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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks75%9998
29Heat25%9173
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
27.0
31.8
15
50%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
7-12
6-11
58%
50%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.7
25.0
27.6
21
75%
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
4
5-7
71%
5-9
6-11
56%
52%
2-2
100%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.0
23.3
29.4
5
83%
6
5
2
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
22.6
27.3
3
52%
6
1
1
0
3
3
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.4
20.3
23.4
12
73%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-5
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
24.3
22.2
14
78%
5
0
1
0
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
7-9
4-7
78%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
22.2
24.6
14
62%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
1-3
33%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.9
21.3
15.8
4
29%
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
21.0
13.0
1
7%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.7
18.5
11.4
6
75%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
9.0
14.7
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.1
5.5
6.1
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.4
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
40.9
32.2
11
46%
8
3
0
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
30.3
39.2
5
43%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-2
0%
1-4
4-9
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
26.5
33.5
6
27%
1
3
2
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
0-3
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
25.9
23.8
9
41%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-10
4-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
11.7
18.2
7
47%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
27.4
7.5
21
65%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
3-5
60%
9-14
1-2
64%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
27.3
13.9
4
60%
6
1
1
0
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
27.2
19.0
2
17%
2
0
1
0
3
2
1
1
0-2
0%
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
22.9
18.6
8
71%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
26.2
1
4-7
55%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
10.9
0
1-3
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
9.4
0
1-2
47%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.