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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Sunday
March 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bobcats30%9291
13Cavaliers70%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
39.1
39.0
33
68%
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
7-13
5-11
54%
47%
6-11
55%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.7
37.6
36.6
14
44%
2
9
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-4
25%
5-11
5-11
45%
44%
1-3
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
35.6
32.6
10
34%
12
0
1
1
1
0
4
8
2-4
50%
4-13
5-11
31%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
30.4
19.8
9
41%
12
1
1
1
0
1
5
7
1-2
50%
4-10
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.5
18.3
37.1
4
50%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
32.9
24.3
10
37%
2
5
0
1
2
3
0
2
0-1
0%
5-7
3-7
71%
51%
0-6
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.7
21.6
22.8
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.8
10.4
12.6
5
56%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
8.1
4.7
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
3.4
2.3
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
2.8
4.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
5.5
0
1-1
47%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.9
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.2
41.7
41.0
33
53%
7
10
1
2
2
1
2
5
10-16
63%
10-21
9-17
48%
54%
1-3
33%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.6
32.8
28.1
7
29%
4
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
1-6
17%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.8
31.8
27.3
16
67%
9
1
0
1
3
3
3
6
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.5
27.8
21.3
4
50%
15
0
3
1
1
0
6
9
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.3
20.5
17.9
11
51%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
23.9
29.2
10
57%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
20.2
23.9
4
40%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
16.2
31.2
2
26%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
0-3
4-8
0%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.6
15.2
19.1
8
103%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
2-3
67%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.0
9.9
22.6
3
34%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.8
3.8
0
0-0
56%
Lance Allred
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
2.6
0
0-1
52%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.9
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.