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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 17, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Raptors22%9579
6Jazz78%10596
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.8
36.9
32.5
13
47%
12
2
0
1
1
2
4
8
1-2
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.7
35.5
34.9
11
46%
7
3
2
1
1
2
0
7
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
31.0
25.7
16
62%
1
7
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
53%
2-2
100%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.4
24.4
22.3
5
23%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-8
2-6
13%
43%
1-3
33%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.8
24.4
24.5
4
67%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
25.7
23.8
9
75%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
18.8
15.4
5
36%
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
17.3
22.3
4
42%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.0
13.5
22.8
7
37%
1
2
3
1
0
4
1
0
1-1
100%
3-8
4-10
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.8
5.5
4.8
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
3.5
6.0
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 37.0
3.5
3.0
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
36%
0-1
0%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.3
35.7
35.2
13
60%
10
1
3
1
1
3
0
10
1-2
50%
6-10
8-15
60%
56%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
35.3
23.6
8
41%
3
4
0
1
1
4
0
3
3-6
50%
1-6
2-4
17%
53%
1-1
100%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
32.0
38.3
21
53%
2
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3-6
50%
6-15
6-11
40%
53%
2-2
100%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
24.0
28.1
6
60%
2
1
0
2
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
58%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
6.7
36.6
1
27%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.1
24.2
17.7
6
60%
5
0
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.0
24.0
20.3
17
97%
4
4
2
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
49%
1-1
100%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.8
19.5
19.0
9
70%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.3
19.1
3.1
2
100%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
13.4
8.0
13
77%
0
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
2-3
67%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
3.5
8.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.9
2.5
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.