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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 17, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bobcats51%10080
28Grizzlies49%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.7
37.5
36.4
8
26%
5
4
3
1
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
3-10
5-11
30%
45%
0-4
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
37.2
38.2
8
22%
6
1
1
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-11
5-11
36%
48%
0-7
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
24.1
29.0
2
35%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
23.4
28.1
10
51%
7
1
0
2
1
2
1
6
3-4
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
1-3
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
22.3
33.4
8
58%
6
0
1
1
3
4
3
3
2-2
100%
3-6
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
24.2
7.2
17
85%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
43%
3-5
60%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.7
19.0
22.4
14
75%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
6-8
2-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.8
18.4
11.9
2
35%
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
17.5
24.1
6
75%
7
0
1
1
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
8.3
4.3
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
8.2
3.4
1
27%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
4.3
0
1-1
48%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.8
34.6
23.3
21
80%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
3-5
60%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
29.1
30.8
18
59%
13
2
0
1
0
5
3
10
2-3
67%
5-10
4-7
50%
55%
2-4
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.7
28.9
19.7
11
35%
10
1
1
0
1
0
4
6
3-6
50%
4-13
3-6
31%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
26.6
25.1
8
41%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
24.6
33.1
8
40%
4
2
0
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
5-11
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.2
29.0
11.0
7
47%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
24.6
33.9
19
60%
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
2
5-11
45%
7-11
7-12
64%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.0
21.4
32.0
4
31%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-1
0%
2-4
3-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
16.6
8.3
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.0
2.5
8.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
2.2
6.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
16.3
1
1-2
46%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.5
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.