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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Raptors53%98100
20Kings47%97106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.8
47.6
24.3
20
56%
8
1
2
0
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
10-18
4-7
56%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.7
39.0
33.4
11
43%
6
6
2
1
2
2
0
6
0-2
0%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
27.6
24.6
6
38%
3
9
3
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
56%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.8
24.6
24.6
9
57%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.4
17.4
24.8
5
36%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
30.2
20.3
26
68%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
10-13
3-6
77%
49%
2-6
33%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.0
20.4
24.3
7
41%
1
5
2
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
5-11
38%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
18.9
24.4
8
53%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
5-8
63%
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
14.3
15.7
8
44%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
50%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
8.0
0
1-2
49%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.8
6.4
0
1-1
58%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 37.0
4.8
0
0-1
39%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.5
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.1
43.2
29.6
32
58%
8
4
1
1
0
5
1
7
12-15
80%
7-18
4-8
39%
49%
2-3
67%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.9
42.0
24.2
14
54%
11
1
0
1
1
3
1
10
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
49%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
37.7
32.1
15
46%
1
7
0
1
1
6
1
0
2-3
67%
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
1-3
33%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.3
36.1
31.9
19
60%
10
5
4
2
0
2
2
8
2-2
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
47%
1-4
25%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.4
32.7
24.5
17
91%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
3-3
100%
7-8
3-5
88%
56%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
25.2
23.0
5
39%
3
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
6.8
13.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
6.1
10.5
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.5
6.0
6.4
4
100%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.9
4.3
21.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
4-7
-
50%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.3
22.5
1
3-5
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
3.2
0
0-0
46%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.