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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
March 17, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Cavaliers29%9590
7Magic71%102104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.2
42.2
40.6
30
56%
9
6
0
2
1
3
2
7
7-11
64%
10-18
9-17
56%
51%
1-4
25%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.3
31.9
19.4
14
59%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
42%
1-3
33%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.6
30.1
29.6
16
56%
6
3
0
1
2
3
2
4
5-5
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
1-5
20%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.8
29.9
29.0
4
18%
7
3
0
0
0
1
0
7
0-2
0%
2-10
5-11
20%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.5
23.0
24.1
2
100%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.6
21.1
17.6
6
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
2-6
33%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
20.1
22.1
7
51%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
19.6
24.8
2
100%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
15.9
26.6
7
58%
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.0
5.8
17.5
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Lance Allred
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
0.3
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.8
0.3
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.9
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.3
40.8
36.2
23
56%
13
2
1
1
2
1
4
9
11-15
73%
6-14
7-12
43%
60%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.0
40.5
36.1
18
48%
7
5
0
1
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
2-10
5-10
20%
49%
3-6
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.1
32.7
28.7
6
24%
2
7
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
1-6
17%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
30.6
35.6
21
82%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
52%
3-5
60%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
24.0
23.3
10
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
52%
2-2
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.8
24.0
24.6
6
38%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.6
17.7
2.6
5
83%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.9
16.0
10.3
8
45%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-7
1-3
29%
49%
1-1
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.0
6.9
7.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
6.7
16.0
5
36%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.6
16.5
0
2-4
48%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.7
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.