0
2
1
3
3
4
5-5
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.8
36.7
21.9
10
71%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
41%
2-3
67%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.8
35.6
34.4
27
76%
2
5
3
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
12-15
7-13
80%
51%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.9
33.1
34.8
16
47%
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
6-7
86%
5-13
8-15
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
23.7
21.3
7
44%
6
3
1
1
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
27.2
24.9
3
23%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
16.2
8.2
3
25%
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-6
17%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
13.1
13.5
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.1
8.7
8.7
2
25%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.5
7.9
13.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.6
15.9
1
1-1
42%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.6
12.9
0
1-2
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.0
42.7
32.4
32
85%
5
7
2
1
0
0
1
4
10-11
91%
11-14
6-12
79%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
41.5
37.7
25
63%
5
4
0
2
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
49%
3-5
60%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
35.3
31.1
10
64%
10
0
1
0
3
0
7
3
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.8
20.1
25.1
2
25%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
19.5
19.1
8
40%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.9
27.4
19.7
8
40%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
23.0
22.9
12
45%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-5
40%
5-8
3-8
63%
44%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.7
17.4
24.3
6
34%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.0
10.1
17.8
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.2
2.9
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.9
7.3
0
0-1
44%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.