Final Win Prob. pScore
1175%99
98
2925%91
73
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
107.79192.8
MIA logo Heat
80.29189.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
73
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALGeorge Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DALMavericks Rebound98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALMavericks Violation: Delay of game Violation98
73
Q4 - 0:55.0DALWright 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 2 AST)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26DALAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)95
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39DALMISS George 16' Jump Shot93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58MIAQuinn 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10DALAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 193
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27DALHoward S.FOUL (P2.PN)93
69
Q4 - 2:27MIABarron 5' Driving Jump Shot (19 PTS)93
69
Q4 - 2:44DALWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)93
65
Q4 - 2:58DALGeorge S.FOUL (P2.T4)93
65
Q4 - 3:02MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03DALMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P2.T18)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 3:39DALMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 3:57MIACook 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 4:06DALLue P.FOUL (P3.T3)93
63
Q4 - 4:14DALAllen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 4:31DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 4:50MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53DALMISS George Free Throw 2 of 291
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53DALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53MIABarron S.FOUL (P4.T2)90
63
Q4 - 5:02MIABarron P.FOUL (P3.T1)90
63
Q4 - 5:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 290
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21MIAHEAT Rebound90
63
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 290
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21DALHoward P.FOUL (P1.T2)90
63
Q4 - 5:29DALSUB: Lue FOR Bass90
63
Q4 - 5:29DALSUB: Allen FOR Terry90
63
Q4 - 5:29DALSUB: Howard FOR Dampier90
63
Q4 - 5:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)90
63
Q4 - 5:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 5:38DALMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot90
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)90
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18DALMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:42DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Quinn 13' Jump Shot90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:54MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount90
61
Q4 - 6:54DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:54DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:55DALMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:13DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:42DALBass Dunk (14 PTS)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:44DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:57DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot88
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 8:21DALBass 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)88
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 8:42MIAAnthony 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)86
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 8:58DALSUB: Wright FOR Lue86
59
Q4 - 8:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)86
59
Q4 - 8:58DALBass Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)86
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 9:17MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)86
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 9:29DALJones STEAL (1 STL)86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 10:03DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 10:17MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 10:33DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q4 - 10:43DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 184
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q4 - 10:47DALSUB: Dampier FOR Allen84
55
Q4 - 10:47MIASUB: Cook FOR Davis84
55
Q4 - 10:47DALAllen S.FOUL (P2.T1)84
55
Q4 - 10:47MIAJones 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)84
55
Q4 - 11:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 11:01DALMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot84
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 11:16MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)84
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 11:39DALAnthony STEAL (1 STL)84
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 12:0084
53
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL84
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound84
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Lue 39' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALLue P.FOUL (P2.PN)84
51
Q3 - 0:06.0DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)84
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0DALLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot81
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALTerry Layup (9 PTS)81
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)79
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALLue 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 1:01MIABlount Layup (5 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)77
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 1:12DALBass 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)77
99.8%
49
0.2%
Q3 - 1:24MIABarron 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)75
99.8%
49
0.2%
Q3 - 1:33DALGeorge P.FOUL (P1.T3)75
47
Q3 - 1:54DALBass Dunk (8 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)75
99.8%
47
0.2%
Q3 - 2:03DALAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
99.7%
47
0.3%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot73
99.7%
47
0.3%
Q3 - 2:24DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
99.7%
47
0.3%
Q3 - 2:24DALSUB: George FOR Howard72
47
Q3 - 2:24MIASUB: Blount FOR Anthony72
47
Q3 - 2:24DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)72
99.7%
47
0.3%
Q3 - 2:24DALSUB: Lue FOR Kidd71
47
Q3 - 2:24MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams71
47
Q3 - 2:24MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T3)71
47
Q3 - 2:24DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot71
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q3 - 2:47MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q3 - 2:49DALMISS Allen Tip Shot71
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q3 - 2:50DALAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q3 - 2:51DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot71
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q3 - 3:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q3 - 3:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q3 - 3:28DALMISS Terry Layup71
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q3 - 3:31DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot71
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q3 - 3:51DALHoward 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q3 - 4:12MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
99.3%
47
0.7%
Q3 - 4:12MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
99.3%
46
0.7%
Q3 - 4:12DALBass S.FOUL (P3.T2)69
45
Q3 - 4:17DALWilliams STEAL (2 STL)69
99.4%
45
0.6%
Q3 - 4:29MIASUB: Jones FOR Cook69
45
Q3 - 4:29DALSUB: Allen FOR Stackhouse69
45
Q3 - 4:29DALSUB: Terry FOR Nowitzki69
45
Q3 - 4:41MIABarron Layup (13 PTS)69
99.5%
45
0.5%
Q3 - 4:43MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
99.6%
43
0.4%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Anthony 11' Turnaround Jump Shot69
99.6%
43
0.4%
Q3 - 5:07DALBass 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
99.5%
43
0.5%
Q3 - 5:24MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)67
99.4%
43
0.6%
Q3 - 5:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
99.5%
41
0.5%
Q3 - 5:41DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot67
99.5%
41
0.5%
Q3 - 5:57DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
99.6%
41
0.4%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot67
99.6%
41
0.4%
Q3 - 6:13MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)67
41
Q3 - 6:17DALBass 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)67
99.4%
41
0.6%
Q3 - 6:35MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)65
99.3%
41
0.7%
Q3 - 6:46DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
99.2%
41
0.8%
Q3 - 6:46DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
99.2%
41
0.8%
Q3 - 6:46MIACook S.FOUL (P3.T2)63
41
Q3 - 6:58MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount63
41
Q3 - 6:58MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)63
99.1%
41
0.9%
Q3 - 7:12DALNowitzki Dunk (21 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)63
98.8%
41
1.2%
Q3 - 7:15MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)61
98.6%
41
1.4%
Q3 - 7:28DALHoward 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)61
98.3%
41
1.7%
Q3 - 7:41MIACook 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)59
98.1%
41
1.9%
Q3 - 7:59DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)59
98.3%
39
1.7%
Q3 - 8:05DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
98.5%
39
1.5%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Blount 10' Jump Shot59
98.4%
39
1.6%
Q3 - 8:27DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)59
98.2%
39
1.8%
Q3 - 8:51DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)56
39
Q3 - 8:52MIAWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
97.6%
39
2.4%
Q3 - 8:59MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
97.9%
37
2.1%
Q3 - 9:00DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot56
98.0%
37
2.0%
Q3 - 9:21MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
98.2%
37
1.8%
Q3 - 9:21DALSUB: Bass FOR Dampier56
36
Q3 - 9:21MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
98.2%
36
1.8%
Q3 - 9:21DALDampier S.FOUL (P4.T1)56
35
Q3 - 9:44DALDampier Dunk (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)56
98.4%
35
1.6%
Q3 - 9:56MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)54
98.2%
35
1.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
97.7%
35
2.3%
Q3 - 10:16DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 254
97.7%
35
2.3%
Q3 - 10:16DALMavericks Rebound54
35
Q3 - 10:16DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 254
98.0%
35
2.0%
Q3 - 10:16MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T1)54
35
Q3 - 10:25MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)54
98.0%
35
2.0%
Q3 - 10:33MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
97.7%
35
2.3%
Q3 - 10:34DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
97.8%
35
2.2%
Q3 - 10:43DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
98.0%
35
2.0%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
97.9%
35
2.1%
Q3 - 10:49MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
97.7%
35
2.3%
Q3 - 10:50DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot54
97.8%
35
2.2%
Q3 - 11:09MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)54
97.9%
35
2.1%
Q3 - 11:24DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)54
98.2%
33
1.8%
Q3 - 11:43MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)52
97.9%
33
2.1%
Q3 - 12:0052
30
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
98.4%
30
1.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound52
98.4%
30
1.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Barron Layup52
98.4%
30
1.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
98.3%
30
1.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Barron 16' Jump Shot52
98.4%
30
1.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
98.3%
30
1.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 252
98.3%
30
1.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
98.5%
30
1.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)51
30
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)51
98.3%
30
1.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALHoward 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
98.1%
30
1.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
30
Q2 - 0:53.0DALAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
97.8%
30
2.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0DALMISS Bass 13' Jump Shot49
97.6%
30
2.4%
Q2 - 1:19MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
97.6%
30
2.4%
Q2 - 1:19DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki49
29
Q2 - 1:19MIASUB: Blount FOR Anthony49
29
Q2 - 1:19DALSUB: Lue FOR Kidd49
29
Q2 - 1:19MIAHEAT Rebound49
29
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 249
97.7%
29
2.3%
Q2 - 1:19DALAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
29
Q2 - 1:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
97.7%
29
2.3%
Q2 - 1:23DALAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)49
97.8%
29
2.2%
Q2 - 1:36MIABarron 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
97.9%
29
2.1%
Q2 - 1:51DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T8)49
98.2%
27
1.8%
Q2 - 1:51DALHoward OFF.Foul (P1)49
27
Q2 - 1:57DALMavericks Rebound49
98.4%
27
1.6%
Q2 - 1:58DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
98.3%
27
1.7%
Q2 - 2:09DALSUB: Allen FOR Bass49
27
Q2 - 2:09DALSUB: Terry FOR Stackhouse49
27
Q2 - 2:09DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)49
27
Q2 - 2:18MIACook 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
98.3%
27
1.7%
Q2 - 2:37DALStackhouse Layup (10 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)49
98.5%
25
1.5%
Q2 - 2:41MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)47
98.3%
25
1.7%
Q2 - 2:45DALWilliams STEAL (1 STL)47
98.1%
25
1.9%
Q2 - 2:51DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
98.3%
25
1.7%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
98.3%
25
1.7%
Q2 - 2:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
98.1%
25
1.9%
Q2 - 2:59MIAMISS Anthony 8' Hook Shot47
98.3%
25
1.7%
Q2 - 3:23MIASUB: Jones FOR Davis47
25
Q2 - 3:23DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)47
98.0%
25
2.0%
Q2 - 3:27DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
98.3%
25
1.7%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
98.2%
25
1.8%
Q2 - 3:53DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)47
98.0%
25
2.0%
Q2 - 4:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
97.4%
25
2.6%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot44
97.3%
25
2.7%
Q2 - 4:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
97.1%
25
2.9%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 244
97.4%
25
2.6%
Q2 - 4:25MIAHEAT Rebound44
25
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 244
97.1%
25
2.9%
Q2 - 4:25DALSUB: Bass FOR Dampier44
25
Q2 - 4:25DALDampier S.FOUL (P3.T4)44
25
Q2 - 4:40DALDampier P.FOUL (P2.T3)44
25
Q2 - 4:40MIAHEAT Rebound44
97.1%
25
2.9%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot44
97.3%
25
2.7%
Q2 - 4:52MIASUB: Barron FOR Al. Johnson44
25
Q2 - 4:52MIASUB: Williams FOR Quinn44
25
Q2 - 4:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)44
25
Q2 - 5:01DALHoward 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
97.0%
25
3.0%
Q2 - 5:11DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
96.6%
25
3.4%
Q2 - 5:12DALMISS Dampier Layup42
96.3%
25
3.7%
Q2 - 5:17DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
96.6%
25
3.4%
Q2 - 5:18DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot42
96.3%
25
3.7%
Q2 - 5:39MIAAl. Johnson 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)42
96.6%
25
3.4%
Q2 - 5:52MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
97.0%
23
3.0%
Q2 - 5:53DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
97.1%
23
2.9%
Q2 - 6:03DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
97.1%
23
2.9%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Al. Johnson 20' Jump Shot42
97.0%
23
3.0%
Q2 - 6:30MIAHEAT Rebound42
96.7%
23
3.3%
Q2 - 6:31DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot42
96.9%
23
3.1%
Q2 - 6:33DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
97.1%
23
2.9%
Q2 - 6:34DALMISS Kidd 14' Jump Shot42
96.9%
23
3.1%
Q2 - 6:48DALSUB: Kidd FOR Allen42
23
Q2 - 6:48DALSUB: Howard FOR George42
23
Q2 - 6:48DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Lue42
23
Q2 - 6:48DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
23
Q2 - 6:53MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)42
97.1%
23
2.9%
Q2 - 7:02MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
97.6%
20
2.4%
Q2 - 7:04DALMISS George 19' Jump Shot42
97.7%
20
2.3%
Q2 - 7:18DALAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
97.9%
20
2.1%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Anthony Layup42
97.8%
20
2.2%
Q2 - 7:39DALGeorge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)42
97.6%
20
2.4%
Q2 - 8:04MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)42
97.7%
20
2.3%
Q2 - 8:17DALLue Layup (2 PTS)42
98.0%
18
2.0%
Q2 - 8:31DALSUB: Dampier FOR Bass40
18
Q2 - 8:31DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Terry40
18
Q2 - 8:31DALMavericks Rebound40
97.7%
18
2.3%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Al. Johnson 17' Jump Shot40
97.7%
18
2.3%
Q2 - 8:5040
18
Q2 - 8:50DALBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)40
97.5%
18
2.5%
Q2 - 9:03MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount40
18
Q2 - 9:03DALTerry Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)40
97.6%
18
2.4%
Q2 - 9:0339
18
Q2 - 9:07DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
97.3%
18
2.7%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot39
97.3%
18
2.7%
Q2 - 9:30MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
97.1%
18
2.9%
Q2 - 9:32DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot39
97.1%
18
2.9%
Q2 - 9:37DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
97.3%
18
2.7%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Blount 14' Jump Shot39
97.3%
18
2.7%
Q2 - 9:49MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
97.1%
18
2.9%
Q2 - 9:50DALMISS George 3PT Jump Shot39
97.1%
18
2.9%
Q2 - 10:06MIABlount 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS)39
97.2%
18
2.8%
Q2 - 10:25DALBass 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
97.5%
16
2.5%
Q2 - 10:48MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
97.2%
16
2.8%
Q2 - 10:48DALBass S.FOUL (P2.T2)37
15
Q2 - 10:48MIAAl. Johnson Layup (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)37
15
Q2 - 10:57MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
97.7%
13
2.3%
Q2 - 10:59DALMISS George 11' Jump Shot37
97.8%
13
2.2%
Q2 - 11:12DALLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
97.8%
13
2.2%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot37
97.7%
13
2.3%
Q2 - 11:29DALAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
97.5%
13
2.5%
Q2 - 11:45MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
97.3%
13
2.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIAHEAT Rebound35
12
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 235
97.4%
12
2.6%
Q2 - 11:45DALBass S.FOUL (P1.T1)35
12
Q2 - 12:0035
12
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL35
97.3%
12
2.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound35
97.5%
12
2.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS George 36' 3PT Jump Shot35
97.4%
12
2.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
97.3%
12
2.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
97.3%
11
2.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.PN)35
10
Q1 - 0:04.0DALLue P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
10
Q1 - 0:08.0DALTerry 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (George 1 AST)35
97.6%
10
2.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
97.3%
10
2.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
97.6%
8
2.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot33
97.7%
8
2.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)33
97.8%
8
2.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
97.6%
8
2.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALMISS Lue Driving Layup33
97.7%
8
2.3%
Q1 - 1:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
97.6%
8
2.4%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot33
97.5%
8
2.5%
Q1 - 1:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)33
97.4%
8
2.6%
Q1 - 1:24DALSUB: Bass FOR Dampier32
8
Q1 - 1:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)32
97.4%
8
2.6%
Q1 - 1:24MIASUB: Quinn FOR Cook31
8
Q1 - 1:24DALSUB: George FOR Howard31
8
Q1 - 1:24MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)31
8
Q1 - 1:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
97.1%
8
2.9%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot31
97.1%
8
2.9%
Q1 - 1:54DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
96.9%
8
3.1%
Q1 - 2:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
96.4%
8
3.6%
Q1 - 2:07DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot29
96.2%
8
3.8%
Q1 - 2:22MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
96.4%
8
3.6%
Q1 - 2:42DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
96.7%
6
3.3%
Q1 - 2:42MIASUB: Blount FOR Anthony28
6
Q1 - 2:42DALMavericks Rebound28
6
Q1 - 2:42DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 228
96.6%
6
3.4%
Q1 - 2:42MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.PN)28
6
Q1 - 2:55DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)28
6
Q1 - 2:55MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T6)28
96.7%
6
3.3%
Q1 - 2:55MIAAnthony OFF.Foul (P1)28
6
Q1 - 3:08DALNowitzki 9' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)28
96.4%
6
3.6%
Q1 - 3:29DALLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
96.1%
6
3.9%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Davis 12' Fadeaway Jumper26
96.0%
6
4.0%
Q1 - 3:50MIASUB: Davis FOR Barron26
6
Q1 - 3:50DALSUB: Lue FOR Kidd26
6
Q1 - 3:50DALTerry Foul Turnover (P1.T3)26
95.7%
6
4.3%
Q1 - 3:50DALTerry OFF.Foul (P1)26
6
Q1 - 3:58MIAAnthony Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
96.1%
6
3.9%
Q1 - 4:09MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
94.0%
6
6.0%
Q1 - 4:11DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot26
94.1%
6
5.9%
Q1 - 4:17DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
94.3%
6
5.7%
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS Barron 16' Jump Shot26
94.2%
6
5.8%
Q1 - 4:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
93.9%
6
6.1%
Q1 - 4:31DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot26
94.0%
6
6.0%
Q1 - 4:41MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)26
94.1%
6
5.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
93.7%
6
6.3%
Q1 - 4:49DALAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)26
93.8%
6
6.2%
Q1 - 5:00MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)26
93.9%
6
6.1%
Q1 - 5:21DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
93.7%
4
6.3%
Q1 - 5:21DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
93.6%
4
6.4%
Q1 - 5:21MIABarron P.FOUL (P2.PN)24
4
Q1 - 5:21DALMavericks Rebound24
93.4%
4
6.6%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Cook 14' Jump Shot24
93.3%
4
6.7%
Q1 - 5:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)24
92.9%
4
7.1%
Q1 - 5:35MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount23
4
Q1 - 5:35DALSUB: Terry FOR Stackhouse23
4
Q1 - 5:35MIABlount S.FOUL (P1.T4)23
4
Q1 - 5:35DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
4
Q1 - 5:53DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
91.9%
4
8.1%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
91.8%
4
8.2%
Q1 - 6:11DALHoward Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
91.2%
4
8.8%
Q1 - 6:32MIACook 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)19
90.5%
4
9.5%
Q1 - 6:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)19
2
Q1 - 6:45DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)19
90.6%
2
9.4%
Q1 - 6:45MIABarron S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
2
Q1 - 6:45DALStackhouse Layup (7 PTS)18
2
Q1 - 6:51MIACook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
89.7%
2
10.3%
Q1 - 7:05DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)16
89.0%
2
11.0%
Q1 - 7:15MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
87.8%
2
12.2%
Q1 - 7:25MIASUB: Jones FOR Davis13
2
Q1 - 7:25MIASUB: Barron FOR Al. Johnson13
2
Q1 - 7:31MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
86.9%
2
13.1%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot13
87.3%
2
12.7%
Q1 - 7:48DALKidd Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)13
86.6%
2
13.4%
Q1 - 8:00DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
85.8%
2
14.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Al. Johnson 11' Jump Shot11
85.7%
2
14.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
84.8%
2
15.2%
Q1 - 8:22DALMISS Howard Layup11
85.0%
2
15.0%
Q1 - 8:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
85.3%
2
14.7%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Blount Layup11
85.1%
2
14.9%
Q1 - 8:42DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
84.3%
2
15.7%
Q1 - 8:42DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
84.2%
2
15.8%
Q1 - 8:42MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
2
Q1 - 8:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
83.7%
2
16.3%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Williams Layup9
83.5%
2
16.5%
Q1 - 9:00DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
82.7%
2
17.3%
Q1 - 9:05DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
83.1%
2
16.9%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot9
82.9%
2
17.1%
Q1 - 9:27DALDampier Foul Turnover (P1.T1)9
82.0%
2
18.0%
Q1 - 9:27DALDampier OFF.Foul (P1)9
2
Q1 - 9:32MIAAl. Johnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
82.3%
2
17.7%
Q1 - 9:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)9
0
Q1 - 9:48DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)9
82.3%
0
17.7%
Q1 - 10:09DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
80.5%
0
19.5%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup6
80.3%
0
19.7%
Q1 - 10:33DALNowitzki 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)6
79.2%
0
20.8%
Q1 - 10:53MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
78.2%
0
21.8%
Q1 - 11:07DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
77.3%
0
22.7%
Q1 - 11:26MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:26DALMavericks Rebound2
76.4%
0
23.6%
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS Cook 10' Jump Shot2
76.3%
0
23.7%
Q1 - 11:47DALHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
75.5%
0
24.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Dampier: Tip to Kidd0
75.0%
0
25.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.13 56.3%
MIA
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
12
20
60%
MIA
6
11
55%
Midrange
DAL
20
38
53%
MIA
21
49
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
MIA
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
DAL
16
21
76%
MIA
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2175%10.5 / 14
J. Howard1550%7.5 / 15
B. Bass1478%7.0 / 9
J. Terry1464%7.0 / 11
J. Stackhouse1275%6.0 / 8
M. Allen675%3.0 / 4
J. Kidd583%2.5 / 3
T. Lue429%2.0 / 7
E. Dampier350%1.5 / 3
A. Wright350%1.5 / 3
D. George17%0.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Barron2166%10.5 / 16
D. Cook1146%5.5 / 12
M. Blount941%4.5 / 11
C. Quinn867%4.0 / 6
A. Johnson750%3.5 / 7
J. Williams627%3.0 / 11
R. Davis542%2.5 / 6
B. Jones467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
75
+12
-16
87
MIA
74
+7
-17
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.13 56.3%
MIA
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.6
100.2
DAL 107.7 +27.5
MIA 80.2
Pace
90.6
90.5
DAL 92.8 +3.3
MIA 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.3
DAL 15.5 −0.6
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
48.2%
DAL 54.7% +11.2%
MIA 43.5%
TO %
13.3%
15.4%
DAL 16.8% −1.9%
MIA 18.7%
ORB %
26.8%
22.2%
DAL 25.0% +11.8%
MIA 13.2%
FTrt
31.8
30.0
DAL 28.0
MIA 30.4 +2.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
58.5%
DAL 50.0%
MIA 58.6% +8.6%
STL %
6.6%
7.9%
DAL 11.0% +6.6%
MIA 4.4%
BLK %
7.5%
7.1%
DAL 6.7% +1.5%
MIA 5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
50.6%
DAL 56.3% +11.2%
MIA 45.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
59.2%
DAL 60.0% +5.5%
MIA 54.5%
Mid FG%
44.3%
38.8%
DAL 52.6% +9.7%
MIA 42.9%
3P %
35.2%
35.8%
DAL 35.3% +13.1%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
81.4%
72.7%
DAL 76.2% +14.3%
MIA 61.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
30.2%
DAL 26.7% +10.7%
MIA 15.9%
Mid Att. %
49.6%
48.1%
DAL 50.7% −20.3%
MIA 71.0%
3P Att. %
21.5%
21.7%
DAL 22.7% +9.6%
MIA 13.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.524.4
Points9873
Rebounds4232
Assists1917
Steals104
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)27 (1)
Field Goals38-7529-69
At-the-Rim FG12-206-11
Midrange FG20-3821-49
2-Point FG32-5827-60
3-Point FG6-172-9
Free Throws16-2113-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 210 · 28
27.0
15
50%
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
7-12
58%
0-2
0%
F · 7'0" 245 · 30
25.0
21
75%
4
3
2
0
0
1
0
4
5-7
71%
5-9
56%
2-2
100%
G · 6'4" 210 · 35
23.3
5
83%
6
5
2
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
22.6
3
50%
6
1
1
3
3
4
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 218 · 33
20.3
12
75%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
5-5
100%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 250 · 23
24.3
14
78%
5
0
1
0
3
3
2
3
0-0
-
7-9
78%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 30
22.2
14
64%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
21.3
4
29%
3
4
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 31
21.0
1
7%
2
2
1
1
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 30
18.5
6
75%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24
9.0
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 35
5.5
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#6 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'0" 185 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
56%
42
19
10
4
16
0
9
33
16-21
76%
32-58
55%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.