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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies16%99107
8Warriors84%112110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
44.7
26.3
23
53%
7
1
3
1
1
2
4
3
5-8
63%
9-18
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.0
42.6
24.5
12
51%
1
5
5
1
1
3
0
1
2-4
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
40.2
28.3
20
39%
11
2
2
1
2
3
4
7
4-4
100%
8-21
4-9
38%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
38.2
25.6
19
63%
13
6
1
0
0
2
1
12
4-5
80%
6-8
3-6
75%
53%
1-5
20%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
28.3
23.4
5
43%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.8
24.8
22.8
20
73%
2
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
17.7
15.0
8
80%
8
2
0
1
0
2
5
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
2-2
100%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.2
3.4
17.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
13.7
0
1-2
41%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.0
13.6
0
1-3
51%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
10.1
0
0-1
46%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.4
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
38.1
34.2
12
56%
8
2
2
1
0
2
3
5
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
54%
1-2
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.9
37.1
39.7
19
48%
5
7
2
2
0
5
1
4
2-2
100%
7-13
7-14
54%
51%
1-6
17%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.4
36.2
40.6
17
58%
6
1
1
2
0
3
2
4
4-6
67%
5-11
9-17
45%
56%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.9
35.6
35.2
21
57%
3
6
1
1
1
4
1
2
7-10
70%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
2-8
25%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.0
25.1
22.6
8
45%
12
0
1
1
2
0
3
9
0-2
0%
4-8
4-6
50%
63%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.9
20.9
5.0
4
67%
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.1
17.5
22.6
9
56%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
14.8
17.7
5
87%
4
0
1
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.0
9.4
10.1
11
110%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
3-3
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
5.2
5.4
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
56%
0-0
-
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.1
2.7
0
0-1
58%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.0
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.