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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30SuperSonics16%97116
12Nuggets84%110168
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.5
30.0
29.3
8
33%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
4-9
33%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
27.3
33.0
23
72%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
7-9
78%
8-12
6-14
67%
44%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.8
27.2
26.7
14
59%
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-11
3-8
55%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
24.1
31.5
17
56%
12
1
2
1
3
3
6
6
3-7
43%
7-12
6-12
58%
52%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.1
21.4
26.5
14
50%
4
2
3
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
22.3
24.2
3
19%
9
2
0
1
2
1
4
5
1-2
50%
1-7
4-7
14%
51%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.2
21.0
18.0
4
18%
4
5
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-10
2-5
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
20.7
17.7
16
58%
3
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
2-4
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
2-6
33%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.8
16.2
7.1
0
0%
5
1
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
11.9
19.5
4
35%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.9
8.9
3.5
6
60%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
43%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.8
8.9
2.1
7
74%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
3-4
75%
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.3
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.0
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 32.8
27.2
33.2
24
68%
1
6
0
2
0
2
0
1
8-8
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.0
26.6
28.5
13
79%
15
10
1
1
4
4
0
15
5-5
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
26.2
31.7
26
63%
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
6-8
75%
10-16
8-14
63%
52%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.2
25.5
27.5
23
86%
8
0
2
1
2
0
1
7
0-1
0%
10-12
5-9
83%
53%
1-1
100%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
24.8
21.8
8
84%
2
4
4
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.2
25.4
22.0
17
67%
5
4
1
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
55%
1-3
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.5
21.4
19.6
19
62%
2
5
2
1
2
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
4-10
40%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 33.6
20.2
18.4
19
95%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
5-8
63%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
16.2
18.1
1
13%
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25.5
12.5
8.4
11
94%
5
3
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
3-5
60%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
8.5
5.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
59%
0-0
-
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.3
5.5
4.4
5
125%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.