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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 18, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Heat37%95112
27Bucks63%99106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
38.5
34.9
14
64%
4
10
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
37.3
30.1
21
58%
3
10
0
1
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
0-6
2-5
0%
48%
5-9
56%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
28.4
34.6
12
76%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
3-3
3-7
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
28.2
19.1
8
45%
12
3
1
1
2
5
6
6
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
57%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
20.6
24.1
6
38%
6
2
1
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
0-1
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
27.2
16.3
16
48%
5
4
1
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
5-14
2-5
36%
47%
1-1
100%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
20.6
20.2
17
124%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
3-3
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
20.0
22.2
9
69%
10
0
1
1
2
1
4
6
3-8
38%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
19.3
19.5
9
70%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
1-2
50%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
15.6
0
2-4
52%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
10.3
0
1-3
50%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
8.1
0
1-2
49%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
42.1
33.3
27
70%
4
4
1
1
1
2
1
3
11-12
92%
2-6
6-12
33%
50%
4-8
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.2
36.9
28.4
26
63%
5
11
1
1
0
2
0
5
10-13
77%
8-13
4-8
62%
51%
0-2
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.4
31.9
26.1
8
39%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-3
0%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.6
28.9
31.7
10
36%
7
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
5-11
6-12
45%
52%
0-3
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
17.0
14.6
4
27%
5
0
2
0
0
1
3
2
0-1
0%
2-7
2-4
29%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.2
34.1
20.7
14
66%
16
2
3
1
2
1
9
7
2-6
33%
6-8
1-2
75%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
25.0
27.7
15
54%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
4-8
50%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
13.1
11.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.2
11.1
21.4
2
53%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.8
14.1
1
2-3
47%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
8.1
0
1-2
48%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
6.3
0
1-2
47%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.