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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 17, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Hawks33%94105
15Wizards67%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
43.6
39.1
18
44%
4
10
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
7-14
6-12
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
38.0
26.8
12
67%
15
6
1
1
2
3
6
9
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.8
36.6
30.2
23
78%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
44%
5-6
83%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.3
28.6
33.8
17
75%
8
0
2
1
2
0
1
7
3-3
100%
7-9
6-12
78%
47%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.7
25.9
33.4
7
42%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-3
33%
3-7
5-12
43%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.7
41.8
24.8
16
83%
5
4
0
1
1
2
2
3
4-6
67%
3-5
3-6
60%
56%
2-2
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.1
12.5
14.1
7
72%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.1
11.4
16.2
4
50%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
1.5
5.6
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.0
0.2
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
6.3
0
1-2
44%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.7
5.0
0
0-1
48%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
43.3
37.1
25
54%
9
0
2
1
0
3
3
6
4-5
80%
9-18
6-13
50%
49%
1-3
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
34.2
32.7
13
67%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
3-7
43%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
33.8
29.5
12
41%
7
8
0
2
0
1
4
3
4-4
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
50%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.3
32.3
18.2
16
66%
9
3
1
0
1
3
5
4
2-5
40%
7-10
3-5
70%
55%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
27.9
30.9
8
68%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
26.9
17.8
14
88%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
18.4
26.5
4
33%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
13.4
18.3
4
29%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
5.3
18.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
4.1
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
0.5
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
10.9
1
1-3
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.