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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 17, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Clippers44%9490
24Timberwolves56%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.1
39.0
29.0
22
62%
6
3
0
1
3
1
1
5
4-6
67%
6-10
4-7
60%
49%
2-5
40%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.5
38.9
33.3
10
28%
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
4-6
67%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
0-5
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.3
36.4
33.2
34
69%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
13-15
87%
6-10
5-10
60%
49%
3-8
38%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
35.3
27.4
10
42%
12
1
0
0
2
2
5
7
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
47%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.4
28.0
22.6
4
46%
3
7
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.3
20.7
24.3
4
29%
4
0
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 26.9
12.4
20.4
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
10.3
16.2
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.5
9.7
16.0
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
9.3
12.2
2
100%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
11.1
0
2-3
50%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 36.5
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.0
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 22.5
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.3
38.3
28.9
6
61%
7
10
0
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.5
36.7
29.7
19
82%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
6-6
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
50%
1-1
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.2
36.1
32.4
22
66%
14
1
0
1
4
2
6
8
2-4
50%
10-15
9-17
67%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.5
28.0
34.5
7
39%
7
2
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
1-2
50%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
25.9
22.4
14
55%
5
2
1
1
1
3
1
4
4-6
67%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.5
27.8
25.7
16
71%
0
6
0
1
1
2
0
0
2-3
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.0
24.1
24.5
2
14%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
44%
0-2
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.4
16.2
18.9
11
47%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
4-10
4-6
40%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.2
7.0
11.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.5
3.2
0
0-0
49%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.8
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.1
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.8
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.